Simple-Covariate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$498

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

265

Trades

4,593

lifetime

Volume

$63.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-10 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-498

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 376 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774445400	2	$168	333	0	+333	open	—	03-25 13:32
eth updown 5m 1776933000	3	$60	150	0	+150	open	—	04-23 08:30
eth updown 5m 1776933300	3	$60	131	0	+131	open	—	04-23 08:37
btc updown 5m 1774452900	4	$52	105	0	+105	open	—	03-25 15:38
btc updown 5m 1774491300	2	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	03-26 02:17
btc updown 5m 1774429500	4	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	03-25 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$42	100	0	+100	open	—	04-26 01:10
btc updown 5m 1775883900	2	$40	125	0	+125	open	—	04-11 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$40	147	0	+147	open	—	04-26 01:08
btc updown 5m 1776333300	2	$40	68	0	+68	open	—	04-16 09:57
btc updown 5m 1774446000	4	$33	63	0	+63	open	—	03-25 13:41
btc updown 5m 1774504200	4	$33	57	0	+57	open	—	03-26 05:51
btc updown 5m 1774448100	4	$33	63	0	+63	open	—	03-25 14:18
btc updown 5m 1776127200	2	$30	51	0	+51	open	—	04-14 00:42
btc updown 5m 1774456500	4	$23	25	25	+0	open	—	03-25 16:38
btc updown 5m 1774540200	2	$22	42	0	+42	open	—	03-26 15:52
btc updown 5m 1774443600	4	$21	46	0	+46	open	—	03-25 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$20	62	0	+62	Down	$-20	05-10 03:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	05-02 17:52
btc updown 5m 1776308700	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-16 03:08
eth updown 5m 1776368700	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	04-16 19:45
btc updown 5m 1776176400	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-14 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	04-27 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-30 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$20	55	0	+55	open	—	05-02 19:32
eth updown 5m 1776818700	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	04-22 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	Down	+$20	05-08 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-02 20:02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	04-25 04:01
eth updown 5m 1776998700	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	04-24 02:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 10:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x715a0c…
05-10 10:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x702eb1…
05-10 10:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x3d9aa9…
05-10 10:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x66b30c…
05-10 10:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xd0ba68…
05-10 10:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x507a85…
05-10 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe5c4b0…
05-10 10:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x46cb33…
05-10 10:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd39136…
05-10 09:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xc6f5d0…
05-10 09:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xd7a0b7…
05-10 09:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xdbcd8d…
05-10 09:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x4648a6…
05-10 09:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xa5b76f…
05-10 09:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x0b8016…
05-10 09:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xe1b3ae…
05-10 09:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xd7d155…
05-10 08:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	53	37¢	$20	0xc096ec…
05-10 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x6ed658…
05-10 07:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x034189…
05-10 07:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xbe13c2…
05-10 07:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xd9320d…
05-10 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xd5d939…
05-10 07:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x946e17…
05-10 06:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x46a44b…
05-10 06:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x8517cf…
05-10 06:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x2670f8…
05-10 06:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x1fbc83…
05-10 06:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x46287e…
05-10 05:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xc8df0c…
05-10 05:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x9462e7…
05-10 05:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xaca899…
05-10 05:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x3a5274…
05-10 05:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x09681a…
05-10 05:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x5ee588…
05-10 05:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xd32b21…
05-10 04:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x726b66…
05-10 04:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x070699…
05-10 04:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xcccb4c…
05-10 04:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0xd46f9b…
05-10 04:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x05ea2c…
05-10 03:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xd70c95…
05-10 03:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xad477b…
05-10 03:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x20af45…
05-10 03:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x202554…
05-10 03:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x7d0ab6…
05-10 02:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xb7841d…
05-10 02:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xe0bfca…
05-10 02:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xc18c85…
05-10 02:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xd362c3…
05-10 02:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x9d9e70…
05-10 02:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xd4829e…
05-10 01:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x2d4e44…
05-10 01:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x566e1f…
05-10 01:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x31b962…
05-10 01:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x09a982…
05-10 00:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8c87a1…
05-10 00:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xffd583…
05-10 00:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xe9e59e…
05-10 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x06bef2…
05-10 00:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x2d5937…
05-10 00:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x2cd58c…
05-09 23:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x78a02a…
05-09 23:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xecc98e…
05-09 23:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd88f63…
05-09 23:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x074616…
05-09 23:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xf8a19e…
05-09 23:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd3b24b…
05-09 23:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x3fe3a2…
05-09 23:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc47462…
05-09 23:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xd3d904…
05-09 23:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x416ebc…
05-09 22:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xc1820a…
05-09 22:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x6169f6…
05-09 22:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x985f60…
05-09 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1d6005…
05-09 22:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x95435a…
05-09 22:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x4a0a5f…
05-09 22:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x44278f…
05-09 21:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xeb1d91…
05-09 21:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xcce9f3…
05-09 21:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x477356…
05-09 21:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x9da456…
05-09 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x586259…
05-09 21:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x12966d…
05-09 21:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb8f22b…
05-09 20:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x2d2e03…
05-09 20:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x25010d…
05-09 20:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x46f90b…
05-09 20:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xa4e204…
05-09 20:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x83aaef…
05-09 20:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc0c11a…
05-09 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xb6c1ab…
05-09 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xdbf966…
05-09 19:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xaf435d…
05-09 19:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x517c47…
05-09 19:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x900bb5…
05-09 18:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x1bac2b…
05-09 18:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xd10638…
05-09 18:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x1dd79a…