Dense-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

6,815

Trades

15,407

lifetime

Volume

$17.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-30 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 35% -$1,200

Other

3% 61% +$28

Sports

0% 45% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 277 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	29	$165	261	211	+50	Down	+$13	06-01 11:14
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	6	$79	129	122	+7	No	+$29	06-13 23:47
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	3	$37	84	39	+44	No	-$3	07-11 22:21
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	2	$31	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	06-13 22:39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	5	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	06-20 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:00 UTC	4	$27	55	55	+0	Up	+$26	08-06 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	13	$24	121	8	+113	Up	-$14	05-20 08:40
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	3	$23	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 02:19
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$23	16	16	+0	Yes	+$3	07-09 21:25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$3	07-10 19:32
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	4	$23	127	127	+0	No	+$9	06-17 05:18
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$20	24	24	+0	Spain	$0	07-19 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	7	$20	21	21	+0	Up	$0	06-03 10:26
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	2	$19	22	22	+0	No	+$5	06-12 03:28
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	4	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	+$7	06-12 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	5	$16	26	26	+0	Down	+$2	06-03 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	25	$16	204	104	+100	Down	-$6	05-30 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$15	128	28	+100	Down	+$1	05-31 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 10:30 UTC	2	$15	12	12	+0	Down	+$5	09-21 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$15	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-27 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$14	15	8	+8	Down	-$1	04-30 10:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 05:45 UTC	3	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	06-06 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	4	$14	21	21	+0	Up	+$3	05-31 15:49
lal get bil 2026 04 05 total 2pt5	3	$14	30	16	+14	Under	-$4	04-02 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	7	$13	19	13	+6	Down	+$4	06-03 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	4	$13	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	5	$13	20	18	+3	Up	+$1	05-21 10:14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	2	$13	17	17	+0	Yes	+$3	07-14 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-17 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xf7b9bb…
10-30 13:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x0db78d…
10-30 13:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x749ac8…
10-30 12:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x634fe6…
10-30 12:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xc05c63…
10-30 12:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xee7e0b…
10-30 12:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x9df4b3…
10-30 11:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xd416dd…
10-30 11:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x77f779…
10-30 10:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x331fe7…
10-30 10:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x24e51b…
10-30 10:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xeae0a2…
10-30 10:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x0f6c1a…
10-30 09:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf50821…
10-30 09:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xacd13c…
10-30 09:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd0c179…
10-30 09:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9ef6e9…
10-30 09:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb06482…
10-30 09:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4a2871…
10-30 09:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x7599d8…
10-30 08:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x349775…
10-30 08:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x99d0a9…
10-30 07:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x97efa4…
10-30 07:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xc5a1e3…
10-30 07:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xa52608…
10-30 07:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x185db2…
10-30 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xba4e07…
10-30 06:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5a98c2…
10-30 06:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x5505fc…
10-30 06:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3bd882…
10-30 06:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x22203a…
10-30 06:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x049257…
10-30 05:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfa9b73…
10-30 05:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x8420ba…
10-30 05:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x6499c0…
10-30 05:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xa152f6…
10-30 05:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6e9dba…
10-30 05:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xe9318c…
10-30 05:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xe40c14…
10-30 04:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x40b1c5…
10-30 01:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x1b20e7…
10-30 01:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x8c60f7…
10-30 00:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0xbe9afc…
10-30 00:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0xe81922…
10-30 00:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x6f1971…
10-29 21:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xcb0233…
10-29 21:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	88	4¢	$4	0x760ff5…
10-29 20:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xae7af9…
10-29 20:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xe4de0b…
10-29 14:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0xe7b53c…
10-29 13:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x23916b…
10-29 12:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x0c33a0…
10-29 11:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x995b6c…
10-29 10:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x6f249e…
10-29 10:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xd1cf48…
10-29 09:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	18¢	$4	0x74c691…
10-29 08:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	39	9¢	$4	0x6738ad…
10-29 06:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0xe0f303…
10-29 06:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xf52541…
10-29 06:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0x93a57a…
10-29 05:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0x98ce2e…
10-29 04:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x8aed4c…
10-29 04:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0xa6d351…
10-29 03:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x606e2b…
10-29 01:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x00913b…
10-28 00:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x5166d9…
10-28 00:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x633b7b…
10-28 00:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0x7e2efc…
10-27 23:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x0db707…
10-27 23:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xabb29d…
10-27 23:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x3d7e1a…
10-27 23:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xbf914f…
10-27 22:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xc0e77a…
10-27 22:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x323095…
10-27 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xe8d9ef…
10-27 21:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x2a0a9a…
10-27 20:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x9b25df…
10-27 20:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xd98868…
10-27 19:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xbbd2ea…
10-27 19:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xbf1aef…
10-27 18:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xe4a6e1…
10-27 18:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x4565d8…
10-27 17:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xd9ca2e…
10-27 17:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xa1f8c4…
10-27 16:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x38dddc…
10-27 15:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xbfb6fa…
10-27 14:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xdb4cd3…
10-27 14:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x3cd25f…
10-27 12:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$4	0x9b0595…
10-27 12:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	175	2¢	$4	0x192e70…
10-27 11:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$4	0x3d74eb…
10-27 10:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x604f4d…
10-27 09:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x115845…
10-27 08:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0xa5ac38…
10-27 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	350	1¢	$4	0xa0c8af…
10-27 08:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0xb25ddc…
10-27 06:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xb048a6…
10-27 05:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x286c29…
10-27 04:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x303459…
10-27 03:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x3abb13…