Spiteful-Smelting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

467

Trades

4,306

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 09-13 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 45% -$1,101

Other

1% 0% -$51

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Politics

0% 25% -$18

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 1087 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+28	$20	94¢	$26	+$6	09-02 18:07
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No		+20	$9	6¢	$1	-$8	09-02 16:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	223	$3.4K	3,492	3,410	+82	Up	-$113	09-02 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	218	$2.3K	2,858	2,744	+115	Up	-$65	09-02 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	60	$1.1K	803	624	+180	Down	-$1	09-04 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	46	$1.0K	578	500	+78	Down	+$15	09-03 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	45	$879	543	443	+100	Down	-$3	09-03 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	43	$817	578	397	+181	Up	-$1	09-03 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	41	$808	565	432	+133	Down	-$2	09-04 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	57	$667	500	350	+150	Down	-$4	09-03 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	29	$589	406	260	+146	Up	+$5	09-03 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	22	$587	310	305	+5	Down	+$9	09-03 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	28	$506	377	250	+127	Down	+$4	09-03 15:48
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	51	$498	796	758	+38	Down	-$26	09-02 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	31	$468	305	203	+102	Down	+$13	09-03 20:43
Solana Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	21	$438	405	350	+55	Up	-$4	09-04 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	35	$426	539	350	+189	Up	-$2	09-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	11	$426	250	200	+50	Up	+$4	09-03 14:28
XRP Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	16	$417	281	170	+111	Up	+$3	09-04 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	29	$409	330	258	+71	Down	-$3	09-04 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	26	$408	329	150	+179	Up	+$8	09-03 14:48
Solana Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	11	$372	201	200	+1	Up	+$3	09-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	22	$346	255	120	+135	Up	+$11	09-03 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	27	$336	287	114	+173	Up	+$7	09-03 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	24	$335	350	150	+200	Up	+$7	09-03 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	44	$331	583	550	+33	Down	-$6	09-03 16:09
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-04 08:00 UTC	24	$313	433	290	+143	Up	-$7	09-04 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	32	$311	390	350	+40	Up	+$0	09-03 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	31	$296	542	0	+542	Up	+$4	09-03 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	83	$295	171	171	+0	Up	+$2	04-30 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	18	$288	213	100	+113	Up	+$12	09-03 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	7	$282	300	300	+0	Up	-$2	09-01 22:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 12:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa5fd99…
09-13 12:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbcd369…
09-13 11:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4b1a33…
09-13 11:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfff055…
09-13 11:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc1c9e7…
09-13 11:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x69f106…
09-13 11:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x081c4f…
09-06 06:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0x40443a…
09-06 06:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x49398e…
09-06 06:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xcfefd5…
09-06 06:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xaf5328…
09-06 06:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xf3babc…
09-06 06:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x934413…
09-06 04:28:18	Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0c2674…
09-06 03:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xf8e8db…
09-06 03:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xc4d154…
09-06 03:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	9¢	$4	0xd9a1e7…
09-06 03:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xe164e5…
09-06 02:53:06	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x263ddf…
09-06 02:52:06	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x32cbe4…
09-06 02:51:06	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x5e2ab6…
09-06 02:28:31	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x13de3e…
09-06 02:26:28	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc93999…
09-06 02:17:52	Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x8b8613…
09-06 02:07:18	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x5c8254…
09-06 01:51:49	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x2f2608…
09-06 00:19:39	GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x8a2421…
09-05 23:51:58	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x67fb4d…
09-05 23:51:00	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xb9abcd…
09-05 23:46:18	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x9a8c73…
09-05 23:44:15	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x7f55ee…
09-05 23:44:00	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x779c9e…
09-05 23:41:06	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xc791a8…
09-05 23:39:54	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x7ee901…
09-05 23:38:07	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xdd2a58…
09-05 23:03:27	will openais astra model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xea2d3c…
09-05 22:05:58	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a creeper again?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x365fb7…
09-05 20:41:42	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a creeper again?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0x89bf7e…
09-05 20:02:39	Will Lacy or Marlon die to a creeper again?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x44288c…
09-05 19:39:42	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x54cee7…
09-05 19:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x8a2f34…
09-05 19:28:40	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd7f599…
09-05 19:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x3e0d34…
09-05 19:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x02c6cf…
09-05 19:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x12b6e0…
09-05 19:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x42d7b1…
09-05 18:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x559fbd…
09-05 18:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x2d2503…
09-05 18:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x741909…
09-05 18:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x9db0a8…
09-05 18:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xd7b51e…
09-05 18:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6daebe…
09-05 18:20:01	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x71eaa1…
09-05 18:19:54	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xefef40…
09-05 18:19:54	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe762d4…
09-05 18:19:54	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbddb0f…
09-05 18:19:54	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x29cb52…
09-05 18:19:52	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xc50b50…
09-05 18:19:06	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf7312e…
09-05 18:00:51	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xcd6f61…
09-05 18:00:31	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe9a420…
09-05 18:00:04	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb4bc18…
09-05 18:00:03	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x291ea9…
09-05 17:39:00	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xceb52a…
09-05 17:39:00	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x0019a9…
09-05 17:33:06	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x6faf6d…
09-05 17:32:55	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6f6430…
09-05 17:31:40	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6af712…
09-05 15:48:28	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x04f934…
09-05 15:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x68fc22…
09-05 15:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xfbabe1…
09-05 15:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x0efc4c…
09-05 15:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x2ce96c…
09-05 15:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb0b7e1…
09-05 15:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xc7f853…
09-05 15:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x78a9fd…
09-05 15:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0d3721…
09-05 15:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x3ec01f…
09-05 15:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2cf4d4…
09-05 15:39:42	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x457800…
09-05 15:39:31	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd9943d…
09-05 15:39:10	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x020c49…
09-05 15:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x1b05fb…
09-05 15:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x1adad7…
09-05 15:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x65e349…
09-05 15:37:49	will openais astra model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x10ee27…
09-05 15:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x554601…
09-05 15:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0xff50b4…
09-05 15:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x5afb2c…
09-05 15:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x2c9d0b…
09-05 15:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8ecce4…
09-05 15:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xf2be90…
09-05 15:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x87ee99…
09-05 15:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xcb9ace…
09-05 15:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xb880a8…
09-05 15:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x6b5cf0…
09-05 15:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0xb860cf…
09-05 15:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x096954…
09-05 15:11:06	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x2efb17…
09-05 15:10:37	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xba4d90…