Some-Downfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$605

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-03 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 100% +$0

Other

29% — —

Politics

16% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		-5	$-3	48¢	$-2	+$1	06-03 09:50
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		-1	$-1	97¢	$-1	$-0	06-03 09:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	7	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	03-21 04:45
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$47	26	25	+1	open	—	03-24 09:59
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	05-11 03:41
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$33	32	12	+20	open	—	04-11 13:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-30 07:39
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$31	17	16	+0	open	—	04-28 06:26
will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	3	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-21 08:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	05-26 04:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$27	14	13	+1	open	—	03-17 08:04
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$24	29	0	+29	open	—	03-30 07:40
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	3	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	03-17 08:04
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	3	$21	11	10	+1	open	—	03-10 02:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-18 06:20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$19	11	10	+0	open	—	04-11 01:43
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$19	15	6	+9	No	+$1	04-28 06:27
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$17	10	9	+0	open	—	05-11 03:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 07:21
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$14	8	7	+0	open	—	03-09 02:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$14	12	5	+7	open	—	05-26 04:31
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$11	6	5	+0	open	—	03-14 00:28
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 04:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 04:53
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-17 10:21
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	03-30 07:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-11 01:44
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	03-14 00:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-03 09:52
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$3	0	5	-5	open	—	06-03 09:50
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-06 09:12
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-03 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 09:52:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xaf8dda…
06-03 09:51:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcc7fea…
06-03 09:50:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x65f808…
05-26 04:31:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x89594b…
05-26 04:30:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xa14832…
05-18 06:21:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x02f183…
05-18 06:20:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x30f11d…
05-11 03:41:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x5f0feb…
05-11 03:41:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xfd4943…
05-11 03:41:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfa43fa…
05-11 03:41:12	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xd91056…
05-05 01:37:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0xe3309f…
04-28 06:27:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xa6d183…
04-28 06:26:48	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xea80d8…
04-28 06:26:20	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0x54fa1e…
04-21 07:21:54	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x3d4585…
04-21 07:21:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x0b1109…
04-15 05:30:06	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xb63ef3…
04-11 13:02:11	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xfb547f…
04-11 04:25:51	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfe318c…
04-11 01:44:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x514ada…
04-11 01:44:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x7c462c…
04-11 01:43:59	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbfab6b…
04-06 04:53:51	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x378930…
04-06 04:32:53	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1995b6…
04-06 04:32:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xb90cd7…
04-06 04:30:49	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x2b38ab…
04-02 05:30:45	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0x887bb0…
03-30 07:54:38	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x1243e2…
03-30 07:40:40	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x4676ef…
03-30 07:39:34	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x492f18…
03-30 07:39:02	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0feb53…
03-24 10:00:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x27411a…
03-24 09:59:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xe1f0a5…
03-24 09:59:05	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xd7a601…
03-21 08:57:37	will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x51dba3…
03-21 04:48:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0xf0edea…
03-21 04:45:25	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa2fdf1…
03-17 16:30:33	will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2e0f91…
03-17 15:18:25	will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x8c368c…
03-17 10:21:31	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x424eb6…
03-17 08:04:57	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xada3fd…
03-17 08:04:33	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0cea74…
03-17 08:04:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x82d1c7…
03-14 00:30:21	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x68ab0c…
03-14 00:30:11	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x555056…
03-14 00:30:03	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x6d3e83…
03-14 00:29:45	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0b1bf1…
03-14 00:29:31	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0e21f2…
03-14 00:29:17	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x39f14b…
03-14 00:28:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x1f6ea0…
03-14 00:28:31	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x584625…
03-14 00:28:13	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x401915…
03-10 02:17:45	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xd7a3af…
03-10 02:17:21	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xa60986…
03-10 02:17:03	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb88afe…
03-09 02:29:39	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe682b7…
03-09 02:27:41	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x0eec52…
03-09 02:27:27	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x67e567…
03-09 02:27:21	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55df3c…
03-09 02:24:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xbecde3…
03-07 04:32:13	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x35804a…
03-07 04:29:59	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x51d979…
03-07 04:29:45	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x873779…
03-07 04:29:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xae58a5…
03-06 09:12:11	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb01c39…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	26	$341.1K	5,467	06-09 12:07
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	26	$63.9K	667	06-03 22:12
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	22	$5.71K	2,043	05-29 05:57
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	21	$51.4K	630	06-06 12:59
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	20	$98.3K	8,768	05-31 20:51
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	19	$141.2K	9,798	05-26 11:09
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	19	$2.75K	429	06-07 03:52
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	18	$14.7K	5,976	04-16 06:52