Excitable-Conscience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$643

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

201

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$8.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 09-06 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

95% 81% -$561

Crypto

5% 34% -$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 15?	2	$999	501	501	+0	No	+$1	08-15 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 11?	3	$698	349	349	+0	No	+$0	08-11 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 19?	2	$689	345	345	+0	No	+$1	08-19 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?	2	$529	265	265	+0	No	+$0	08-17 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 15?	4	$526	263	263	+0	No	+$0	08-15 11:55
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 19?	2	$502	529	0	+529	Yes	-$502	08-19 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	2	$501	501	0	+501	No	+$1	08-16 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?	2	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	08-15 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 18?	2	$479	240	240	+0	No	+$0	08-18 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 18?	2	$451	226	226	+0	No	+$0	08-18 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?	1	$443	444	0	+444	No	+$0	08-18 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	5	$338	169	169	+0	No	+$0	09-06 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 19?	3	$293	147	147	+0	No	+$0	08-19 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	2	$205	103	103	+0	No	+$1	09-06 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5?	4	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	09-05 22:48
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 5?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-05 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 5?	4	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-05 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?	4	$189	95	95	+0	No	+$0	08-17 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	1	$103	103	0	+103	Yes	-$103	09-06 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 16?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-15 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 6?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	09-06 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 18?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-18 03:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 6?	2	$19	9	9	+0	No	+$0	09-05 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$16	20	10	+10	Up	-$5	05-25 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	6	$12	15	15	+0	Down	-$3	05-25 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	42	0	+42	Up	-$10	05-31 18:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$10	56	0	+56	Up	-$10	05-31 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$10	38	0	+38	Up	-$10	05-31 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$8	10	5	+5	Down	-$1	05-25 19:32
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$8	38	0	+38	Down	+$30	05-31 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 07:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x37c740…
09-06 07:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xd6f757…
09-06 07:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xe75ce5…
09-06 06:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 6?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x08c8a3…
09-06 06:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x159bd0…
09-06 03:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xc33aed…
09-06 03:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x3e4edc…
09-06 03:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x683ab1…
09-06 03:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x945ab4…
09-06 03:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xae7770…
09-05 22:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x501779…
09-05 22:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 6?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4daf6b…
09-05 22:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb73996…
09-05 22:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 6?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7d7773…
09-05 22:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6b966e…
09-05 20:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x50e84c…
09-05 20:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 5?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc2c534…
09-05 18:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8e6db0…
09-05 17:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 5?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x6ae538…
09-05 17:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 5?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6519d4…
09-05 17:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 5?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xe74549…
09-05 17:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9c615f…
08-19 22:03:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x92f1b2…
08-19 22:02:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 19?	No	BUY	525	95¢	$498	0x5099c1…
08-19 02:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 19?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x21e375…
08-19 02:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 19?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x1845fb…
08-19 02:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0x998807…
08-19 00:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 19?	No	SELL	345	100¢	$345	0x872c67…
08-19 00:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 19?	No	BUY	345	100¢	$344	0xe52898…
08-18 15:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?	No	BUY	444	100¢	$443	0x187534…
08-18 11:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 18?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0xebfefc…
08-18 10:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 18?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x63fd2b…
08-18 09:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 18?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0x6f3e61…
08-18 08:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 18?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x290035…
08-18 03:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5a0056…
08-18 03:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ccfd6…
08-17 09:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?	No	SELL	265	100¢	$264	0xef4fd7…
08-17 09:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x167c98…
08-17 01:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf5370b…
08-17 01:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xfc0565…
08-17 01:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf8be6e…
08-17 01:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 17?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x39db8c…
08-16 07:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c488f…
08-16 07:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	No	BUY	496	100¢	$496	0xf7289e…
08-15 14:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xa8322c…
08-15 14:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	355	100¢	$354	0x24355e…
08-15 12:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 16?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x13717b…
08-15 12:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 16?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfb4af3…
08-15 11:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 15?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x07fba2…
08-15 11:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 15?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xef1991…
08-15 11:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 15?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0xae109e…
08-15 11:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0xfba770…
08-15 09:56:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 15?	No	SELL	501	100¢	$500	0x0efc93…
08-15 09:56:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 15?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$499	0x9fd45c…
08-11 21:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 11?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0xe82441…
08-11 21:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 11?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x7709ce…
08-11 21:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 11?	No	BUY	349	100¢	$349	0xae6423…
06-01 11:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x555efb…
06-01 11:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x96b78e…
06-01 11:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x5c80d1…
06-01 10:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x34701b…
06-01 10:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8b49e4…
06-01 10:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5bfe82…
06-01 10:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb9f260…
06-01 10:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc8d924…
06-01 10:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x750ae6…
06-01 09:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6d8706…
06-01 09:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x88cba3…
06-01 09:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa06df2…
06-01 09:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x68e0ce…
06-01 09:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4968c8…
06-01 09:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xd77e91…
06-01 08:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xefec5e…
06-01 08:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xce6ef3…
06-01 08:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5be4c2…
06-01 08:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbfa14a…
06-01 08:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xeb65c0…
06-01 07:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x331482…
06-01 07:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc97f17…
06-01 07:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x225d10…
06-01 07:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x16e3d2…
06-01 07:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x36c5d3…
06-01 07:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5f359f…
06-01 06:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x591097…
06-01 06:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa2f526…
06-01 06:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x13ecaf…
06-01 06:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc23f99…
06-01 06:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xeb69e3…
06-01 05:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xde24a9…
06-01 05:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x425b4e…
06-01 05:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb7419b…
06-01 05:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd0d2fe…
06-01 05:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd671b5…
06-01 05:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0893c3…
06-01 04:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x42cc1c…
06-01 04:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x906699…
06-01 04:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdaa45f…
06-01 04:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xcde024…
06-01 04:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xab777a…
06-01 04:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x367130…