Hopeful-Harpsichord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$425

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$27	27	+27	Down	+$0	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$27	27	+27	open	—	05-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$27	27	+27	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$27	27	+27	Up	+$1	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$26	27	+27	open	—	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$26	27	+27	Down	+$1	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$26	27	+27	Down	+$1	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$25	27	+27	Up	+$2	05-05 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$24	25	+25	open	—	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$21	27	+27	Up	$-21	05-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$13	13	+13	Up	+$0	05-05 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$13	13	+13	Down	+$0	05-05 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$13	13	+13	Down	+$0	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$13	13	+13	Up	+$0	05-05 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$12	13	+13	Up	+$0	05-05 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-05 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	05-05 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-05 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Up	+$0	05-05 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$0	05-05 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$7	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	$-3	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-05 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9dad9e…
05-05 17:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xda471e…
05-05 17:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x02dc6d…
05-05 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x948f45…
05-05 17:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4b9d6f…
05-05 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf6c734…
05-05 16:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd0b748…
05-05 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcbf738…
05-05 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x67c5e1…
05-05 06:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdf2c35…
05-05 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf6ffb0…
05-05 05:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x92acf9…
05-05 05:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa5d033…
05-05 05:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1649cf…
05-05 04:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeaa531…
05-05 04:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x442fc9…
05-05 04:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xf41b47…
05-05 04:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x8447b1…
05-05 04:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc5368b…
05-05 04:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5e1d58…
05-05 04:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xc93feb…
05-05 04:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5f8e9c…
05-05 04:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6ebc76…
05-05 04:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6dad71…
05-05 03:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x614526…
05-05 03:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8ddaaa…
05-05 03:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x6a3ec1…
05-05 03:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x04c1f3…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x871e5a…
05-05 02:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x713c91…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x425f2b…
05-05 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd32509…
05-05 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x2039ad…
05-05 01:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xca747f…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x48ec16…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7350f3…
05-05 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4c4393…
05-05 01:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe2b7eb…
05-05 00:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1e0364…
05-05 00:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa199b8…
05-05 00:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	77¢	$20	0x4129e0…
05-05 00:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x375662…
05-05 00:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbd318b…
05-04 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa1d0be…
05-04 22:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x2fdb5e…
05-04 22:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x48d527…
05-04 22:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x118a7e…
05-04 22:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x7a6eee…
05-04 22:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd4d1de…
05-04 22:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf335bc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	34	$4.13K	167	05-05 17:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	31	$1.92K	175	05-05 17:49
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	30	$1.73K	151	05-05 17:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	27	$4.72K	132	05-05 17:47
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	27	$1.36K	99	05-05 17:47
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	26	$1.14K	87	05-05 17:47
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	23	$5.68K	71	05-05 17:44
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	23	$1.19K	46	05-05 17:49