Ambitious-Referendum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$228

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

1,510

Trades

1,831

lifetime

Volume

$3.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-05 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 50% -$220

Other

14% 44% -$80

Politics

0% 50% +$72

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:35 UTC	3	$25	33	+33	Up	+$8	04-08 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 12:00 UTC	2	$25	98	+98	Up	-$18	04-08 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:45 UTC	2	$24	104	+104	Up	-$24	04-08 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:25 UTC	1	$20	33	+33	Down	-$20	04-07 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:30 UTC	4	$20	92	+92	Down	-$13	04-08 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:00 UTC	2	$19	45	+45	Down	-$12	04-08 07:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:40 UTC	3	$17	29	+29	Down	+$3	04-08 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:20 UTC	1	$17	52	+52	Down	-$17	04-09 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:35 UTC	4	$15	26	+26	Up	-$4	04-08 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 05:30 UTC	2	$15	40	+40	Up	-$15	04-09 05:33
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:30 UTC	4	$14	23	+23	Up	+$9	04-10 18:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 04:55 UTC	1	$13	35	+35	Up	-$13	04-09 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:45 UTC	2	$13	31	+31	Down	-$13	04-08 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 17:50 UTC	1	$13	120	+120	Down	-$13	04-08 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:30 UTC	3	$13	51	+51	Down	+$29	04-08 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 12:40 UTC	2	$12	23	+23	Up	-$12	04-08 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:20 UTC	1	$12	34	+34	Down	+$22	04-09 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:50 UTC	2	$12	14	+14	Up	+$3	04-08 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:25 UTC	4	$10	15	+15	Down	+$4	04-08 06:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:35 UTC	1	$10	16	+16	Down	-$10	04-10 14:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:55 UTC	12	$10	184	+184	Down	-$3	04-08 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 12:15 UTC	2	$10	41	+41	Down	+$31	04-08 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 06:15 UTC	3	$10	14	+14	Up	-$10	04-08 06:18
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 04:50 UTC	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	04-11 04:52
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:15 UTC	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	04-11 08:16
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 07:15 UTC	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	04-11 07:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:20 UTC	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	04-11 08:21
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 05:20 UTC	1	$10	14	+14	Up	+$4	04-11 05:21
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 07:15 UTC	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	04-11 07:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 07:30 UTC	1	$10	15	+15	Down	-$10	04-11 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 09:20:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf14921…
05-05 09:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4339f4…
05-05 00:46:18	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7f03b7…
05-05 00:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe88809…
05-05 00:35:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xab343b…
05-05 00:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcef113…
05-05 00:30:16	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4cac6d…
05-05 00:30:14	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3167a9…
05-05 00:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x821b86…
05-05 00:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x79f9f5…
05-05 00:15:46	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x37dcd5…
05-05 00:15:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f1329…
05-05 00:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd927e1…
05-05 00:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2d724e…
05-04 16:51:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd48174…
05-04 16:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf6f142…
05-04 16:46:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc502a6…
05-04 16:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc56be2…
05-04 14:10:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xeb512c…
05-04 14:05:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5be01f…
05-04 11:55:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x31b457…
05-04 11:50:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x986354…
05-04 11:45:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x92e435…
05-04 11:40:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3d714a…
05-04 11:35:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9c699c…
05-04 11:30:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa653b3…
05-04 11:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7ab729…
05-04 11:25:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf66e05…
05-04 11:20:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8a64c3…
05-04 11:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xebc5ef…
05-04 11:15:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4dfdf9…
05-04 11:10:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x234765…
05-04 11:05:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc1a6ba…
05-04 11:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xfa5b19…
05-04 11:00:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xebc741…
05-04 10:25:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf4c365…
05-04 10:20:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3ecb33…
05-04 10:15:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8e34f5…
05-04 10:10:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1ac85e…
05-04 10:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x463af9…
05-04 10:05:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x07033d…
05-04 07:55:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7af0f2…
05-04 07:50:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x48497f…
05-04 07:45:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x900b29…
05-04 07:40:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0f5908…
05-04 07:35:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x186592…
05-04 07:30:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xdd37c1…
05-04 07:25:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x300b12…
05-04 07:20:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa107e0…
05-04 07:15:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5cfa69…
05-04 07:10:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa47aa0…
05-04 07:05:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa0098c…
05-04 07:00:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x123344…
05-04 06:55:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d0e4e…
05-04 06:50:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x91f710…
05-04 06:45:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x838dce…
05-04 06:40:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbed870…
05-04 06:35:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8892bd…
05-04 06:30:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbd1c41…
05-04 06:25:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2f79b8…
05-04 06:20:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc34799…
05-04 06:15:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x12136b…
05-04 06:10:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x845f3b…
05-04 06:05:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x725257…
05-04 06:00:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb19994…
05-04 05:46:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf91ac7…
05-04 05:46:14	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2cb718…
05-04 05:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb2dd13…
05-04 05:35:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x835ada…
05-04 05:30:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x86d09b…
05-04 05:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xeb984b…
05-04 05:30:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5fe6f6…
05-04 05:20:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x66200d…
05-04 05:15:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x758c20…
05-04 05:15:24	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7de9a4…
05-04 05:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x93bbe7…
05-04 04:20:38	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x57899a…
05-04 04:20:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa90a7d…
05-04 03:15:30	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6811f8…
05-04 03:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7a74e0…
05-04 03:00:36	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x962619…
05-04 03:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6259ad…
05-04 01:45:30	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf1bef5…
05-04 01:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1d09cb…
05-04 01:35:42	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x90fc3e…
05-04 01:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa993e9…
05-04 00:30:16	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x993377…
05-04 00:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8e52cc…
05-04 00:30:14	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa84216…
05-04 00:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc436ea…
05-04 00:25:30	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa40eb4…
05-04 00:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb89b94…
05-03 23:50:30	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7449e9…
05-03 23:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x86ce95…
05-03 23:45:26	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xcb233d…
05-03 23:45:24	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xba056c…
05-03 23:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x360e20…
05-03 23:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b6585…
05-03 20:45:20	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xccb5b8…
05-03 20:45:18	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd828c5…