Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$190
$291 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$706
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 00:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $46 | $131 | $85 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $8 | $100 | $92 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $3 | $16 | $13 |
| Median | 2 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $24 | $2 | +$22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 04:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | +29 | $6 | $14 | 5 | 05-12 22:33 |
| Woozy-Break 0x9686…1701 | Yes | +27 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 21:56 |
| Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-13 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Near-Almond-Bungalow 0x6892…fcd6 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 04:39 |
| Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | +12 | $4 | $14 | 3 | 05-12 22:33 |
| Bad-Armoire 0x6036…cc41 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 13:14 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 21:46 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:43 |
| Loving-Hook 0xb55b…be21 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xdceb…481a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:43 |
| Putrid-Pressurisation 0xc4fc…5eb2 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 05:40 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 04:31 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:16:53 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x99d650… |
| 05-13 00:08:33 | Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | BUY | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0xcbd222… |
| 05-13 00:08:26 | Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xe8b1b0… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x34f0e2… |
| 05-13 00:02:15 | Bad-Armoire 0x6036…cc41 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x50a495… |
| 05-12 22:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x797b4d… |
| 05-12 22:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xf07bb5… |
| 05-12 22:33:03 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x7a31d3… |
| 05-12 22:33:03 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xfbe6bd… |
| 05-12 22:31:15 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x7acf9a… |
| 05-12 22:31:11 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x80db2c… |
| 05-12 22:31:11 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xa59845… |
| 05-12 22:31:08 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xcb7884… |
| 05-12 22:31:08 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x36e3cf… |
| 05-12 22:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x05a7a3… |
| 05-12 22:31:01 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x3ae5de… |
| 05-12 22:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xfd49a0… |
| 05-12 22:30:54 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x8fdd00… |
| 05-12 21:56:52 | Woozy-Break 0x9686…1701 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 30¢ | $8 | 0xc30676… |
| 05-12 21:56:45 | Loving-Hook 0xb55b…be21 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x6e676e… |
| 05-12 21:56:36 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xd02724… |
| 05-12 21:46:48 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xa1bc0c… |
| 05-12 21:46:43 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xf4b903… |
| 05-12 21:43:04 | (anonymous) 0xdceb…481a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xa638fa… |
| 05-12 21:43:04 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x86c4b3… |
| 05-12 13:14:38 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9fa091… |
| 05-12 05:40:39 | Putrid-Pressurisation 0xc4fc…5eb2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x50d1d2… |
| 05-12 04:39:19 | Near-Almond-Bungalow 0x6892…fcd6 | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x4b6264… |
| 05-12 04:31:02 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xe2fc72… |
| 05-12 04:30:41 | Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0xc3eea8… |