Hopeful-Harpsichord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

14,452

Trades

43,079

lifetime

Volume

$660.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-01 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 205 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 78% -$3,893

Other

23% 79% -$476

Sports

1% 49% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 358 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 13 9pm et	35	$2.6K	2,267	2,248	+19	Up	-$108	03-14 01:47
bitcoin up or down march 11 4pm et	12	$2.5K	2,573	1,889	+684	Down	-$369	03-11 20:58
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	8	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	Belgium	+$46	07-01 22:49
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	43	$2.0K	1,236	1,232	+5	Up	+$3	03-11 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC	13	$1.7K	1,563	1,541	+22	Up	-$51	02-27 19:04
bitcoin up or down march 11 1am et	14	$1.3K	852	850	+2	Down	-$4	03-11 05:47
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	3	$1.2K	706	706	+0	Over	+$194	06-15 00:56
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 9pt5	3	$1.2K	604	604	+0	Over	+$5	07-01 03:37
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	7	$1.2K	720	720	+0	Over	+$30	07-01 21:50
bra sao gre 2026 02 11 total 1pt5	8	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Over	+$42	02-12 02:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 19:05 UTC	12	$1.1K	720	715	+5	Down	+$63	02-27 19:08
bra2 pop cri 2026 07 08 total 2pt5	34	$1.1K	582	582	+0	Over	+$5	07-09 00:58
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 0pt5	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Over	+$3	07-01 02:22
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 8pm et	20	$1.1K	832	828	+3	Down	-$64	03-18 00:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 04:05 UTC	12	$1.1K	727	716	+11	Down	+$267	02-27 04:08
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 1am et	26	$1.0K	1,679	714	+965	Down	-$15	03-18 05:47
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	8	$1.0K	600	600	+0	Over	-$33	07-02 01:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:30 UTC	17	$1.0K	610	609	+1	Up	+$4	02-11 15:43
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	7	$1.0K	684	684	+0	Under	+$74	06-20 05:04
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 11pm et	19	$1.0K	1,935	1,851	+84	Up	-$130	03-19 03:43
arg boc gye 2026 02 28 boc	6	$1.0K	693	693	+0	No	-$96	02-27 04:03
bitcoin up or down march 10 11pm et	27	$1.0K	800	795	+5	Down	+$17	03-11 03:50
bitcoin up or down march 9 1pm et	18	$998	673	669	+4	Down	+$1	03-09 17:43
bitcoin up or down march 9 4pm et	18	$969	1,181	745	+436	Down	+$107	03-09 20:59
bitcoin up or down march 11 3pm et	13	$965	1,097	573	+524	Up	-$488	03-11 19:59
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 first half total 0pt5	5	$954	550	550	+0	Over	+$76	07-02 00:44
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 second half total 1pt5	3	$925	466	466	+0	Over	+$6	06-30 22:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 14:40 UTC	6	$919	489	459	+30	Down	-$2	02-13 14:46
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 corners total 10pt5	4	$918	465	465	+0	Over	+$11	06-30 02:41
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	9	$913	700	700	+0	Morocco	+$9	06-30 03:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 10:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xb9cb67…
09-01 09:58:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x376f36…
09-01 09:54:06	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0d9691…
09-01 09:43:40	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9dc1be…
09-01 09:38:45	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4ce708…
09-01 09:38:43	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x295461…
09-01 09:38:42	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x488ad6…
09-01 09:38:30	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xfe642c…
09-01 09:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd65aad…
09-01 09:33:31	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xca50fe…
09-01 09:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x560c6c…
09-01 09:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd593ae…
09-01 09:08:45	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9b7228…
09-01 09:08:36	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xa2d3e7…
09-01 09:03:34	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x1b24aa…
09-01 08:58:42	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6b7c52…
09-01 08:54:03	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x77659b…
09-01 08:48:57	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xa89ec7…
09-01 08:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x36a695…
09-01 08:48:37	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3bc496…
09-01 08:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0cb590…
09-01 08:39:16	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xfdd503…
09-01 08:39:16	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x841945…
09-01 08:39:15	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xf5e7d2…
09-01 08:39:13	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xfe80fc…
09-01 08:39:13	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xfbb2b6…
09-01 08:39:13	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x5a82a8…
09-01 08:38:57	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe9fa3e…
09-01 08:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x202b3d…
09-01 08:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1dc76c…
09-01 08:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x0b3002…
09-01 08:23:36	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x65eaa8…
09-01 08:18:43	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xec209b…
09-01 08:18:43	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe0b735…
09-01 08:18:43	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x61ab82…
09-01 08:18:43	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2cfcfd…
09-01 08:13:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xdd7343…
09-01 08:13:37	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdc6884…
09-01 08:03:39	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb76c6c…
09-01 07:58:37	BNB Up or Down - September 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xb5f0ae…
09-01 07:48:33	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9e6211…
09-01 07:44:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x86fa0a…
09-01 07:44:04	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x6ccd7f…
09-01 07:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x916ee5…
09-01 07:34:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xe7db6c…
09-01 07:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x056e78…
09-01 07:08:28	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2aee99…
09-01 07:04:18	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x25bbe1…
09-01 06:53:36	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x38bdb9…
09-01 06:08:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x89b0ab…
09-01 06:03:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8efb25…
09-01 05:59:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xff2d65…
09-01 05:59:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x2971a5…
09-01 05:58:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xda389d…
09-01 05:53:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x6642b6…
09-01 05:48:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe30050…
09-01 05:39:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc6ac75…
09-01 05:23:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x728109…
09-01 05:18:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x517658…
09-01 05:08:55	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xfd9aad…
09-01 05:08:55	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3325eb…
09-01 05:08:45	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x88d6b6…
09-01 05:08:43	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xd78b3a…
09-01 05:08:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x958b01…
09-01 04:53:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xd87c5e…
09-01 04:48:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4b1f27…
09-01 04:44:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdaaed6…
09-01 04:44:07	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb68745…
09-01 04:23:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb72897…
09-01 04:13:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x8737ca…
09-01 04:13:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf40495…
09-01 04:04:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x441b6d…
09-01 04:04:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xb5b91a…
09-01 04:04:10	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1ca95d…
09-01 03:58:48	BNB Up or Down - August 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3b6e15…
09-01 03:53:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x91f6be…
09-01 03:44:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc84165…
09-01 03:43:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcfa105…
09-01 03:18:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb8f545…
09-01 03:14:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7118da…
09-01 03:14:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0092ea…
09-01 03:04:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x15374a…
09-01 02:53:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd0cfec…
09-01 02:44:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2d8a3b…
09-01 02:43:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb471be…
09-01 02:29:30	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd44ee8…
09-01 02:29:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xa9f349…
09-01 02:29:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x7445a1…
09-01 02:29:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x6bc2e9…
09-01 02:29:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x50b2d2…
09-01 02:29:00	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x0cb0b4…
09-01 02:18:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xab2249…
09-01 01:48:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xf9aa6a…
09-01 01:33:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xb82fc8…
09-01 01:33:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x2cf6c1…
09-01 01:33:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd5759a…
09-01 01:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x429f13…
09-01 01:18:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x86b576…
09-01 01:09:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb1303d…
08-31 22:49:13	Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x1a40e8…