Realized P&L
-$265
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
3,629
Trades
4,254
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$54
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 06-10 17:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
77% 51% -$88
Sports
21% 51% -$143
Politics
2% 38% -$31
Crypto
0% 53% -$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +7 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 05-26 12:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +7 $5 86¢ $6 +$1 05-24 00:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 06-06 02:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 99¢ $4 +$2 05-20 13:27
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +7 $5 54¢ $4 -$1 05-23 02:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$1 06-02 21:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-07 19:44
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-09 18:57
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 06-09 19:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +4 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 06-09 03:54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +9 $5 34¢ $3 -$2 05-17 17:08
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 05-08 14:09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +20 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 05-12 18:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +8 $5 13¢ $1 -$4 05-24 01:02
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +24 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 05-25 12:30
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +16 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 05-23 22:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $5 6¢ $1 -$4 05-18 19:12
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$2 05-19 15:10
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +26 $5 1¢ $0 -$4 05-23 22:06
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +50 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 05-23 22:04