Serious-Armchair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

257

Trades

1,187

lifetime

Volume

$2.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-25 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 74% +$15

Sports

3% 64% +$5

Other

2% 0% $-3

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	11	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$47	550	38	+512	open	—	05-18 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	10	$39	95	0	+95	open	—	05-18 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$39	131	0	+131	open	—	05-18 13:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$31	84	0	+84	open	—	05-18 19:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	10	$29	82	0	+82	open	—	05-18 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	5	$21	625	19	+606	open	—	05-18 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$20	57	0	+57	open	—	05-18 13:55
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	05-18 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	05-18 15:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	11	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	05-18 16:10
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	05-18 14:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	9	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	05-18 15:35
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	05-18 17:06
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	9	$20	57	0	+57	open	—	05-18 14:11
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$19	55	0	+55	open	—	05-18 19:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	26	$18	374	374	+0	open	—	05-04 02:59
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	7	$12	40	0	+40	open	—	05-18 19:51
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$12	40	0	+40	open	—	05-18 18:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$12	34	0	+34	open	—	05-18 14:10
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$12	39	0	+39	open	—	05-18 19:46
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	2	$11	7	7	+0	Over	+$4	05-05 23:38
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	2	$10	6	6	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2	05-06 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$10	542	0	+542	open	—	05-18 00:19
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	8	$10	550	0	+550	open	—	05-18 01:15
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	5	$9	8	8	+0	Division One	$-1	05-04 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 01:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$9	30	15	+15	open	—	05-18 08:23
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	2	$9	7	7	+0	Kansas City Royals	+$1	05-05 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 01:48:26	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xac6b5e…
05-25 01:18:47	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf42936…
05-25 01:18:41	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd0d645…
05-25 01:18:29	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x74fcc7…
05-25 01:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x72290c…
05-25 00:18:40	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb22932…
05-25 00:18:35	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf88a04…
05-25 00:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8bfc4b…
05-24 23:53:35	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe4eab2…
05-24 23:53:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6c6626…
05-24 23:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe365cf…
05-24 23:52:58	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5509b5…
05-24 23:38:46	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x783f33…
05-22 14:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x045f73…
05-22 14:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa62f80…
05-22 14:44:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfdf024…
05-22 14:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xdc02ae…
05-22 14:13:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x25a99e…
05-22 14:13:32	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3ae71a…
05-22 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcbee4a…
05-22 13:59:27	doge updown 5m 1779458100	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd5ef7f…
05-22 13:48:24	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x22f69c…
05-22 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7c884c…
05-22 12:43:27	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x91c501…
05-22 12:04:02	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x442c0d…
05-22 11:13:52	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x31a469…
05-22 11:08:48	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x38eba5…
05-22 10:29:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe62f63…
05-22 09:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x107cb1…
05-22 09:13:28	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe5f080…
05-22 08:53:31	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0f4828…
05-22 08:53:26	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x478bd1…
05-22 08:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x468b55…
05-22 08:43:28	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5bf859…
05-22 08:29:00	BNB Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x980681…
05-22 08:23:53	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xce08b2…
05-22 07:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8e1ef5…
05-22 07:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xaabf63…
05-22 06:58:42	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9a1e2c…
05-22 06:23:26	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf09bcf…
05-22 05:54:00	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb0131e…
05-22 05:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x21bc7f…
05-22 04:48:10	BNB Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x515d4f…
05-22 02:13:48	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9b03c8…
05-22 01:38:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xffb913…
05-22 01:33:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7b8328…
05-22 01:33:26	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x013c82…
05-22 01:04:07	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x85fa86…
05-22 00:22:19	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc4fdbe…
05-22 00:13:20	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x69d847…
05-21 23:39:04	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5fd68b…
05-21 23:38:25	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1d5727…
05-21 23:03:57	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x642c71…
05-21 23:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc10128…
05-21 22:58:35	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7de546…
05-21 21:33:34	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6f95c0…
05-21 21:18:39	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x060d6d…
05-21 21:08:06	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1ad6ad…
05-21 21:02:56	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3a490f…
05-21 20:09:13	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x497faa…
05-21 19:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x927ca0…
05-21 16:49:13	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7a6cd6…
05-21 16:23:26	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x587732…
05-21 16:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1646a9…
05-21 16:08:56	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x393637…
05-21 16:08:32	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xff25ba…
05-21 15:38:10	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4384e2…
05-21 15:03:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x45f6f4…
05-21 14:48:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6649f6…
05-21 14:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf6feab…
05-21 14:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xaa0189…
05-21 12:53:59	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x271c68…
05-21 12:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x99966d…
05-21 12:38:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6f13d9…
05-21 12:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdeb5b6…
05-21 12:18:59	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc7b30e…
05-21 11:58:25	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xef31af…
05-21 11:43:43	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbadf81…
05-21 11:34:01	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4a9bdc…
05-21 11:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6df431…
05-21 11:28:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x78f39d…
05-21 11:28:26	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc613a5…
05-21 11:23:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x189851…
05-21 11:08:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9f5d6f…
05-21 10:03:29	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x300119…
05-21 09:50:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x66c67b…
05-21 09:35:23	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcb3f97…
05-21 09:35:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9f4a31…
05-21 09:28:58	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdcdb5f…
05-21 08:43:23	doge updown 5m 1779352800	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x60b492…
05-21 08:36:02	doge updown 5m 1779352500	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbcab4b…
05-21 08:15:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf85f21…
05-21 08:05:26	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb0944d…
05-21 07:12:35	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4baff8…
05-21 07:11:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3d543d…
05-21 06:58:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x736ade…
05-21 06:57:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa6b8f5…
05-21 06:45:17	doge updown 5m 1779345900	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x92874e…
05-21 06:35:31	doge updown 5m 1779345300	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3a9ad8…
05-21 06:30:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0aa928…