Dull-Triangle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$407

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

1,516

Trades

4,573

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 09-25 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 55% -$183

Other

24% 37% -$11

Politics

3% 25% -$226

Sports

0% 60% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down march 1 3am et	24	$656	539	539	+0	Down	-$10	03-01 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC	5	$480	544	0	+544	Down	-$480	02-28 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:25 UTC	8	$448	481	0	+481	Down	+$33	02-28 12:29
ethereum up or down march 1 2am et	22	$429	400	375	+25	Up	+$14	03-01 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:20 UTC	12	$423	479	0	+479	Down	+$26	02-28 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:20 UTC	13	$419	497	0	+497	Up	+$4	02-28 11:24
ethereum up or down march 1 4am et	31	$388	278	277	+2	Down	+$8	03-01 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:45 UTC	8	$375	469	0	+469	Down	-$28	02-28 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:10 UTC	8	$375	416	0	+416	Up	+$41	02-28 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:40 UTC	4	$349	375	0	+375	Down	+$26	02-28 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:05 UTC	9	$345	405	0	+405	Up	+$22	02-28 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:45 UTC	18	$318	377	0	+377	Up	+$44	02-28 11:49
bitcoin up or down march 3 5am et	38	$312	307	307	+0	Up	+$10	03-03 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:55 UTC	13	$305	363	0	+363	Up	+$21	02-28 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:10 UTC	7	$302	430	0	+430	Up	+$28	02-28 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:35 UTC	11	$285	373	0	+373	Down	+$66	02-28 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:05 UTC	8	$281	316	0	+316	Down	+$35	02-28 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:10 UTC	10	$270	368	0	+368	Up	-$40	02-28 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 06:45 UTC	23	$268	256	226	+30	Up	-$33	03-03 06:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	17	$267	354	0	+354	Up	+$29	02-28 12:18
bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	9	$264	266	266	+0	Up	+$2	03-03 11:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:30 UTC	19	$241	220	216	+3	Down	+$16	03-03 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:20 UTC	11	$227	306	0	+306	Up	-$97	02-28 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:10 UTC	6	$211	147	134	+13	Up	+$3	03-05 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:55 UTC	10	$203	322	66	+256	Down	+$54	02-28 09:59
ethereum up or down march 1 5am et	26	$191	222	222	+0	Up	-$31	03-01 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:50 UTC	14	$178	241	0	+241	Down	+$51	02-28 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	8	$170	241	233	+8	Yes	-$85	05-08 08:57
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	3	$166	141	85	+56	No	+$4	02-23 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?	15	$161	156	156	+0	No	+$56	05-06 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 16:43:39	bitcoin up or down on september 26 2026	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x5f57d8…
09-25 13:30:41	bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe578f4…
09-25 07:08:44	bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xcb1181…
09-24 16:23:24	bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x38a299…
09-23 19:39:20	bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x4959b0…
09-23 19:39:16	bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x413a13…
09-23 15:52:43	bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe1aa52…
09-23 15:52:02	bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1e8808…
09-23 08:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23?	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8efb55…
09-22 16:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23?	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd8e1a0…
09-22 16:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8f248f…
09-21 16:03:32	bitcoin up or down on september 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x74ab08…
09-21 16:01:53	bitcoin up or down on september 22 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb09666…
09-21 15:52:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3d25f7…
09-21 02:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcaf26a…
09-20 16:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf085bd…
09-19 18:56:08	bitcoin up or down on september 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3154f0…
09-19 18:56:06	bitcoin up or down on september 20 2026	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xa9e079…
09-19 16:38:50	bitcoin up or down on september 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x4a6c83…
09-18 17:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe37751…
09-17 17:05:12	bitcoin up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xe1d5e0…
09-16 16:10:48	bitcoin up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x1fc84c…
09-13 16:45:09	bitcoin up or down on september 14 2026	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x89eb6f…
09-12 18:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x315658…
09-12 06:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?	Up	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x8c921c…
09-12 06:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?	Up	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xf2784f…
09-11 13:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x262373…
09-11 12:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x02cf47…
09-10 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x95ac29…
09-10 16:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf6a38c…
09-10 14:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	Up	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xe2d1ba…
09-10 14:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x594cab…
09-09 16:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x84163a…
09-09 15:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x30a481…
09-09 05:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6dea1f…
09-08 16:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xc40041…
09-08 01:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe05600…
09-08 01:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9959de…
09-08 01:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x018a2f…
09-07 16:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x2dd97d…
09-06 23:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6f2fcf…
09-06 16:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x54174a…
09-06 14:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6?	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf416df…
09-05 16:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6?	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x16ec7f…
09-04 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xd1ea37…
09-04 02:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8e913c…
09-04 02:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x81ac08…
09-03 16:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xf673af…
09-03 07:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd3e52b…
09-03 02:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7a7f22…
09-03 02:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc7be19…
09-03 01:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x366395…
09-02 16:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x564d72…
09-01 16:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5d6de9…
09-01 15:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x6c932a…
09-01 03:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcda826…
08-31 18:41:15	bitcoin up or down on september 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x1f641b…
08-31 16:02:54	bitcoin up or down on september 1 2026	Down	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0x460dd7…
08-31 05:06:04	bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x443905…
08-30 20:44:54	bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x004284…
08-30 16:03:33	bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	Up	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0x94268d…
08-29 16:15:06	bitcoin up or down on august 30 2026	Down	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0xec45e1…
08-29 09:03:18	bitcoin up or down on august 29 2026	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x1c52a4…
08-29 09:03:13	bitcoin up or down on august 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf264f9…
08-29 01:17:22	bitcoin up or down on august 29 2026	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x06a64d…
08-28 09:08:36	bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x571d84…
08-28 02:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xea6ed6…
08-28 02:31:09	bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2e81ab…
08-27 18:52:40	bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3ec5eb…
08-27 16:59:46	bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbf4fa0…
08-27 16:38:06	bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4a76c0…
08-26 23:32:58	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x96505e…
08-26 17:30:46	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7624ef…
08-26 16:11:48	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xc120fd…
08-25 16:42:27	bitcoin up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xb2564b…
08-25 15:57:57	bitcoin up or down on august 25 2026	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcd094c…
08-24 17:22:37	bitcoin up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x9acff8…
08-23 16:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x56e8ec…
08-23 06:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x55be0a…
08-23 06:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xac7c9a…
08-22 17:19:42	bitcoin up or down on august 23 2026	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xa14d88…
08-22 07:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 22?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x127557…
08-22 06:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	No	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0xf3db90…
08-22 04:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x8deb45…
08-22 04:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x36744f…
08-21 16:02:15	bitcoin up or down on august 22 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb13706…
08-21 11:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5f4516…
08-21 08:39:42	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x495a51…
08-21 08:39:42	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x1de390…
08-21 08:37:37	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x924ed1…
08-21 07:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xf1f3b3…
08-21 07:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe58b54…
08-21 07:31:31	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xa4362b…
08-21 07:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4bbe8e…
08-21 07:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xff92ba…
08-21 07:17:39	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7ddd36…
08-21 07:17:39	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x761f82…
08-21 05:49:30	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x526fc2…
08-21 05:49:30	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x265d0a…
08-21 05:49:25	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7d371b…