Ignorant-Lute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

2,362

Trades

6,147

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-19 07:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 43% +$427

Other

46% 39% -$253

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?	8	$1.5K	845	845	+0	No	+$220	07-16 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?	9	$884	600	362	+238	Yes	-$162	07-17 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?	12	$761	812	40	+772	No	+$15	07-16 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?	5	$620	345	345	+0	No	+$68	07-16 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 18?	24	$594	3,052	128	+2,924	No	-$468	07-18 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 17?	3	$509	558	0	+558	No	+$49	07-17 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?	10	$340	496	0	+496	Yes	+$155	07-16 10:30
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	32	$274	583	567	+16	Up	-$6	04-01 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 17?	9	$256	254	80	+174	Yes	-$174	07-17 08:18
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-10 20:00 UTC	35	$205	762	0	+762	Up	+$126	07-10 22:19
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 9pm et	28	$202	376	207	+169	Up	-$38	03-31 01:21
bitcoin up or down on april 2 2026	25	$198	352	184	+169	Down	-$42	04-02 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 18?	5	$197	123	123	+0	No	+$12	07-18 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?	3	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$11	07-17 05:02
xrp up or down on april 4 2026	44	$177	409	0	+409	Down	-$16	04-04 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	4	$159	237	0	+237	No	+$79	07-17 06:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-24 16:00 UTC	14	$158	390	0	+390	Up	+$202	07-24 17:59
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC	174	$152	402	0	+402	Up	+$32	04-18 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?	9	$149	194	0	+194	No	-$149	07-17 07:26
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-25 04:00 UTC	14	$130	393	0	+393	Down	-$37	07-25 05:46
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-19 00:00 UTC	134	$120	266	50	+216	Down	+$37	04-19 01:23
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12pm et	23	$116	269	269	+0	Down	-$24	03-30 16:33
solana up or down on april 4 2026	30	$107	271	0	+271	Up	+$79	04-04 08:58
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	8	$105	164	162	+2	Up	+$10	03-30 11:19
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC	84	$96	273	0	+273	Up	-$26	04-18 20:17
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-19 00:00 UTC	75	$92	170	42	+128	Down	+$25	04-19 01:24
solana up or down on april 3 2026	25	$92	191	0	+191	Up	-$35	04-03 04:45
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-10 20:00 UTC	24	$91	249	0	+249	Down	-$1	04-10 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 17?	2	$88	50	50	+0	No	+$11	07-17 05:36
bnb up or down on july 25 2026	14	$88	315	0	+315	Up	-$39	07-25 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 07:30:15	BNB Up or Down - October 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x20a3dc…
10-19 07:20:09	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x803359…
10-18 22:01:12	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1784e2…
10-18 20:15:12	HYPE Up or Down - October 18, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x4c9894…
10-18 19:25:05	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x267c6a…
10-18 17:00:15	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3003d8…
10-18 16:06:05	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x9cb018…
10-18 16:00:12	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4db0e7…
10-18 14:29:32	HYPE Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x63dc69…
10-18 14:08:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xdc80e6…
10-18 13:26:20	Dogecoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xbe7c1e…
10-18 12:44:08	Dogecoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x589fcb…
10-18 09:14:18	HYPE Up or Down - October 18, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xb71e6e…
10-18 09:11:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x5fa8e6…
10-18 08:29:32	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5e087a…
10-18 08:29:32	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x180c84…
10-18 06:19:44	bnb up or down october 18 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x80c1ba…
10-18 06:17:05	bnb up or down october 18 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x13d423…
10-18 06:01:44	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x769e5b…
10-18 04:15:15	hype up or down october 18 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x41ef57…
10-18 04:08:08	dogecoin up or down october 18 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x9ec4da…
10-18 04:07:47	BNB Up or Down - October 18, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xa33e8b…
10-18 04:07:03	hype up or down on october 18 2026	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xb6082e…
10-18 02:43:06	bnb up or down october 17 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xa6008e…
10-18 02:33:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x8725ec…
10-18 01:18:02	hype up or down october 17 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdab23b…
10-18 00:29:29	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xf23ef7…
10-18 00:23:06	Dogecoin Up or Down on October 18?	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xe1c1b7…
10-17 23:16:44	dogecoin up or down october 17 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x1cec05…
10-17 22:16:00	dogecoin up or down october 17 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x91460c…
10-17 22:07:17	dogecoin up or down october 17 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x5628fd…
10-17 21:13:33	bnb up or down october 17 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x05f979…
10-17 21:13:30	dogecoin up or down october 17 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x793c5b…
10-17 21:10:50	bnb up or down october 17 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x85c3e5…
10-17 20:04:00	xrp up or down october 17 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3ffe1a…
10-17 18:11:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x754758…
10-17 18:06:29	xrp up or down october 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x648bb9…
10-17 18:05:56	solana up or down october 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x3a25e5…
10-17 18:01:24	bnb up or down october 17 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xff7d98…
10-17 17:01:51	bnb up or down october 17 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x43e7bf…
10-17 15:37:15	hype up or down on october 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb672a3…
10-17 15:11:05	dogecoin up or down october 17 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xc6cbc0…
10-17 15:03:09	dogecoin up or down october 17 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x24ef5c…
10-17 14:13:05	xrp up or down october 17 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xfe0853…
10-17 14:02:41	bnb up or down october 17 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x73940f…
10-17 14:01:05	bnb up or down october 17 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa1c457…
10-17 13:41:27	bnb up or down october 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x8ec9a4…
10-17 13:02:24	dogecoin up or down october 17 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x201e18…
10-17 11:32:48	bnb up or down october 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x12e4fd…
10-17 11:21:05	xrp up or down october 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x63e43a…
10-17 10:36:42	dogecoin up or down october 17 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x54faba…
10-17 10:17:05	bnb up or down october 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe7fed0…
10-17 10:12:08	solana up or down october 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb102c3…
10-17 10:00:38	solana up or down october 17 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7fae52…
10-17 09:24:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x28b22c…
10-17 08:37:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x04eff8…
10-17 07:37:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x8bb6e2…
10-17 07:33:53	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x26837b…
10-17 07:09:36	BNB Up or Down - October 17, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x078b25…
10-17 06:42:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x3ea4cc…
10-17 06:24:34	BNB Up or Down - October 17, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xbef668…
10-17 05:25:04	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xf0880e…
10-17 05:09:28	XRP Up or Down - October 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x7c45f0…
10-17 05:04:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0add71…
10-17 04:36:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xdc881b…
10-17 03:26:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xfed2c3…
10-17 02:15:30	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x1d1b78…
10-17 02:08:05	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x42eed3…
10-17 01:30:32	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x1b8b07…
10-17 01:03:12	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xd30f65…
10-17 01:00:12	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd82768…
10-17 00:47:50	bnb up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x3a3744…
10-17 00:47:47	bnb up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa72972…
10-17 00:47:45	bnb up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xae683b…
10-17 00:47:45	bnb up or down on october 17 2026	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8bf00f…
10-17 00:00:12	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdfed8f…
10-16 23:38:44	bnb up or down on october 17 2026	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7bd311…
10-16 23:38:33	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x228975…
10-16 23:25:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x712f8b…
10-16 22:00:47	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x0c7792…
10-16 21:37:15	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9cb65f…
10-16 21:25:05	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x3915fb…
10-16 21:25:05	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x078689…
10-16 21:08:38	dogecoin up or down on october 17 2026	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x1b5b6d…
10-16 21:02:41	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x3cbca1…
10-16 20:31:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x52ab86…
10-16 20:28:30	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x6d9ab6…
10-16 20:10:33	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xbfdc03…
10-16 19:06:52	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xf512db…
10-16 19:01:53	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x178fb9…
10-16 19:01:11	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xcc546d…
10-16 18:44:13	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5c3a1d…
10-16 18:14:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x52c25d…
10-16 18:00:39	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x653209…
10-16 17:39:21	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xfe163c…
10-16 17:11:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xefde72…
10-16 17:05:45	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x89a11a…
10-16 17:04:37	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x535e1c…
10-16 17:02:21	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x057986…
10-16 16:16:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x448672…