Ignorant-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

151

Trades

5,387

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 08-09 21:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 40% +$45

Other

29% 37% +$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	32	$274	583	567	+16	open	—	04-01 04:41
btc updown 4h 1783713600	35	$205	762	0	+762	open	—	07-10 22:19
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 9pm et	28	$202	376	207	+169	open	—	03-31 01:21
bitcoin up or down on april 2 2026	25	$198	352	184	+169	open	—	04-02 01:18
xrp up or down on april 4 2026	44	$177	409	0	+409	open	—	04-04 08:46
btc updown 4h 1784908800	14	$158	390	0	+390	open	—	07-24 17:59
xrp updown 4h 1776542400	174	$152	402	0	+402	open	—	04-18 21:30
btc updown 4h 1784952000	14	$130	393	0	+393	open	—	07-25 05:46
xrp updown 4h 1776556800	134	$120	266	50	+216	open	—	04-19 01:23
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12pm et	23	$116	269	269	+0	open	—	03-30 16:33
solana up or down on april 4 2026	30	$107	271	0	+271	open	—	04-04 08:58
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	8	$105	164	162	+2	open	—	03-30 11:19
eth updown 4h 1776542400	84	$96	273	0	+273	open	—	04-18 20:17
eth updown 4h 1776556800	75	$92	170	42	+128	open	—	04-19 01:24
solana up or down on april 3 2026	25	$92	191	0	+191	open	—	04-03 04:45
btc updown 4h 1775851200	24	$91	249	0	+249	open	—	04-10 21:14
bnb up or down on july 25 2026	14	$88	315	0	+315	open	—	07-25 03:47
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 9am et	14	$87	99	99	+0	open	—	03-30 13:31
eth updown 4h 1784822400	14	$82	360	0	+360	open	—	07-23 17:53
hype up or down on april 7 2026	8	$79	70	48	+22	open	—	04-07 13:16
solana up or down on july 26 2026	10	$74	205	0	+205	open	—	07-25 23:19
dogecoin up or down on april 17 2026	4	$70	45	45	+0	open	—	04-17 13:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	26	$69	250	0	+250	open	—	05-02 13:05
eth updown 4h 1783756800	10	$69	300	0	+300	open	—	07-11 09:58
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	7	$68	164	0	+164	open	—	05-27 08:26
btc updown 4h 1785052800	4	$68	200	0	+200	open	—	07-26 08:44
eth updown 4h 1785052800	5	$65	205	0	+205	open	—	07-26 09:30
sol updown 4h 1784851200	5	$63	150	0	+150	open	—	07-24 01:55
sol updown 4h 1785052800	6	$62	262	0	+262	open	—	07-26 09:58
sol updown 4h 1776542400	93	$60	167	0	+167	open	—	04-18 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 21:31:04	hype updown 4h 1786305600	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x386919…
07-28 09:53:38	hype up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0xe39161…
07-27 19:50:34	bnb up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x76cc9a…
07-27 19:50:33	bnb up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x796f04…
07-27 18:29:37	bnb up or down july 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xea8bea…
07-27 18:29:19	bnb up or down july 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xe1d884…
07-27 18:29:19	bnb up or down july 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x275298…
07-27 18:29:19	bnb up or down july 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x07b67b…
07-27 16:46:25	bnb up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0x94360f…
07-27 09:11:48	bnb updown 4h 1785139200	Up	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xf4752e…
07-27 01:01:58	bnb updown 4h 1785110400	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xeb049f…
07-26 21:18:31	xrp up or down july 26 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xf50ae5…
07-26 21:18:27	xrp up or down july 26 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x3edbd6…
07-26 20:26:12	bnb up or down july 26 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x378bf6…
07-26 18:30:01	bnb up or down july 26 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb6ca14…
07-26 16:32:28	solana up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x7c7cbb…
07-26 16:32:19	solana up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xa3b55e…
07-26 10:27:42	bnb updown 4h 1785052800	Up	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x578554…
07-26 10:25:12	xrp updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x785716…
07-26 10:25:07	xrp updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x07ab22…
07-26 10:24:07	xrp updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x1c7748…
07-26 10:24:07	xrp updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x035da0…
07-26 09:58:00	sol updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xaa9e93…
07-26 09:48:52	sol updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x96a76e…
07-26 09:38:01	sol updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x28d076…
07-26 09:37:06	sol updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x3d9750…
07-26 09:36:55	sol updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xbe7d8c…
07-26 09:30:37	eth updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xb3c8ce…
07-26 09:30:21	eth updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x9042d0…
07-26 09:28:21	eth updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x89b637…
07-26 09:24:43	eth updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xabf7db…
07-26 09:21:31	sol updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x570b4d…
07-26 09:17:55	xrp updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xe6f08f…
07-26 09:17:54	xrp updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x2df15d…
07-26 09:05:37	eth updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x45479f…
07-26 09:03:37	bnb updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x99f28e…
07-26 08:44:03	btc updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x7e9941…
07-26 08:43:54	btc updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xf333fb…
07-26 08:43:21	btc updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xf0c151…
07-26 08:43:16	btc updown 4h 1785052800	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xfae854…
07-26 08:18:06	bnb up or down july 26 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x09e0b5…
07-26 03:38:40	xrp up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xdf8685…
07-25 23:19:22	solana up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xa1986f…
07-25 22:07:04	dogecoin up or down july 25 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xcb9ea6…
07-25 20:00:34	solana up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7a366d…
07-25 19:58:06	solana up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4ac73b…
07-25 19:01:43	bnb up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xc78f25…
07-25 19:00:22	solana up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfdac6a…
07-25 18:58:52	bnb up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xa54f7e…
07-25 18:58:16	bnb up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x2c2597…
07-25 18:29:00	bnb up or down july 25 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x9c8b01…
07-25 17:32:15	xrp up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xc73c63…
07-25 14:17:13	bnb updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xea44a4…
07-25 14:15:27	bnb updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xe29838…
07-25 14:07:43	xrp up or down july 25 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x860e66…
07-25 14:07:40	xrp up or down july 25 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x33be43…
07-25 14:05:48	bnb updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xc63c79…
07-25 14:03:49	bnb updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xed4df6…
07-25 14:03:33	bnb updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x724e54…
07-25 13:44:03	bnb updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xdfadab…
07-25 13:11:40	eth updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x681796…
07-25 13:11:37	eth updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xb98e85…
07-25 13:11:18	eth updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x7205ed…
07-25 13:11:16	eth updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x1f4b8f…
07-25 13:10:45	eth updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xe8a4b8…
07-25 13:10:30	eth updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x982e86…
07-25 13:10:18	btc updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xff4842…
07-25 13:10:18	btc updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x58275c…
07-25 13:09:54	btc updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbb9bf5…
07-25 13:09:52	btc updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1f74ff…
07-25 13:09:03	btc updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xfad9e4…
07-25 13:03:19	bnb updown 4h 1784980800	Down	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xe7b7fd…
07-25 10:16:37	bnb up or down july 25 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x07e18d…
07-25 07:29:57	bnb up or down july 25 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf861bd…
07-25 07:27:07	bnb up or down july 25 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x86269a…
07-25 06:24:25	bnb updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xa451d7…
07-25 05:53:34	bnb updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x399422…
07-25 05:46:16	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0ec0c3…
07-25 05:46:15	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xeebb62…
07-25 05:46:13	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x29a5d7…
07-25 05:46:12	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7e543f…
07-25 05:46:10	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x06d3a7…
07-25 05:46:07	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xe4b8fb…
07-25 05:46:06	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xaae797…
07-25 05:46:04	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x71c599…
07-25 05:46:03	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x3850f2…
07-25 05:45:48	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xc5ddf9…
07-25 05:00:12	eth updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x793a99…
07-25 05:00:10	eth updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x35ba6d…
07-25 05:00:03	sol updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xf4975c…
07-25 04:52:16	eth updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x2ab8e8…
07-25 04:41:55	xrp updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x9e0c23…
07-25 04:41:54	xrp updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x5406ae…
07-25 04:41:40	sol updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x2c0a8f…
07-25 04:41:37	xrp updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xca92fe…
07-25 04:41:37	xrp updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xc89558…
07-25 04:26:48	sol updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6a0aee…
07-25 04:19:37	eth updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x36ca64…
07-25 04:11:52	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x24439a…
07-25 04:11:52	btc updown 4h 1784952000	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x1bfc49…