Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

118

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$125

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-25

last 10-29 04:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 62% -$57

Politics

10% 0% -$12

Other

8% 45% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+253	$105	46¢	$115	+$10	10-28 06:32
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	+100	$10	8¢	$8	-$2	10-28 19:08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+1	$1	76¢	$1	$0	10-26 12:54
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+2	$1	37¢	$1	$0	10-26 10:23
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	+7	$4	6¢	$0	-$4	10-25 17:38
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	+26	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-28 05:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$105	253	0	+253	open	—	10-28 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$69	140	40	+100	Down	+$7	10-28 14:18
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$66	66	66	+0	open	—	10-29 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$56	102	0	+102	Down	+$26	10-28 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$41	60	0	+60	Down	-$2	10-28 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$31	47	0	+47	Down	-$10	10-27 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$30	52	0	+52	Down	-$30	10-28 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$30	59	0	+59	Down	+$8	10-28 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$30	66	0	+66	Down	+$7	10-28 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$30	44	0	+44	Up	-$30	10-28 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$30	56	0	+56	Down	-$30	10-28 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$26	31	0	+31	Up	+$5	10-27 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	2	$24	18	18	+0	Yes	+$12	10-27 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$23	69	0	+69	Up	-$16	10-27 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$23	26	0	+26	Up	+$3	10-27 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$23	25	0	+25	Down	+$2	10-27 09:38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-27 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$20	1,511	0	+1,511	Down	-$9	10-28 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	10-28 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$20	64	0	+64	Down	+$7	10-28 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Up	+$16	10-28 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$20	53	0	+53	Up	+$16	10-28 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$20	42	0	+42	Up	+$5	10-28 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$20	36	0	+36	Down	+$16	10-28 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$20	66	0	+66	Up	+$12	10-28 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$20	38	0	+38	Up	-$20	10-26 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$20	30	0	+30	Down	-$20	10-28 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	10-28 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$20	34	0	+34	Down	-$20	10-28 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$20	30	0	+30	Down	-$20	10-28 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:30:28	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	38	83¢	$32	0x0565ba…
10-29 14:30:01	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0x9c3fbf…
10-29 04:35:55	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xd1c42c…
10-28 20:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x5fff67…
10-28 20:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x51a2a0…
10-28 20:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x505360…
10-28 19:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0520a8…
10-28 19:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf4693b…
10-28 19:10:50	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x797115…
10-28 19:08:44	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x34a292…
10-28 19:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x27ea4d…
10-28 18:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x33cae1…
10-28 16:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe15416…
10-28 16:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x84ce85…
10-28 16:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc74507…
10-28 16:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x58b59c…
10-28 16:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x609c1c…
10-28 16:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7c4e9a…
10-28 16:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe70a9a…
10-28 16:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x207acc…
10-28 16:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd11b93…
10-28 16:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x6ec284…
10-28 16:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xdee72e…
10-28 16:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa1455f…
10-28 15:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xad3b69…
10-28 15:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xcb738a…
10-28 15:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xf4804d…
10-28 15:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc35c8a…
10-28 15:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xee2d99…
10-28 15:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xab0833…
10-28 15:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcc9379…
10-28 15:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x2177b4…
10-28 15:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbc532a…
10-28 15:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x12a9bb…
10-28 15:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x23a741…
10-28 15:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0e15a5…
10-28 15:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x7b7244…
10-28 15:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3b7bfc…
10-28 14:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x03e9fb…
10-28 14:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x9b2e31…
10-28 14:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x351fc6…
10-28 14:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xf1bd04…
10-28 14:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbb2e5c…
10-28 14:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x945121…
10-28 14:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xc877ca…
10-28 14:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x497209…
10-28 14:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x655e62…
10-28 14:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x364bbc…
10-28 14:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x422a28…
10-28 14:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x664fe5…
10-28 14:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x2be202…
10-28 14:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x27c71c…
10-28 13:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1b1508…
10-28 13:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6e07a4…
10-28 13:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x09778a…
10-28 13:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x037a3b…
10-28 13:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x5c4a37…
10-28 13:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0x2945ba…
10-28 13:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x659ede…
10-28 06:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x0a10f1…
10-28 06:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x7cbb56…
10-28 06:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xf98a75…
10-28 06:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x422f3d…
10-28 06:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5d11c7…
10-28 06:32:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7c86b1…
10-28 06:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x40e30b…
10-28 06:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x439b05…
10-28 05:42:56	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x2de7ce…
10-28 05:39:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x58030b…
10-28 05:30:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x968599…
10-27 20:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x9d562f…
10-27 18:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xc6d3b7…
10-27 16:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x5ad148…
10-27 16:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x0869d9…
10-27 16:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xaa8e3f…
10-27 15:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x4a9654…
10-27 15:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x5a9ce5…
10-27 15:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6d79df…
10-27 15:02:09	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x97b58b…
10-27 14:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x0e9434…
10-27 14:54:30	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc6126c…
10-27 14:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x25885d…
10-27 14:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd4ff89…
10-27 14:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x08f7e6…
10-27 14:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x7f8cd8…
10-27 14:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x43df91…
10-27 14:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xf0bdb2…
10-27 14:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0xc9e36c…
10-27 13:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x52317d…
10-27 13:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb793b0…
10-27 13:38:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x2f55b8…
10-27 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0x29fe82…
10-27 12:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x524003…
10-27 12:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xa57787…
10-27 11:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xc25ac2…
10-27 10:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x9e41d8…
10-27 10:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xc4a076…
10-27 09:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x0477a6…
10-27 09:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbef322…
10-27 09:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x7b221d…