Realized P&L
-$136
Unrealized P&L
-$149
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
513
Trades
1,202
lifetime
Volume
$25.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.53K
24 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-28 02:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
69% 80% +$110
Politics
20% 68% -$248
Sports
9% 85% +$2
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 88% $0
Crypto
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +771 $344 35¢ $267 -$77 10-13 03:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +180 $128 97¢ $174 +$46 10-12 04:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +178 $174 98¢ $174 $0 10-14 10:42
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $169 99¢ $168 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? No +165 $165 100¢ $165 $0 10-09 01:23
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +146 $130 85¢ $124 -$6 10-13 20:57
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +179 $104 54¢ $97 -$6 10-13 09:17
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $90 100¢ $90 $0 10-13 22:44
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +83 $59 90¢ $74 +$15 10-05 16:11
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +28 $28 99¢ $28 +$0 10-14 04:42
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +26 $25 99¢ $26 +$0 10-11 00:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $22 97¢ $22 +$0 10-08 05:35
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +25 $21 84¢ $21 $0 10-26 17:42
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +22 $18 82¢ $18 +$0 10-20 21:07
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $18 97¢ $18 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +16 $15 96¢ $16 +$0 10-14 04:46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-07 04:32
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 10-10 06:03
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9 $9 94¢ $9 $0 10-26 03:32
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +7 $7 98¢ $7 $0 10-14 12:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +90 $28 4¢ $4 -$24 10-12 04:21
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +25 $9 12¢ $3 -$6 10-12 07:34
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +128 $91 1¢ $1 -$89 10-27 19:35
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +58 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-12 08:41