Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 7?
open
Total volume
$1,755
$1,809 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$1,326
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 15:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $1.4K | $2 | +$1.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $110 | — | +$110 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 9 | $1.2K | — | +$1.2K |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $100 | — | +$100 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadowy-Cook 0x7f48…f229 | Yes | +1,003 | $1,002 | $1,002 | 1 | 05-07 14:18 |
| Admired-Entree 0x5068…0071 | No | +107 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 07:44 |
| Male-Drawer 0xffe0…919e | Yes | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-06 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa146…1d57 | Yes | +61 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-07 06:28 |
| Any-Anesthesiologist 0xf4ee…e1ac | Yes | +59 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-06 19:40 |
| Beautiful-Cleft 0x1b0d…b018 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-07 00:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | Yes | +42 | $41 | $174 | 3 | 05-07 11:35 |
| Zany-Skiing 0x8a19…073d | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 14:21 |
| Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 06:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f7d…3a0c | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 06:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…458a | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 06:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 15:04:43 | Cute-Cabinet 0x5428…f1da | Yes | SELL | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xa61c22… |
| 05-07 14:21:47 | Zany-Skiing 0x8a19…073d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd8b834… |
| 05-07 14:18:49 | Shadowy-Cook 0x7f48…f229 | Yes | BUY | 1,003 | 100¢ | $1,002 | 0x47b4d7… |
| 05-07 11:35:27 | (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 100¢ | $67 | 0xcb752d… |
| 05-07 11:30:52 | (anonymous) 0xb0d4…e3e5 | No | SELL | 216 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa7abc0… |
| 05-07 07:44:39 | Admired-Entree 0x5068…0071 | No | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe05101… |
| 05-07 06:58:50 | Admired-Entree 0x5068…0071 | No | BUY | 69 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x202b96… |
| 05-07 06:39:05 | Lost-Octopus 0x5f5b…c9b8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc4154b… |
| 05-07 06:28:56 | Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x79728f… |
| 05-07 06:28:39 | Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7a28db… |
| 05-07 06:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x3b3be3… |
| 05-07 06:28:11 | (anonymous) 0xa146…1d57 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xad041e… |
| 05-07 06:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 98¢ | $55 | 0x3f6f65… |
| 05-07 06:28:07 | (anonymous) 0x5f7d…3a0c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xa8a0ec… |
| 05-07 06:28:07 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…458a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbdba44… |
| 05-07 06:28:07 | (anonymous) 0xa146…1d57 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x8456d2… |
| 05-07 01:33:04 | Serious-Armchair 0xfb21…def6 | No | SELL | 89 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xed18b4… |
| 05-07 00:53:12 | Beautiful-Cleft 0x1b0d…b018 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xecc3b7… |
| 05-06 22:06:31 | Male-Drawer 0xffe0…919e | Yes | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0xf94b84… |
| 05-06 19:40:08 | Any-Anesthesiologist 0xf4ee…e1ac | Yes | BUY | 59 | 80¢ | $47 | 0x827e19… |
| 05-06 19:04:34 | Decisive-Nanoparticle 0x9623…1cfe | No | SELL | 1 | 36¢ | $0 | 0x8a4431… |
| 05-06 09:51:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd792f1… |