Triangular-Permission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

169

Trades

5,642

lifetime

Volume

$144.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-30 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-3

Other

37% 94% +$13

Crypto

10% 97% $-56

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	37	$7.9K	12,570	12,570	+0	open	—	02-28 07:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	153	$7.2K	14,434	14,434	+0	open	—	03-17 22:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	69	$4.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-29 13:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	19	$2.9K	2,566	2,566	+0	open	—	02-28 15:52
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	19	$2.8K	2,624	2,624	+0	open	—	02-27 22:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	94	$2.5K	2,428	2,428	+0	open	—	03-08 03:17
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	12	$2.4K	1,969	1,969	+0	open	—	02-28 06:28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	70	$2.3K	3,845	3,845	+0	open	—	03-08 03:31
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	124	$2.0K	1,956	2,065	-109	open	—	03-15 23:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	22	$1.8K	1,786	1,986	-200	open	—	03-10 03:31
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	49	$1.8K	3,579	3,579	+0	open	—	03-07 23:46
Iran leadership change by April 30?	34	$1.7K	1,945	1,945	+0	open	—	03-17 05:39
spx up or down on march 10 2026	10	$1.7K	1,793	1,793	+0	open	—	03-10 19:41
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	33	$1.6K	1,515	1,515	+0	open	—	03-08 12:19
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	4	$1.5K	1,007	1,007	+0	open	—	02-27 19:41
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	12	$1.5K	1,196	1,196	+0	open	—	02-28 16:19
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	83	$1.4K	2,069	2,730	-661	open	—	03-16 01:01
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	50	$1.4K	1,460	1,460	+0	open	—	03-09 14:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	30	$1.4K	1,176	1,176	+0	open	—	03-10 05:58
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	74	$1.4K	1,247	1,397	-150	open	—	03-13 01:39
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	9	$1.3K	972	972	+0	open	—	02-18 05:51
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	16	$1.3K	1,236	1,236	+0	open	—	02-19 18:19
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	11	$1.3K	730	730	+0	open	—	02-27 19:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	31	$1.3K	1,361	1,361	+0	open	—	03-18 01:02
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	73	$1.2K	1,358	1,358	+0	open	—	03-12 21:05
iran leadership change by march 31	22	$1.2K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	03-17 09:48
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	114	$1.1K	1,304	1,304	+0	open	—	03-16 03:49
will trump visit china by march 31	48	$1.1K	2,326	2,326	+0	open	—	03-18 11:02
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	34	$1.1K	1,297	1,297	+0	open	—	03-09 16:41
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$1.1K	569	569	+0	open	—	02-28 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:56:22	xrp up or down june 30 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf6743b…
06-30 21:29:47	eth updown 15m 1782854100	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1dc2c6…
06-30 20:32:59	xagusd up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe904e7…
06-30 20:29:46	xrp updown 5m 1782851100	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x457379…
06-30 20:28:32	sol updown 15m 1782850500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1c6822…
06-30 20:28:26	xrp updown 15m 1782850500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd88264…
06-30 20:28:22	btc updown 15m 1782850500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x360165…
06-30 15:58:01	xrp up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0bc933…
06-30 15:31:40	bnb up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xfa4082…
06-30 15:31:38	bitcoin above 58k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x954b2c…
06-30 15:31:37	ethereum up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x5dd3e7…
06-30 09:39:31	sol updown 5m 1782812100	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x78316f…
06-30 07:52:19	xrp updown 4h 1782792000	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xf7a6eb…
06-30 07:52:16	eth updown 4h 1782792000	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd40772…
06-30 03:58:47	doge updown 15m 1782791100	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x89043b…
06-30 03:58:44	sol updown 15m 1782791100	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc2bc8f…
06-30 03:58:40	eth updown 15m 1782791100	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd98d9d…
06-29 23:44:55	btc updown 15m 1782775800	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe284e1…
06-29 23:44:49	btc updown 15m 1782775800	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa0d4ae…
06-29 23:44:46	xrp updown 5m 1782776400	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x00c18f…
06-29 23:44:44	btc updown 15m 1782775800	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x581d2d…
06-29 20:56:44	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x82c066…
06-29 18:43:29	eth updown 15m 1782757800	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe02b65…
06-29 16:57:32	ethereum up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x55d374…
06-29 15:30:28	bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x911f9a…
06-29 13:28:41	xrp updown 15m 1782738900	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x133396…
06-29 13:28:38	sol updown 15m 1782738900	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x270264…
06-29 13:28:11	eth updown 15m 1782738900	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7a5a6…
06-29 12:49:16	xrp updown 5m 1782737100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6cf196…
06-29 12:49:13	sol updown 5m 1782737100	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x2cc573…
06-29 12:28:23	btc updown 15m 1782735300	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf3fbbb…
06-29 12:28:20	eth updown 15m 1782735300	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x23dd27…
06-29 11:50:47	btc updown 4h 1782720000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc01336…
06-29 09:19:34	eth updown 5m 1782724500	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2acf56…
06-29 09:13:49	xrp updown 15m 1782723600	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x285efd…
06-29 08:43:22	sol updown 15m 1782721800	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1c6f68…
06-29 08:09:38	btc updown 5m 1782720300	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x30be25…
06-29 01:43:37	xrp updown 15m 1782696600	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f013b…
06-29 00:58:44	btc updown 15m 1782693900	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc6c162…
06-29 00:58:35	btc updown 15m 1782693900	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf7d589…
06-29 00:58:23	xrp up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xd4e2b9…
06-29 00:58:19	xrp up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	39	98¢	$39	0x1d432f…
06-28 23:28:38	xrp updown 15m 1782688500	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc037f3…
06-28 19:58:53	eth updown 15m 1782675900	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x132c4d…
06-28 19:58:52	sol updown 15m 1782675900	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7c7f64…
06-28 19:04:14	xrp updown 5m 1782673200	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24424e…
06-28 17:55:37	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x1a27b5…
06-28 17:09:23	sol updown 5m 1782666300	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x31797a…
06-28 17:09:19	btc updown 5m 1782666300	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6f7017…
06-28 16:28:28	btc updown 15m 1782663300	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x912f78…
06-28 16:13:28	sol updown 15m 1782662400	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xdede7e…
06-28 15:59:23	xrp updown 15m 1782661500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf01669…
06-28 15:59:19	btc updown 15m 1782661500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xccfaef…
06-28 15:59:16	eth updown 15m 1782661500	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf41005…
06-28 15:59:11	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x107f1c…
06-28 15:55:08	solana up or down june 28 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x4211e1…
06-28 12:28:14	sol updown 15m 1782648900	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1c8c92…
06-28 04:09:29	eth updown 5m 1782619500	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9cdfda…
06-28 02:58:35	btc updown 15m 1782614700	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xafaddd…
06-28 01:54:47	sol updown 5m 1782611400	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x09e98f…
06-28 01:09:35	eth updown 5m 1782608700	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x76fa70…
06-27 23:44:11	xrp updown 15m 1782603000	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2fca3a…
06-27 23:28:43	btc updown 15m 1782602100	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x21c0d2…
06-27 23:13:23	eth updown 15m 1782601200	Down	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xb16464…
06-27 22:13:59	sol updown 15m 1782597600	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf02d60…
06-27 18:28:43	sol updown 15m 1782584100	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x580612…
06-27 12:13:58	eth updown 15m 1782561600	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x539a43…
06-27 12:13:53	btc updown 15m 1782561600	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd07281…
06-27 12:13:50	sol updown 15m 1782561600	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa3daf0…
06-27 08:13:56	btc updown 15m 1782547200	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdffb9e…
06-27 08:13:53	sol updown 15m 1782547200	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa609e7…
06-27 06:57:44	xrp up or down june 27 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad0558…
06-27 06:24:38	xrp updown 5m 1782541200	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1e35e4…
06-27 06:24:34	btc updown 5m 1782541200	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xda3159…
06-27 01:34:38	doge updown 5m 1782523800	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd359b8…
06-27 01:28:20	eth updown 15m 1782522900	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xbe0efe…
06-27 01:28:16	xrp updown 15m 1782522900	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3a57c0…
06-26 23:58:25	solana up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3de990…
06-26 22:55:35	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3ff4f4…
06-26 17:43:31	btc updown 15m 1782495000	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x1dc62a…
06-26 15:58:13	eth updown 15m 1782488700	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf5ab69…
06-26 15:58:08	xrp updown 15m 1782488700	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1f943d…
06-26 15:58:04	ethereum up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3ee71f…
06-26 03:54:10	sol updown 5m 1782445800	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x04eff3…
06-24 18:58:31	eth updown 15m 1782326700	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x54ffb8…
06-24 18:14:26	btc updown 15m 1782324000	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfafd68…
06-24 10:56:37	ethereum up or down june 24 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdc8637…
06-24 10:04:17	eth updown 5m 1782295200	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x72b299…
06-24 10:04:14	btc updown 5m 1782295200	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb319f2…
06-24 10:04:14	btc updown 5m 1782295200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b5379…
06-24 07:28:53	btc updown 15m 1782285300	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xed1214…
06-24 06:24:38	btc updown 5m 1782282000	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbfec61…
06-24 06:24:35	sol updown 5m 1782282000	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x501ecc…
06-24 03:55:23	solana up or down june 23 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xb85c6f…
06-24 03:55:19	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4345d3…
06-24 03:19:28	doge updown 5m 1782270900	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa617aa…
06-24 03:19:22	btc updown 5m 1782270900	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd19329…
06-24 03:14:19	sol updown 15m 1782270000	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x554cc8…
06-24 02:58:40	xrp updown 15m 1782269100	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd6e2fe…
06-24 01:14:23	xrp updown 15m 1782262800	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x00ff80…