Realized P&L
+$1.43K
Unrealized P&L
+$119
Hit rate
91.9%
Resolved
170
Trades
1,258
lifetime
Volume
$55.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$4.70K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-27 19:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
67% 84% +$731
Politics
21% 76% +$273
Sports
12% 86% +$421
Tech
0% 100% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +855 $854 100¢ $854 $0 10-26 14:50
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +479 $475 99¢ $475 +$1 10-22 03:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +424 $423 100¢ $422 -$1 10-26 10:26
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +386 $383 99¢ $384 +$1 10-22 02:04
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +343 $341 99¢ $341 +$0 10-26 09:23
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +291 $290 100¢ $290 +$0 10-23 02:36
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +304 $257 88¢ $269 +$12 10-23 06:58
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +213 $213 100¢ $213 $0 10-26 03:56
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +194 $165 84¢ $164 -$1 10-25 03:46
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +162 $162 100¢ $162 $0 10-22 06:04
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +122 $33 100¢ $121 +$88 10-27 18:55
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +118 $118 100¢ $118 +$0 10-25 18:57
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +114 $113 98¢ $113 -$1 10-25 01:27
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +105 $73 81¢ $85 +$12 10-20 18:13
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +97 $87 87¢ $84 -$3 10-24 00:42
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $76 100¢ $76 $0 10-24 00:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $57 66¢ $66 +$9 10-22 14:15
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +63 $63 100¢ $63 +$0 10-26 01:18
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +49 $49 99¢ $49 $0 10-26 12:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $41 95¢ $42 +$0 10-26 11:20
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +44 $36 90¢ $40 +$4 10-25 03:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +981 $39 4¢ $39 +$0 10-26 10:26
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 93¢ $32 -$2 10-14 04:22
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +35 $32 90¢ $31 $0 10-24 00:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? No +32 $32 97¢ $31 -$1 10-20 14:30
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $31 99¢ $31 $0 10-21 04:31
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 10-25 21:24
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +27 $26 96¢ $26 +$0 10-19 14:04
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +27 $25 96¢ $25 +$0 10-22 02:47
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-26 17:42