Parched-Somebody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$527

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

6,446

Trades

17,591

lifetime

Volume

$48.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$57

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-24 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

55% 57% -$361

Crypto

42% 56% -$277

Sports

3% 48% +$122

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+91	$10	34¢	$31	+$21	09-09 23:24
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	+29	$10	46¢	$13	+$3	09-09 23:26
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+111	$10	12¢	$13	+$3	09-08 22:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	26	$655	706	0	+706	Yes	+$52	05-21 18:37
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev	20	$644	749	0	+749	Alexander Zverev	+$105	05-27 09:46
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5	1	$449	463	0	+463	Under	+$14	05-23 20:56
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	4	$362	367	0	+367	Yes	+$4	05-19 20:26
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	283	$288	180	179	+1	Yes	-$2	05-03 15:00
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?	10	$273	568	0	+568	Yes	-$81	05-24 15:48
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?	16	$268	453	0	+453	Yes	-$100	05-24 20:28
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	228	$261	152	152	+0	Yes	-$4	05-03 21:18
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	241	$254	147	147	+0	Yes	-$2	05-03 15:16
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon	25	$251	284	0	+284	Raphael Collignon	+$34	05-18 09:50
Centurion: Calvin Hemery vs Khololwam Montsi	6	$245	351	0	+351	Calvin Hemery	+$106	05-26 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 21:15 UTC	94	$243	300	186	+114	Down	+$41	06-17 21:22
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?	31	$228	446	0	+446	Yes	-$79	06-01 15:52
Will Madagascar win on 2026-06-02?	4	$225	234	0	+234	No	+$9	06-02 08:02
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev	12	$211	330	0	+330	Andrey Rublev	+$119	05-25 11:42
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	9	$211	331	0	+331	Roman Andres Burruchaga	-$205	05-26 12:48
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	16	$208	519	0	+519	Arthur Rinderknech	+$312	05-18 09:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	176	$200	110	110	-0	No	+$1	05-03 17:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	174	$184	95	95	+0	No	-$1	05-03 19:18
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane	6	$183	244	0	+244	Thanasi Kokkinakis	-$183	05-25 08:46
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang	4	$177	361	0	+361	Tamara Korpatsch	-$177	05-27 08:56
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	85	$171	234	0	+234	Casper Ruud	+$63	05-17 20:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:20 UTC	76	$168	280	84	+196	Up	-$30	06-17 21:22
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-10?	2	$164	168	0	+168	Yes	+$4	05-20 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:20 UTC	59	$159	212	66	+146	Up	+$21	06-17 21:22
Will Palermo FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw?	1	$158	205	0	+205	No	+$47	05-20 10:29
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	100	$154	164	158	+6	No	-$2	04-23 13:18
fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	151	$151	1,679	0	+1,679	Paraguay	-$151	06-24 06:55
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-01?	4	$144	151	0	+151	No	+$7	06-01 22:30
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?	107	$143	263	249	+14	No	+$0	04-23 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 14:18:35	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x578f80…
10-24 14:18:21	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x5f40e3…
10-18 23:01:41	Bills vs. Raiders	Bills	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xf86cff…
10-17 15:35:51	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x01c1ca…
10-12 17:45:33	Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfd5ac9…
10-12 17:44:11	Skyler Bell: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xed772a…
10-12 17:42:53	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xce6360…
10-11 15:58:06	Giants vs. Commanders	Giants	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xced183…
10-11 15:57:34	Browns vs. Jets	Browns	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf41620…
10-11 15:52:07	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x47c09b…
10-04 16:50:37	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xb7b063…
10-04 16:50:05	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Jaguars	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4ef851…
10-04 16:49:49	Packers vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x77f689…
10-04 16:49:26	Rams vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x736cb0…
10-04 16:09:34	Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x83f145…
10-04 16:08:56	James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x629ac1…
10-04 16:07:29	Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xac4b00…
10-04 16:06:29	Dawson Knox: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x3e1027…
10-04 16:06:13	Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4c3a2d…
10-04 15:47:04	Spread: Bills (-6.5)	Bills	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xc29017…
10-02 09:13:56	Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3389ef…
10-02 09:13:48	Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc0d66d…
10-02 07:59:05	Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x74b336…
10-02 07:57:41	Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before the midterms?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xdd6745…
10-02 07:57:41	Will Vikings D/ST finish as a top-12 D/ST in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x5e033a…
10-02 07:48:05	Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xbd5c2f…
10-02 07:40:42	Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x084bbe…
09-27 17:37:35	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x86defb…
09-27 17:13:33	Spread: Bills (-2.5)	Bills	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xeb0841…
09-27 17:13:03	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Chargers	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0x49b9a3…
09-27 15:53:36	Quinshon Judkins: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa0ffc3…
09-27 15:53:36	Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x28e38d…
09-27 15:43:24	Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6ffd70…
09-27 15:39:14	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Colts	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe45905…
09-27 15:38:48	nfl ne jax 2026 09 27	Patriots	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xcf8b63…
09-27 15:38:23	Panthers vs. Browns	Panthers	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaae84b…
09-27 15:37:42	Jets vs. Lions	Jets	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6b6eb8…
09-27 15:36:33	Ray Davis: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x5a378f…
09-27 15:32:12	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Chargers	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc041f8…
09-27 15:31:39	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe02e4a…
09-27 15:30:33	Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)	Chiefs	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x96edd3…
09-26 07:39:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9f00a1…
09-26 07:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x90f2e7…
09-20 20:20:22	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x10bc6b…
09-20 20:20:01	Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	34	42¢	$14	0xf06cb4…
09-20 19:25:35	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x4c7b25…
09-20 18:07:21	Packers vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd3d81d…
09-20 18:06:06	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x74bb8b…
09-20 17:20:48	Saints vs. Ravens	Saints	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6dc943…
09-19 15:57:48	Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xe8766a…
09-19 15:57:41	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7b475d…
09-19 15:55:59	Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)	Cowboys	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x00f141…
09-19 15:55:23	Spread: 49ers (-14.5)	Dolphins	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xe5073b…
09-19 15:54:38	Steelers vs. Patriots	Steelers	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x05b738…
09-19 15:54:24	Spread: Patriots (-5.5)	Steelers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf285d8…
09-19 15:53:47	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Buccaneers	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x0070e8…
09-19 15:53:03	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x56db46…
09-19 15:52:38	Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xcf23b8…
09-18 10:03:09	Jaguars vs. Broncos	Jaguars	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x886ad4…
09-18 10:02:25	Vikings vs. Bears	Vikings	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xa47f5b…
09-18 09:59:25	Bengals vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1dde56…
09-15 16:27:06	Arnaut Danjuma: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x09af39…
09-15 16:26:12	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x295991…
09-13 20:23:09	Dolphins vs. Raiders	Raiders	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa50268…
09-13 20:22:52	Packers vs. Vikings	Packers	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x6be0af…
09-13 20:22:43	Commanders vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x09ef9b…
09-13 20:22:36	Saints vs. Lions	Lions	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc6b777…
09-13 19:15:52	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Buccaneers	SELL	65	18¢	$12	0x69ff19…
09-13 18:16:01	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Buccaneers	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x7c6909…
09-13 18:15:12	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Buccaneers	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x47b308…
09-13 18:11:04	Bears vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3e1b32…
09-13 18:08:13	Will Josh Allen have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xcc2166…
09-13 18:08:03	Will Josh Allen have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa2acef…
09-13 15:39:13	Cowboys vs. Giants: 1H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x64e370…
09-13 15:38:34	Cardinals vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7e86ff…
09-13 15:35:27	Saints vs. Lions: 1H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x61c83c…
09-13 15:34:45	Buccaneers vs. Bengals: 2H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x04cb1b…
09-13 15:34:31	Buccaneers vs. Bengals: 1H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x191578…
09-13 15:09:01	Ravens vs. Colts: 1H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xeb296b…
09-13 06:09:42	Spread: Steelers (-6.5)	Steelers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcfbfd1…
09-13 06:09:07	Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5de1a9…
09-13 06:08:01	Josh Allen: Passing Yards O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x090657…
09-13 06:07:16	Bills vs. Texans	Bills	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcf7be5…
09-11 20:19:49	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3b21d8…
09-11 18:00:36	Ryunosuke Sato: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd2e6ce…
09-10 22:31:01	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc6fa96…
09-10 22:22:43	Bills vs. Texans: 2H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x78c40b…
09-10 22:21:57	49ers vs. Rams	49ers	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8e1e05…
09-10 22:20:57	49ers vs. Rams: 1H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9db189…
09-09 23:36:58	Patriots vs. Seahawks: 2H O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x898c33…
09-09 23:35:52	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc0f24b…
09-09 23:32:15	Will Parker Washington have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf651b5…
09-09 23:31:01	Will Josh Allen have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x55914f…
09-09 23:30:37	Will Josh Allen have 499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7d1aeb…
09-09 23:29:31	Will Josh Allen have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xac81e9…
09-09 23:28:39	Will Josh Allen have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x97802a…
09-09 23:27:06	Will Kellen Moore win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x56b7b1…
09-09 23:26:06	Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x6f4fa1…
09-09 23:24:57	Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0xf87845…
09-09 23:24:48	Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe5f715…