Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 12?
open
Total volume
$157
$37 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$913
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 03:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $42 | $62 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $74 | $74 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Median | 6 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $6 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 5 | $23 | — | +$23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +61 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 00:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | +54 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-10 06:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | +38 | $5 | $25 | 4 | 05-11 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ea8…d76e | Yes | +38 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 00:02 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| Vacant-Venue 0x4ba4…0a0b | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 01:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c97…6d28 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:45 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 07:33 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Blue-Kielbasa 0x4dbd…fcda | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:57 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:03 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 06:03 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 12:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 03:28:04 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x758b55… |
| 05-11 02:50:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x63ac90… |
| 05-11 01:24:44 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x4072b6… |
| 05-11 01:20:25 | Vacant-Venue 0x4ba4…0a0b | Yes | BUY | 17 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x14959d… |
| 05-11 00:07:00 | Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x45d29c… |
| 05-11 00:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 17¢ | $9 | 0xb8e8b7… |
| 05-11 00:02:43 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xdda928… |
| 05-11 00:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x1ea8…d76e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x8f7fcf… |
| 05-10 23:57:59 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x8c3ace… |
| 05-10 23:57:56 | Blue-Kielbasa 0x4dbd…fcda | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x94be81… |
| 05-10 23:25:51 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 21 | 84¢ | $18 | 0x4facd9… |
| 05-10 23:25:40 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x5409fa… |
| 05-10 23:25:37 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x558380… |
| 05-10 23:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x6f547a… |
| 05-10 23:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xfc7f87… |
| 05-10 19:03:52 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x3edd39… |
| 05-10 18:54:25 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x34b964… |
| 05-10 18:54:22 | Lone-Remark 0xe2b5…4558 | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xe432b6… |
| 05-10 12:46:57 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xa1fc4a… |
| 05-10 09:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x2c97…6d28 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd7d7fa… |
| 05-10 07:33:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x7c8823… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x70d908… |
| 05-10 07:29:19 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xf29564… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x489cb5… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x1f8dd4… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x096221… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x064b90… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xf18630… |
| 05-10 07:29:16 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x8e3c6b… |
| 05-10 06:31:59 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | BUY | 54 | 91¢ | $49 | 0xd34882… |
| 05-10 06:22:13 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x694f3a… |
| 05-10 06:03:06 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc7e4ec… |