Ignorant-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

151

Trades

5,032

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-21 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 40% +$45

Other

30% 37% +$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	32	$274	583	567	+16	open	—	04-01 04:41
btc updown 4h 1783713600	35	$205	762	0	+762	open	—	07-10 22:19
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 9pm et	28	$202	376	207	+169	open	—	03-31 01:21
bitcoin up or down on april 2 2026	25	$198	352	184	+169	open	—	04-02 01:18
xrp up or down on april 4 2026	44	$177	409	0	+409	open	—	04-04 08:46
xrp updown 4h 1776542400	174	$152	402	0	+402	open	—	04-18 21:30
xrp updown 4h 1776556800	134	$120	266	50	+216	open	—	04-19 01:23
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12pm et	23	$116	269	269	+0	open	—	03-30 16:33
solana up or down on april 4 2026	30	$107	271	0	+271	open	—	04-04 08:58
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	8	$105	164	162	+2	open	—	03-30 11:19
eth updown 4h 1776542400	84	$96	273	0	+273	open	—	04-18 20:17
eth updown 4h 1776556800	75	$92	170	42	+128	open	—	04-19 01:24
solana up or down on april 3 2026	25	$92	191	0	+191	open	—	04-03 04:45
btc updown 4h 1775851200	24	$91	249	0	+249	open	—	04-10 21:14
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 9am et	14	$87	99	99	+0	open	—	03-30 13:31
hype up or down on april 7 2026	8	$79	70	48	+22	open	—	04-07 13:16
dogecoin up or down on april 17 2026	4	$70	45	45	+0	open	—	04-17 13:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	26	$69	250	0	+250	open	—	05-02 13:05
eth updown 4h 1783756800	10	$69	300	0	+300	open	—	07-11 09:58
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	7	$68	164	0	+164	open	—	05-27 08:26
sol updown 4h 1776542400	93	$60	167	0	+167	open	—	04-18 21:01
Dogecoin Up or Down on May 20?	6	$58	60	48	+12	open	—	05-20 00:30
xrp up or down on april 5 2026	17	$57	147	0	+147	open	—	04-05 05:22
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 8PM ET	5	$52	131	0	+131	open	—	05-27 00:27
btc updown 4h 1784376000	9	$51	169	0	+169	open	—	07-18 12:07
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET	5	$48	103	0	+103	open	—	05-27 11:13
eth updown 4h 1784534400	5	$48	150	0	+150	open	—	07-20 08:50
bnb up or down on july 18 2026	5	$46	150	0	+150	open	—	07-17 18:48
bnb up or down on july 21 2026	6	$46	151	0	+151	open	—	07-20 22:53
sol updown 4h 1784534400	4	$46	120	0	+120	open	—	07-20 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 22:47:30	bnb up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9a9418…
07-21 22:47:10	bnb up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x1737cd…
07-21 22:46:55	bnb up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x85e21d…
07-21 22:46:07	bnb up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1eb161…
07-21 22:20:40	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x14428b…
07-21 22:20:39	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x40d5e4…
07-21 22:20:15	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x842f9e…
07-21 22:20:12	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x42d405…
07-21 22:19:55	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xfca748…
07-21 22:19:55	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xd92323…
07-21 21:44:54	bnb updown 4h 1784664000	Down	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xec5392…
07-21 21:38:28	bnb updown 4h 1784664000	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x6b2aff…
07-21 21:34:34	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x16f7bd…
07-21 21:34:25	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x4cd50c…
07-21 21:34:25	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x36dc07…
07-21 21:33:16	btc updown 4h 1784664000	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x7eae83…
07-21 21:31:58	bnb updown 4h 1784664000	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x8f9906…
07-21 21:13:03	bnb updown 4h 1784664000	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x02ad01…
07-21 21:10:00	bnb up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xadd5e2…
07-21 20:59:07	bnb up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0a2656…
07-21 20:59:00	bnb up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x922e9f…
07-21 20:58:57	bnb up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x21e320…
07-21 20:58:51	bnb up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb4abea…
07-21 20:45:51	bnb updown 4h 1784664000	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc7010e…
07-21 18:22:24	bnb updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x3481e3…
07-21 18:22:22	bnb updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x3c9575…
07-21 17:46:58	sol updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x1aa32b…
07-21 17:21:04	btc updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xf278f0…
07-21 17:20:57	btc updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xee2a0e…
07-21 17:20:54	btc updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x943e5d…
07-21 17:20:37	btc updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x44ea5c…
07-21 17:20:15	btc updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xc7d299…
07-21 17:20:03	btc updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xf084b8…
07-21 17:19:06	btc updown 4h 1784649600	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x83d2ad…
07-21 16:13:09	xrp up or down july 21 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x62cf23…
07-21 15:22:07	dogecoin up or down july 21 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xefecba…
07-21 15:06:45	xrp up or down july 21 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x0b4192…
07-21 15:06:42	xrp up or down july 21 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1efa2f…
07-21 14:25:04	bnb updown 4h 1784635200	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x94c119…
07-21 10:20:40	xrp updown 4h 1784620800	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x0a8047…
07-21 09:32:51	bnb updown 4h 1784620800	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x2b0bdb…
07-21 08:44:45	bnb updown 4h 1784620800	Down	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x94ee29…
07-21 08:44:45	bnb updown 4h 1784620800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x26760a…
07-21 03:08:30	xrp up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xae2e98…
07-21 01:15:19	bnb updown 4h 1784592000	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x2bbeae…
07-21 00:45:27	btc updown 4h 1784592000	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x03f0b7…
07-21 00:08:39	hype updown 4h 1784592000	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xf009f6…
07-20 22:53:19	bnb up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xa2b50a…
07-20 22:53:19	bnb up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x814398…
07-20 22:53:13	bnb up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x88a2b5…
07-20 22:53:03	bnb up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xd662f9…
07-20 22:40:01	bnb up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xb0fa2c…
07-20 22:40:01	bnb up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xb08273…
07-20 22:01:40	xrp updown 4h 1784577600	Up	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xc06ac0…
07-20 22:01:40	xrp updown 4h 1784577600	Up	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x88bcf9…
07-20 22:01:15	bnb updown 4h 1784577600	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xcb4b08…
07-20 21:08:19	btc updown 4h 1784577600	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x04d0df…
07-20 21:06:39	btc updown 4h 1784577600	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xa2eeb8…
07-20 21:03:09	btc updown 4h 1784577600	Down	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x8e4e61…
07-20 21:03:04	btc updown 4h 1784577600	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x69ceec…
07-20 21:00:37	btc updown 4h 1784577600	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xa548c0…
07-20 20:48:06	btc updown 4h 1784577600	Down	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x33114a…
07-20 20:37:30	btc updown 4h 1784577600	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xb2c198…
07-20 20:36:34	btc updown 4h 1784577600	Down	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x32b14d…
07-20 18:17:00	bnb updown 4h 1784563200	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd91af7…
07-20 18:12:39	bnb updown 4h 1784563200	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x47e3f2…
07-20 16:11:04	dogecoin up or down july 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x23569c…
07-20 13:25:22	bnb updown 4h 1784548800	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x2392f3…
07-20 12:40:42	bnb updown 4h 1784548800	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x28429d…
07-20 12:40:07	bnb updown 4h 1784548800	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x5c864a…
07-20 12:31:28	bnb updown 4h 1784548800	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xf526a2…
07-20 12:05:00	hype updown 4h 1784548800	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x06b5d9…
07-20 08:50:58	sol updown 4h 1784534400	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x3e4315…
07-20 08:50:51	sol updown 4h 1784534400	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x308570…
07-20 08:50:48	sol updown 4h 1784534400	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xd09ef8…
07-20 08:50:46	sol updown 4h 1784534400	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x1ac81b…
07-20 08:50:24	eth updown 4h 1784534400	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x74c2f5…
07-20 08:50:13	eth updown 4h 1784534400	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xd42946…
07-20 08:49:40	eth updown 4h 1784534400	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xea15e3…
07-20 08:49:40	eth updown 4h 1784534400	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x045ad2…
07-20 08:49:22	eth updown 4h 1784534400	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xa69812…
07-20 05:01:48	btc updown 4h 1784520000	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xafd0ba…
07-20 05:01:45	btc updown 4h 1784520000	Up	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x13d524…
07-20 05:00:00	bnb updown 4h 1784520000	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xa2b0af…
07-20 03:22:30	solana up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x277b94…
07-19 18:08:10	doge updown 4h 1784476800	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xc06c63…
07-19 18:08:10	doge updown 4h 1784476800	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x044fdb…
07-19 18:08:09	doge updown 4h 1784476800	Up	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xe44463…
07-18 17:43:43	btc updown 4h 1784390400	Down	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x898348…
07-18 16:19:04	xrp up or down july 18 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2eab7d…
07-18 16:18:10	xrp up or down july 18 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x9c4c87…
07-18 13:12:34	eth updown 4h 1784376000	Up	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x53dd79…
07-18 13:12:34	eth updown 4h 1784376000	Up	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x3bb0bf…
07-18 13:12:33	eth updown 4h 1784376000	Up	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x20909b…
07-18 13:12:31	eth updown 4h 1784376000	Up	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x3eeef7…
07-18 13:12:15	hype updown 4h 1784376000	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0xaa863e…
07-18 12:22:16	dogecoin up or down july 18 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xeeeea0…
07-18 12:22:12	dogecoin up or down july 18 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4303a4…
07-18 12:22:10	dogecoin up or down july 18 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x6f45a2…
07-18 12:22:07	dogecoin up or down july 18 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x40fec8…