Defiant-Vise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

284

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$3.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 09:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$5

Politics

2% 75% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:15
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 3?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 11:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:33
highest temperature in hong kong on april 3 2026 26c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 12:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 19corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-03 07:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:29
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-02 03:29
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-01 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-31 08:31
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 80 81f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-31 01:46
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-30 09:21
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-30 01:43
highest temperature in lucknow on march 29 2026 36c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-29 16:50
highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 22c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	03-29 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb161e1…
10-28 07:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a8974…
10-27 08:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7e169…
10-26 09:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2d7dba…
10-24 11:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d036b…
10-22 10:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b2c9a…
10-20 07:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c20d3…
10-19 09:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc3429…
10-18 09:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfff9c6…
10-17 14:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x932a7e…
10-16 08:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd7d13…
10-15 09:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05cb09…
10-14 09:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30f31d…
10-13 09:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22b508…
10-12 08:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6034d8…
10-11 08:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd077b7…
10-08 08:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f7b86…
10-07 14:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f6bba…
10-06 07:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4d0ae…
10-04 15:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf283a1…
10-03 08:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb302de…
10-02 11:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x234edd…
10-01 08:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8f77a…
09-30 15:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6f5bc…
09-30 12:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf46474…
09-29 14:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0cb1d…
09-28 09:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75a84e…
09-27 08:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67e4b5…
09-25 12:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x681659…
09-24 08:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2b968…
09-23 07:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50387d…
09-22 08:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9055aa…
09-21 09:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8de6bd…
09-20 05:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e892a…
09-19 08:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a3a12…
09-18 06:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b943c…
09-17 04:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc2bbb…
09-16 08:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2316b…
09-15 09:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3ec02…
09-14 08:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x972ce8…
09-12 16:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79cd55…
09-11 07:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f4339…
09-10 06:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfce4b7…
09-09 02:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x828a93…
09-08 02:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6acf52…
09-07 08:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc7bc0…
09-06 17:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe89b99…
09-06 09:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d78c2…
09-05 01:04:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f7eb1…
09-03 09:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10ddf4…
09-02 07:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x613bba…
08-30 08:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ea656…
08-29 08:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffc44d…
08-28 08:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42b48d…
08-27 08:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8c062…
08-26 08:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46acb1…
08-25 09:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29ccee…
08-24 09:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf8e1b…
08-23 14:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c071a…
08-22 08:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0602d0…
08-21 07:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa059e9…
08-20 08:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x506247…
08-19 11:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e5d62…
08-18 08:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f0119…
08-17 07:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c3927…
08-16 11:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee1e09…
08-15 09:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2aa1ac…
08-14 06:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ca18c…
08-13 07:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5f758…
08-12 07:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa252a7…
08-11 06:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b306c…
08-10 07:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f3f95…
08-09 01:22:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x633cdb…
08-08 07:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c5407…
08-07 01:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe050a5…
08-06 06:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9be7a7…
08-05 07:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0a3df…
08-04 08:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bcfa0…
08-03 07:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa466be…
08-02 01:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1e659…
08-01 07:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x593447…
07-31 08:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2da7a3…
07-30 06:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b71eb…
07-29 06:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc15282…
07-28 06:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafcadd…
07-27 08:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7fdc9…
07-26 06:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd05563…
07-25 07:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x435a4c…
07-24 09:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65e3fd…
07-23 08:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbfe0ea…
07-22 01:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f9919…
07-21 09:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2106de…
07-21 00:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fe9a7…
07-20 07:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7543c2…
07-18 23:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d99ba…
07-18 00:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b5b9b…
07-17 06:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab88a9…
07-15 22:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04a47b…
07-15 07:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88ad4f…
07-14 07:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53c210…