Baggy-Noir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$983

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$172.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$324

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-08 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

92% 88% +$983

Politics

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	18	$4.2K	5,300	5,900	-600	open	—	04-12 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$4.1K	3,213	3,400	-187	open	—	05-08 19:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$2.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-01 08:53
tur gal eyu 2026 02 13 gal	3	$2.4K	1,262	1,262	+0	open	—	02-13 18:30
tur gal ala 2026 02 28 ala	3	$2.1K	1,068	1,068	+0	open	—	02-28 19:02
tur fen gen 2026 02 09 fen	3	$2.0K	1,048	1,048	+0	open	—	02-09 19:00
tur iba gen 2026 04 11 gen	3	$1.9K	1,008	1,005	+3	open	—	04-11 13:29
tur goz gal 2026 04 08 goz	3	$1.8K	950	946	+4	open	—	04-08 18:59
tur tra riz 2026 03 14 riz	3	$1.8K	952	952	+0	open	—	03-14 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$1.7K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	04-20 09:19
tur ala tra 2026 04 11 spread home 1pt5	4	$1.6K	859	856	+3	open	—	04-11 17:26
sea juv gen 2026 04 06 spread away 1pt5	2	$1.6K	805	804	+1	open	—	04-06 18:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	16	$1.5K	2,179	2,179	+0	open	—	04-15 11:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.4K	731	731	+0	open	—	02-11 17:43
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-26?	5	$1.3K	964	960	+5	open	—	04-26 21:24
tur gen kay 2026 03 01 spread away 2pt5	2	$1.2K	611	611	+0	open	—	03-01 15:30
tur kay tra 2026 03 09 kay	2	$1.2K	676	676	+0	open	—	03-09 18:21
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	8	$1.2K	820	717	+102	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$256	05-06 20:27
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	2	$1.1K	649	645	+4	open	—	03-31 20:51
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	2	$1.1K	617	617	+0	open	—	05-17 18:48
tur gen bes 2026 03 15 gen	2	$1.1K	602	602	+0	open	—	03-15 18:52
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	2	$1.1K	602	602	+0	open	—	03-17 21:50
tur eyu tra 2026 03 18 eyu	2	$1.1K	595	595	+0	open	—	03-18 22:07
lal ray lev 2026 03 16 ray	2	$1.1K	595	595	+0	open	—	03-16 22:06
tur bes kas 2026 03 19 bes	2	$1.1K	575	575	+0	open	—	03-19 19:04
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 total 1pt5	2	$1.1K	575	575	+0	open	—	02-25 22:21
uef tur rom 2026 03 26 rom	2	$1.1K	568	568	+0	open	—	03-26 18:54
tur gal iba 2026 03 14 iba	2	$1.1K	568	568	+0	open	—	03-14 18:34
ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 spo1	2	$1.1K	562	562	+0	open	—	03-11 21:54
epl bou mun 2026 03 20 spread home 1pt5	2	$1.1K	562	562	+0	open	—	03-20 22:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:13:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x899e9f…
06-07 16:57:06	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0x8f8702…
06-07 12:20:39	Spread: Morocco (-2.5)	Norway	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0xe268f6…
06-07 12:17:28	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	540	93¢	$500	0x70289b…
06-07 12:15:16	Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x118147…
06-06 19:11:57	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	540	80¢	$432	0xc50da7…
06-06 19:11:30	United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x703d60…
06-06 18:30:24	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	301	92¢	$277	0xd91df9…
06-06 18:30:22	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x526c70…
06-06 18:30:09	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	164	92¢	$151	0x4cdf1b…
06-06 11:05:40	fif rom wal 2026 06 06 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0xeff01f…
06-05 16:58:06	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x7c1e00…
06-05 07:31:46	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	523	96¢	$500	0x008b19…
06-05 07:24:10	fif tha kuw 2026 06 05 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x9030b4…
06-04 17:26:49	Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	529	94¢	$500	0xd6b73e…
06-04 17:25:34	Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	544	92¢	$500	0x131b96…
06-02 17:37:45	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x8f8810…
06-01 19:16:16	Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xad6ae8…
05-24 17:53:24	Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x62a274…
05-24 17:52:25	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x31ffe8…
05-23 16:22:58	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	539	93¢	$500	0xc7cdb4…
05-23 16:20:19	SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x07c875…
05-23 16:19:42	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x3a4fee…
05-20 19:07:41	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0xc4a801…
05-19 15:07:58	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x697e8c…
05-17 20:45:40	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x958c8c…
05-17 20:45:36	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	270	90¢	$243	0xcb8882…
05-17 20:45:34	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xbf981f…
05-17 20:45:22	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xddc2e0…
05-17 18:49:10	OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	547	91¢	$500	0x2143b1…
05-17 18:48:02	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	617	100¢	$617	0x5590b6…
05-17 18:45:56	Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x9809ad…
05-17 18:44:55	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0xf71641…
05-17 18:38:09	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	641	57¢	$365	0x3c7392…
05-17 18:00:33	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0xdbeae9…
05-17 17:56:03	Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	649	72¢	$468	0xe1c56a…
05-17 17:31:28	Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0x67044a…
05-17 17:12:25	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0xdb645d…
05-17 09:01:47	Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	535	93¢	$500	0xfa5b3a…
05-16 18:48:59	Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	284	35¢	$98	0xa13267…
05-16 18:40:36	Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	273	56¢	$153	0xe752a7…
05-16 18:09:47	Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	532	100¢	$531	0x299ff5…
05-16 17:42:34	Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	556	89¢	$495	0xf53229…
05-16 15:28:08	Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	523	96¢	$500	0x8356f4…
05-16 15:27:16	Gaziantep FK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	592	84¢	$500	0x5f2826…
05-16 13:48:34	Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xa6affc…
05-15 18:40:44	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	275	83¢	$228	0x9f6c3f…
05-15 17:28:03	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0xcd8dec…
05-15 17:04:41	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	540	92¢	$497	0x483b27…
05-14 19:06:56	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0x758f82…
05-14 18:23:11	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	540	93¢	$502	0x5d3c5d…
05-14 17:31:22	Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xe28dfa…
05-13 19:33:54	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	465	86¢	$400	0x58e12a…
05-13 07:24:51	Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x415c23…
05-12 20:51:40	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	284	74¢	$210	0x882655…
05-12 20:51:39	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb7cc3c…
05-12 20:51:33	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe9a9cd…
05-12 20:51:25	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x453785…
05-12 20:51:25	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x44dbb4…
05-12 17:42:40	Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x356275…
05-12 17:30:06	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0x029e31…
05-11 18:56:20	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)	SC Braga	BUY	519	77¢	$400	0xfd70d2…
05-11 18:55:40	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)	SC Braga	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x0255fe…
05-10 19:33:41	Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)	AC Milan	SELL	283	45¢	$127	0x5457c8…
05-10 18:19:34	AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0xc7248c…
05-10 18:17:09	Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x19d476…
05-10 15:57:28	Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	SELL	328	100¢	$328	0x2c7878…
05-10 15:05:26	Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)	Crystal Palace FC	SELL	532	100¢	$531	0x06cdd8…
05-10 08:29:05	Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x095e10…
05-10 08:28:32	Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x9eb39c…
05-09 14:38:10	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	SELL	278	100¢	$277	0x590d8f…
05-09 11:22:59	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0xc6967a…
05-08 19:48:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	64¢	$640	0xf14632…
05-08 19:43:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0xddf761…
05-07 20:17:36	Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0xc06380…
05-07 19:32:04	Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x41c468…
05-06 20:27:02	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	102	96¢	$98	0xc3d1a8…
05-06 20:17:49	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	205	93¢	$191	0x336656…
05-06 20:13:07	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0xf2ff50…
05-06 20:13:05	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x4739ca…
05-06 20:13:03	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x5c5521…
05-06 20:12:58	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	359	89¢	$320	0x02adc4…
05-06 20:12:56	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xae0115…
05-06 16:56:56	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0xf42261…
05-05 20:29:16	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	SELL	194	63¢	$122	0x150bf9…
05-05 20:25:56	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	SELL	405	66¢	$267	0x999c25…
05-05 11:34:44	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x6931c1…
05-04 20:52:42	Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	519	90¢	$467	0x2a1804…
05-04 19:12:58	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	AS Roma	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc1c1c7…
05-04 19:12:56	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	AS Roma	SELL	510	100¢	$508	0x90e0fb…
05-04 18:08:22	Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	519	96¢	$500	0xa1f87e…
05-04 17:05:06	Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	519	96¢	$500	0xf78c16…
05-03 14:49:04	Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	SELL	532	100¢	$531	0x69a980…
05-03 12:02:56	Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x12c1bc…
05-02 19:12:32	Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x01317a…
05-02 18:09:32	Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	SELL	341	100¢	$341	0xf2e3e8…
05-02 15:09:00	Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0xb7dcf9…
05-01 16:53:20	Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)	Beşiktaş JK	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x1460ae…
05-01 15:54:16	Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)	Beşiktaş JK	BUY	572	87¢	$500	0xf738d4…
04-30 18:15:42	Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xa1a3fb…