Chilly-Snap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,447

lifetime

Volume

$9.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-18 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$8

Sports

14% 31% $-18

Crypto

13% 29% $-49

Other

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 970 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	632	$1.7K	4,832	2,475	+2,357	open	—	04-16 05:31
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	331	$1.5K	1,229	1,424	-195	open	—	04-16 10:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	69	$743	726	726	+0	open	—	04-24 18:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	42	$597	1,179	1,250	-71	open	—	04-21 21:40
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	80	$512	321	338	-17	open	—	04-16 18:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	93	$263	738	691	+46	open	—	04-16 10:36
nba gsw lac 2026 04 12	79	$243	391	356	+36	open	—	04-13 03:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	46	$215	402	360	+42	open	—	04-24 18:45
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	16	$163	91	91	+0	open	—	04-13 00:41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	18	$146	75	82	-7	open	—	04-13 15:26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	19	$144	111	95	+16	open	—	04-16 02:46
bitcoin above 74k on april 16	20	$130	83	83	+0	open	—	04-16 10:36
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	31	$128	109	118	-9	open	—	04-16 05:39
nba gsw lac 2026 04 12 spread home 4pt5	34	$120	150	130	+20	open	—	04-13 02:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	94	$111	992	539	+453	open	—	04-15 00:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	72	$94	1,249	1,048	+201	open	—	04-14 22:24
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	24	$84	105	90	+15	Yes	+$8	04-15 18:59
bitcoin above 70k on april 13	12	$82	49	49	+0	open	—	04-13 15:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	24	$78	322	307	+15	open	—	04-14 20:46
Magic vs. Pistons	11	$78	203	62	+141	open	—	05-03 20:37
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	84	$64	1,442	539	+903	open	—	04-12 23:50
cs2 ast10 fut 2026 04 11 game2 odd even total kills	24	$60	205	0	+205	open	—	04-11 17:32
nba min den 2026 04 20	11	$54	80	64	+16	open	—	04-21 05:10
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	10	$54	136	136	+0	San Francisco Giants	$-5	05-05 03:51
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	6	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	04-15 03:45
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals	7	$46	95	93	+2	open	—	04-21 23:29
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	2	$45	37	37	+0	San Diego Padres	+$29	05-06 04:55
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	9	$44	66	32	+34	open	—	04-26 19:23
Flyers vs. Hurricanes	4	$41	44	44	+0	Hurricanes	+$0	05-04 23:46
76ers vs. Knicks	4	$37	98	32	+66	Knicks	$-22	05-05 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 07:14:52	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x1ab904…
05-18 07:04:57	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x868f43…
05-18 07:04:57	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x4af5c6…
05-18 07:04:57	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x153b08…
05-18 07:04:56	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x379249…
05-18 07:04:52	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x0e974f…
05-18 04:30:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x3a4253…
05-17 01:11:07	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0x97eaf0…
05-17 00:55:47	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x58ebae…
05-17 00:46:07	Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xffad08…
05-17 00:39:27	Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xb1d957…
05-17 00:25:16	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3fc60e…
05-17 00:22:26	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb60f9d…
05-16 22:14:55	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xdb8bf9…
05-10 17:52:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x5042e7…
05-10 17:52:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x449dfe…
05-10 17:52:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xde1eb1…
05-10 17:51:51	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x7f468c…
05-10 17:51:50	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x11fc2e…
05-10 17:51:48	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xa7336e…
05-10 17:51:46	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x8e445a…
05-10 17:51:32	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x2f8d92…
05-10 17:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x5c982d…
05-09 08:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xd7cd20…
05-09 07:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd62b3a…
05-09 07:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8a8f22…
05-09 07:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x7b5457…
05-09 07:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x6ecaa5…
05-09 07:27:19	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x30d90d…
05-09 06:23:36	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xad8556…
05-09 06:06:23	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x28ea64…
05-09 06:06:21	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x58fd74…
05-09 02:04:08	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5bfe1e…
05-09 02:04:08	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x351a1e…
05-09 02:04:02	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xa25378…
05-09 01:48:37	Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	Detroit Tigers	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0xadbf4e…
05-09 01:48:17	Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	Detroit Tigers	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0x99dcc0…
05-09 00:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x8ba019…
05-08 23:34:09	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	160	4¢	$6	0xafe5b5…
05-08 22:28:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf6826d…
05-08 22:28:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xcd8bf4…
05-08 22:28:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0xa58702…
05-08 22:28:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x7ae45f…
05-08 22:28:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x61d7c0…
05-08 22:28:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x295a78…
05-08 22:28:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x1b4fdb…
05-08 19:59:57	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xd2defe…
05-08 19:59:57	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6cd97a…
05-08 19:59:55	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x46f03e…
05-08 19:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbb221d…
05-08 19:59:54	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x58fdfc…
05-08 18:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x65aa83…
05-08 18:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0xb4a444…
05-08 18:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8c7904…
05-08 13:48:33	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xb3a8e7…
05-08 13:48:33	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x36ec8e…
05-08 13:48:33	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x17cec1…
05-08 13:31:16	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xd6ec12…
05-08 09:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xffc1a8…
05-08 09:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x9e6186…
05-08 08:33:39	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x50ae88…
05-08 08:33:37	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x59abee…
05-08 08:33:35	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x6743a7…
05-08 08:33:33	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xf47455…
05-08 08:33:33	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xee908f…
05-08 08:33:33	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x6c6176…
05-08 08:33:28	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7d0cbb…
05-08 08:33:14	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xa3e117…
05-08 07:48:26	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x8b5957…
05-08 07:48:26	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x553038…
05-08 07:48:26	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x46c1c8…
05-08 07:14:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xdc46c6…
05-08 07:14:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd2c6af…
05-08 07:13:40	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6e01cf…
05-08 04:53:09	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x39c13e…
05-08 04:53:05	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x92d855…
05-08 04:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0xaaaf17…
05-08 01:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x995b97…
05-08 01:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x221565…
05-08 00:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0xe3e001…
05-08 00:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2f13f9…
05-08 00:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd17919…
05-08 00:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x73cad9…
05-08 00:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x736430…
05-07 23:58:46	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xd6123b…
05-07 23:58:46	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x47bae8…
05-07 23:58:44	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x48ba30…
05-07 23:49:45	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x64370c…
05-07 18:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe4d075…
05-07 18:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x19ed91…
05-07 18:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x675379…
05-07 15:28:09	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x898746…
05-07 15:28:09	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x27bd37…
05-07 15:28:07	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xcf13c0…
05-07 15:27:58	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2e8fc8…
05-07 15:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x9aecca…
05-07 15:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfbd3dc…
05-07 14:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xf87c1d…
05-07 14:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x99951e…
05-07 13:53:56	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x4260a9…