Cloudy-Pinecone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

1,937

Trades

6,942

lifetime

Volume

$55.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-09 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 265 days

Categories

Other

97% 48% -$854

Sports

2% 47% -$112

Crypto

1% 51% -$20

Politics

1% 26% -$213

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+37	$10	2¢	$1	-$9	09-14 18:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	52	$1.7K	1,363	1,363	+0	Yes	+$110	02-20 16:55
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	37	$1.6K	1,536	1,636	-100	Yes	+$152	02-03 16:50
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	6	$1.0K	596	596	+0	Yes	+$15	01-30 16:42
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	30	$998	849	849	+0	Yes	+$130	01-23 16:46
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	24	$992	757	757	+0	No	-$15	02-24 16:36
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	25	$968	1,003	1,003	+0	Yes	+$103	02-27 16:59
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	46	$887	1,239	1,239	+0	Yes	+$153	03-10 15:55
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	14	$701	629	629	+0	Yes	+$52	02-24 16:43
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	37	$690	453	453	+0	Yes	+$50	03-06 16:42
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 480 499	29	$688	928	979	-51	No	+$28	01-23 16:48
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	26	$639	357	354	+2	Yes	+$21	04-22 16:07
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	39	$637	788	788	+0	Yes	+$59	04-03 15:57
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	8	$622	464	464	+0	Yes	+$98	01-27 17:14
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	20	$541	624	624	+0	No	+$19	02-20 11:45
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	31	$529	512	506	+5	Yes	+$80	04-17 14:58
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	16	$474	408	401	+7	Yes	+$76	04-10 15:02
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	9	$470	250	250	+0	Yes	+$9	03-03 16:48
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	24	$455	760	775	-15	No	-$58	01-27 16:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	23	$442	376	376	+1	Yes	+$49	04-28 15:45
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	48	$411	648	628	+20	Yes	+$8	04-07 15:43
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	13	$407	891	891	+0	No	+$4	02-03 13:57
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	15	$401	805	805	+0	No	-$67	02-20 16:23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	28	$398	305	305	+0	Yes	+$24	06-19 15:55
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	18	$390	314	314	+0	Yes	+$49	03-27 15:30
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	18	$386	428	428	+0	Yes	+$112	01-20 16:51
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	12	$385	549	549	+0	No	+$12	01-30 15:22
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	5	$384	207	207	+0	Yes	+$2	02-13 15:37
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	11	$384	489	478	+12	No	+$24	04-14 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	14	$357	208	208	+0	Yes	-$13	05-12 16:01
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	15	$341	1,083	1,083	+0	Yes	+$109	02-10 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 12:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfbc7d9…
11-07 16:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x80942d…
11-06 21:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x40ea34…
11-06 16:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xedcc05…
11-06 14:03:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x0f57e7…
11-06 14:02:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x16769d…
11-03 17:05:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7f2c62…
11-03 16:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8b5f6a…
11-03 14:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1da0d2…
11-03 13:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xf6093a…
11-03 13:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xac0e47…
11-03 13:03:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$4	0x77ca79…
11-03 03:03:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x52ec21…
11-02 22:54:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xc6ac23…
11-02 16:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0x655847…
11-02 16:01:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x11a95a…
11-02 15:57:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x653259…
11-02 13:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xb554a0…
11-02 13:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x1afe27…
11-01 18:14:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0xaea6e0…
11-01 18:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x706142…
11-01 18:12:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0xd5178b…
10-31 05:19:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xfe21cc…
10-31 05:19:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xe83634…
10-31 05:18:00	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb2114c…
10-30 19:27:45	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x486598…
10-30 19:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x33f712…
10-30 19:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xd361d3…
10-30 19:22:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x0a29bc…
10-30 16:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x809a8c…
10-30 15:14:19	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x0e0201…
10-30 15:13:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x3dde64…
10-30 15:13:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf68bb5…
10-30 13:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd41fa9…
10-30 11:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x40af19…
10-30 05:12:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0x1b718b…
10-29 12:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x6f70c6…
10-29 08:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x181b73…
10-29 07:05:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x4fb44c…
10-29 07:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x072bd7…
10-29 06:40:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	37¢	$10	0x8c5f28…
10-29 02:22:08	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x716ee8…
10-29 02:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x18e9f4…
10-28 21:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbe82dc…
10-28 21:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x26a0af…
10-28 21:22:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4a1eaf…
10-28 21:22:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x143e7b…
10-23 11:50:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x2470e4…
10-23 11:49:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0xa8ac7d…
10-21 19:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbd885d…
10-21 15:42:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xbf1e72…
10-21 15:39:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x29f25f…
10-21 11:02:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x250ac8…
10-21 11:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xd2be72…
10-21 11:00:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xea7500…
10-21 10:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x7075dd…
10-21 09:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x8d53db…
10-21 05:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8b886a…
10-21 04:30:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x2497fc…
10-21 04:30:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xf31996…
10-21 04:29:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9530eb…
10-20 04:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3990a4…
10-20 04:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x1fda0d…
10-20 04:18:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x9a8cb2…
10-20 03:29:08	Penguins vs. Utah	Utah	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4cbe8f…
10-20 03:28:54	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7a1563…
10-19 21:17:49	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xbe40b3…
10-19 21:15:40	Avalanche vs. Flyers	Avalanche	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7d7eab…
10-19 21:15:09	Penguins vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x78084c…
10-19 15:54:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xc7f59e…
10-19 14:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x3b587b…
10-19 01:44:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x64029d…
10-19 00:23:23	Blue Jackets vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x76491c…
10-19 00:07:29	Blue Jackets vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x940d4c…
10-18 23:48:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xa3eae1…
10-18 17:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x104f33…
10-18 17:30:59	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xd21383…
10-18 15:32:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xb96b07…
10-17 16:25:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x06e217…
10-17 14:46:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x98f54e…
10-17 06:04:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xd1ff5a…
10-16 20:46:50	Penguins vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9c4556…
10-16 20:46:21	Blue Jackets vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x6b11ad…
10-16 17:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x08cc9d…
10-16 16:38:04	Blue Jackets vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x146c1d…
10-16 16:37:48	Penguins vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x56e825…
10-16 16:35:34	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16	MVK Esports	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x2a5d67…
10-16 14:01:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x38db5f…
10-16 11:15:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd0a0c0…
10-16 11:13:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0xd9f6e4…
10-16 11:09:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7cc5bd…
10-15 02:33:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xbed331…
10-15 01:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x0bd6fa…
10-15 01:10:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x2e9903…
10-14 20:50:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x0c5ad6…
10-14 16:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6ba645…
10-14 05:47:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0bfe75…
10-14 04:12:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xbed4b1…
10-14 04:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc895fe…
10-14 04:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa82d66…