Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-16?
open
Total volume
$2,311
$6 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
37
Liquidity
$8,178
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 20:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.1¢
(top1%: 86% YES on $1.6K
vs crowd: 87% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $247 | $30 | +$216 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $168 | $26 | +$143 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $931 | $169 | +$762 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $332 | $27 | +$306 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $1.3K | $221 | +$1.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 7 | $15 | $3 | +$12 |
| Below median | 9 | $134 | $21 | +$113 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $169 | $6 | +$163 |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +1,071 | $247 | $247 | 3 | 05-16 18:42 |
| Babyish-Hammock 0x7906…be5d | Yes | +759 | $743 | $743 | 1 | 05-16 18:52 |
| Great-Snake 0x9cb4…8285 | Yes | +613 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 05-16 16:05 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | +429 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 05-16 16:41 |
| Great-Snake 0x9cb4…8285 | No | +230 | $165 | $165 | 1 | 05-16 14:16 |
| Swift-External 0x0bea…87b7 | Yes | +165 | $165 | $165 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Surprised-Inspector 0xd2e5…c638 | Yes | +164 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-16 17:29 |
| Trim-Artifact 0x7477…a7a8 | Yes | +86 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 11:55 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +58 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 05-16 17:46 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +56 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 05-16 18:46 |
| Oddball-Kebab 0x1b8b…8cb3 | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 17:20 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +27 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-16 18:37 |
| Self-Assured-Cornmeal 0x9b84…653f | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 00:47 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 17:29 |
| Poised-Barn 0x792d…af4d | Yes | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-16 18:59 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 18:27 |
| Giving-Seller 0x8d19…bf25 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 17:46 |
| Parched-Somebody 0xe36a…ae58 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e44…f14d | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 18:47 |
| Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 18:40 |
| Positive-Detention 0xdd6f…2a8b | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x3238…6471 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 22:51 |
| Sorrowful-Prior 0x8c27…567a | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 18:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x82a5…674e | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 17:26 |
| Soupy-Furniture 0xe3fa…388a | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:17 |
| Arctic-Insolence 0x5965…33b5 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 16:09 |
| Unfortunate-Locket 0xd3da…c91f | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 17:35 |
| Political-Anatomy-Patron 0x9d1f…3a0c | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 17:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 20:03:56 | Acclaimed-Harbour 0x3d52…aabb | Yes | SELL | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0xa73b86… |
| 05-16 19:31:55 | Scared-Wrapper 0x0c7e…f02f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x460fc1… |
| 05-16 19:15:28 | Blind-Revascularisation 0xe10f…e8bb | Yes | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xcfab5f… |
| 05-16 19:02:20 | Afraid-Secret 0x4918…0043 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x5bb2cf… |
| 05-16 19:00:00 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | SELL | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0xf77716… |
| 05-16 18:59:57 | (anonymous) 0x6e44…f14d | Yes | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x133599… |
| 05-16 18:59:57 | Poised-Barn 0x792d…af4d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x543e85… |
| 05-16 18:57:40 | Lovely-Prevention 0x2c8c…42d1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x92f06e… |
| 05-16 18:57:33 | Swift-External 0x0bea…87b7 | Yes | BUY | 165 | 100¢ | $165 | 0xab4f23… |
| 05-16 18:57:00 | Warlike-Preference 0x42e9…b8c6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcd9526… |
| 05-16 18:52:22 | White-Pinot 0x4b9d…5483 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xb31654… |
| 05-16 18:52:20 | Babyish-Hammock 0x7906…be5d | Yes | BUY | 759 | 98¢ | $743 | 0xd860d9… |
| 05-16 18:52:20 | Miserable-Grill 0xa299…ac77 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xfcd893… |
| 05-16 18:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x6e44…f14d | No | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xe92605… |
| 05-16 18:46:58 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x4e4c94… |
| 05-16 18:45:06 | Outstanding-Heroine 0x81b0…ad6d | No | SELL | 27 | 26¢ | $7 | 0xb87524… |
| 05-16 18:45:06 | Flamboyant-Brooch 0xa255…5cbc | Yes | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $14 | 0xaac0e1… |
| 05-16 18:43:40 | (anonymous) 0xbd3c…fc78 | No | SELL | 27 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xb55872… |
| 05-16 18:42:21 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 1,050 | 23¢ | $242 | 0xcd1935… |
| 05-16 18:40:40 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xebdb3e… |
| 05-16 18:40:38 | Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x3c0f61… |
| 05-16 18:37:17 | Sorrowful-Prior 0x8c27…567a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9be4c7… |
| 05-16 18:37:13 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x607f6b… |
| 05-16 18:37:10 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x99fb03… |
| 05-16 18:32:09 | Failing-Statement 0x5657…0e72 | No | SELL | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0xd6e189… |
| 05-16 18:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xbd3c…fc78 | No | BUY | 27 | 75¢ | $20 | 0x8cbdaa… |
| 05-16 18:27:06 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 11 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x0b5aa2… |
| 05-16 17:46:58 | Giving-Seller 0x8d19…bf25 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x2c3f53… |
| 05-16 17:46:55 | Spectacular-Share 0x2123…de2e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xea0711… |
| 05-16 17:46:51 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xbab398… |
| 05-16 17:46:48 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xb4b1d4… |
| 05-16 17:46:46 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xfe4e34… |
| 05-16 17:42:02 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0x65db53… |
| 05-16 17:35:01 | Political-Anatomy-Patron 0x9d1f…3a0c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x909c52… |
| 05-16 17:35:01 | Unfortunate-Locket 0xd3da…c91f | No | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xf55f91… |
| 05-16 17:29:49 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | BUY | 16 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x64184d… |
| 05-16 17:29:42 | Surprised-Inspector 0xd2e5…c638 | Yes | BUY | 164 | 61¢ | $100 | 0xbd6180… |
| 05-16 17:29:40 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 61¢ | $10 | 0x41a544… |
| 05-16 17:28:11 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 60¢ | $10 | 0x785182… |
| 05-16 17:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x82a5…674e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 59¢ | $2 | 0xe65760… |
| 05-16 17:21:46 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 14 | 68¢ | $10 | 0xf39bc2… |
| 05-16 17:20:06 | Oddball-Kebab 0x1b8b…8cb3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0xdd0c7b… |
| 05-16 17:16:35 | Spectacular-Share 0x2123…de2e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xbd7158… |
| 05-16 17:12:58 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 35 | 68¢ | $24 | 0xf5b681… |
| 05-16 17:11:11 | Positive-Detention 0xdd6f…2a8b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x0054e5… |
| 05-16 16:41:40 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | BUY | 429 | 31¢ | $133 | 0x190dff… |
| 05-16 16:09:44 | Arctic-Insolence 0x5965…33b5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xd37265… |
| 05-16 16:05:11 | Parched-Somebody 0xe36a…ae58 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x589ee3… |
| 05-16 16:05:09 | Great-Snake 0x9cb4…8285 | Yes | BUY | 613 | 30¢ | $184 | 0x76795d… |
| 05-16 14:16:49 | Great-Snake 0x9cb4…8285 | No | BUY | 230 | 72¢ | $165 | 0x797c74… |
| 05-16 11:55:53 | Trim-Artifact 0x7477…a7a8 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 29¢ | $25 | 0x1e4a25… |
| 05-15 13:17:15 | Soupy-Furniture 0xe3fa…388a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xfb2473… |
| 05-15 00:47:57 | Self-Assured-Cornmeal 0x9b84…653f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 31¢ | $7 | 0xcd2793… |
| 05-14 22:51:35 | (anonymous) 0x3238…6471 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $3 | 0xb3015c… |