Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$289
$2,400 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$1,605
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 06:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $49 | $49 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $0 | $236 | $235 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $71 | $71 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $127 | $127 |
| Median | 5 | — | $75 | $75 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +128 | $127 | $127 | 2 | 05-11 23:41 |
| French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | +67 | $66 | $66 | 2 | 05-11 23:03 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 05-12 02:03 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-11 03:34 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 21:02 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 06:21 |
| Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 06:46 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 15:27 |
| Likable-Porcelain 0xad74…15c1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-10 04:21 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 21:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 06:56:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8984f5… |
| 05-12 06:46:15 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x363734… |
| 05-12 02:03:46 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1c79a3… |
| 05-12 02:03:46 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xe30b9a… |
| 05-12 00:08:32 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8357ed… |
| 05-12 00:02:23 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5153c6… |
| 05-11 23:41:58 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x29ce7c… |
| 05-11 23:03:45 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xddf379… |
| 05-11 21:53:03 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xfef96e… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e9012… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe43103… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde6a11… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x6d5557… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x00234d… |
| 05-11 21:02:34 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4ffd67… |
| 05-11 21:02:29 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x99df89… |
| 05-11 03:34:07 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xcbc9a4… |
| 05-11 03:18:43 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb4fa2b… |
| 05-10 15:27:01 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x12f9d0… |
| 05-10 12:41:59 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0xfced8f… |
| 05-10 06:21:38 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x71c05c… |
| 05-10 04:21:49 | Likable-Porcelain 0xad74…15c1 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe7a322… |
| 05-10 04:21:14 | Likable-Porcelain 0xad74…15c1 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xdabfca… |