Lumbering-Skean — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$507

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

2,470

Trades

5,240

lifetime

Volume

$62.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-27 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 50% -$332

Other

4% 35% -$85

Sports

3% 31% -$90

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 11 4am et	11	$714	718	586	+131	Up	-$35	03-11 09:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 01:15 UTC	4	$698	718	707	+10	Down	+$128	02-13 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 06:05 UTC	5	$527	409	403	+6	Up	+$118	02-13 06:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 16:00 UTC	5	$495	354	349	+5	Up	+$201	02-13 16:14
bitcoin above 70k on february 14	3	$415	1,014	1,014	+0	No	+$174	02-14 08:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:45 UTC	9	$395	265	265	+0	Up	+$58	06-21 01:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 01:00 UTC	2	$376	224	221	+2	Up	+$65	02-13 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 12:05 UTC	2	$354	350	306	+44	Up	+$196	02-13 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$333	261	147	+114	Up	-$67	07-28 23:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 00:45 UTC	5	$332	300	295	+5	Up	+$14	02-13 00:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 16:50 UTC	2	$330	233	230	+4	Up	+$124	02-13 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 06:10 UTC	1	$322	674	0	+674	Down	+$352	02-13 06:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 16:30 UTC	3	$296	223	220	+3	Up	+$99	02-13 16:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 11:45 UTC	2	$292	241	238	+3	Up	+$102	02-13 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$289	304	304	+0	Up	+$81	07-28 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 23:55 UTC	2	$282	188	188	+0	Down	+$90	06-21 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:35 UTC	4	$275	241	117	+124	Down	-$67	06-21 01:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 13	4	$268	439	439	+0	No	-$17	02-13 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 07:25 UTC	4	$266	151	150	+0	Up	+$11	02-14 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:50 UTC	2	$259	204	204	+0	Down	+$59	07-28 05:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 00:55 UTC	2	$257	175	173	+3	Down	+$59	02-13 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 12:10 UTC	2	$254	158	156	+2	Down	+$56	02-13 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:10 UTC	3	$250	156	150	+6	Up	+$48	07-31 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 10:00 UTC	2	$243	168	165	+3	Down	+$86	02-13 10:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 11	2	$242	290	290	+0	Yes	-$11	03-11 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 18:25 UTC	3	$239	397	301	+95	Down	+$114	07-26 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 23:15 UTC	2	$238	154	154	+0	Up	+$38	07-28 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 08:30 UTC	2	$228	164	161	+2	Up	+$87	02-13 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:40 UTC	4	$221	265	265	+0	Up	+$21	07-28 17:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:25 UTC	4	$217	148	148	+0	Up	+$63	07-28 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x4d627b…
10-26 09:06:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd28e3e…
10-26 09:03:27	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xedcf2d…
10-26 08:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x0bce0e…
10-26 08:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7876c6…
10-25 04:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x6bc850…
10-25 04:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0xc0939c…
10-25 04:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xd5460c…
10-25 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x4ccd8b…
10-25 04:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0xecd508…
10-25 04:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xa87c64…
10-25 04:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x239725…
10-25 04:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x12eed5…
10-25 04:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x2c2384…
10-25 04:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x744f26…
10-25 04:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x507d95…
10-25 04:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x1d7d06…
10-25 03:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xe54e2c…
10-25 03:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0xb8e784…
10-25 03:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x09c092…
10-25 03:47:59	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2ee51f…
10-25 03:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x1e7907…
10-25 03:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x8d6897…
10-25 03:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x30872e…
10-25 03:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfa9a01…
10-25 03:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0x2b21bb…
10-25 03:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0xbfde7c…
10-25 03:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xfaffdf…
10-25 03:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xdef112…
10-25 03:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xd4ab71…
10-25 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xd583d6…
10-25 02:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3c6ae4…
10-25 02:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xe4fb88…
10-25 02:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x492046…
10-25 02:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	76¢	$19	0x507e11…
10-25 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd4dcac…
10-25 02:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	78	19¢	$15	0xee4cdb…
10-25 02:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x299841…
10-25 01:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	25¢	$5	0x78383a…
10-25 01:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0xce8a2b…
10-25 01:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x101b15…
10-25 01:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xb4a4fc…
10-25 01:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x764eb0…
10-25 01:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xb37416…
10-25 01:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x099e7a…
10-24 03:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd0bbde…
10-24 02:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x7adf7a…
10-24 02:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x3197c1…
10-24 02:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x20a3cf…
10-24 02:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x317f79…
10-24 02:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x92f02f…
10-24 02:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x95e95f…
10-24 02:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x80a824…
10-24 02:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x41ec9f…
10-24 02:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x64f2da…
10-24 02:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x23183e…
10-24 02:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	67¢	$12	0x4dc03a…
10-24 02:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xba9008…
10-24 01:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xca5963…
10-24 01:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa6f0d1…
10-23 15:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0f440e…
10-23 15:50:38	Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs WBT Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #9 Playoffs	WBT Academy	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x3efd37…
10-23 15:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb7eb86…
10-23 15:49:03	Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs WBT Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #9 Playoffs	WBT Academy	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x65a4bf…
10-23 15:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x6c7322…
10-23 15:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xefe9f1…
10-23 14:59:20	Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner	K27	SELL	57	7¢	$4	0xb9e627…
10-23 14:48:20	Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner	K27	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xfcc9f6…
10-23 14:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x7de675…
10-23 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9fa5e3…
10-23 14:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x428b6b…
10-23 14:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc38ce1…
10-23 14:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x66aac3…
10-23 14:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x0c2966…
10-23 14:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc1f247…
10-23 14:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xc04b38…
10-23 14:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x60970d…
10-23 14:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x7d4c8a…
10-23 14:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0xe57062…
10-23 14:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x744843…
10-23 13:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xae9528…
10-23 12:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xca4ed0…
10-23 12:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	30	88¢	$27	0x90abeb…
10-23 12:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x663f88…
10-23 03:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf1bd1d…
10-23 03:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7aed8e…
10-23 03:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x24cd60…
10-23 03:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3b6b87…
10-23 03:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x28bbd2…
10-22 04:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2a8b6d…
10-22 04:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6517bb…
10-22 03:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x6d5d33…
10-22 03:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x68c002…
10-22 03:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xa54dc3…
10-22 03:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xacddbb…
10-22 03:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xb61de5…
10-22 03:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xd6adcb…
10-22 03:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0xa22243…
10-22 03:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x967eeb…
10-22 03:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xbd0e3e…