Rosy-Exaggeration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

743

Trades

785

lifetime

Volume

$7.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 11-01 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% -$4

Sports

15% 99% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 01:02
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:41
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Rams vs. Eagles	1	$10	10	0	+10	Rams	+$0	10-04 20:22
itf karma schlag 2026 06 18 set handicap away 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Karma	+$0	06-18 11:28
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	CR Vasco da Gama	+$0	05-28 00:14
Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:39
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	06-12 10:42
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-22 18:12
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	QoR	+$0	06-03 00:47
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:09:22	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x94d9dd…
11-01 00:43:22	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7eaf7…
11-01 00:05:12	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1ac2f2…
10-30 23:54:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd93f2…
10-30 16:14:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae57fd…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64dbb0…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf23e5a…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36cf23…
10-24 13:22:15	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9dbd43…
10-24 13:01:11	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe32ca9…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf69f26…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa60326…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95e8dd…
10-21 17:12:36	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39814b…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x194e86…
10-20 18:40:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2f3f2…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffabcb…
10-15 20:32:44	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xeee204…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83678d…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f0d33…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa482db…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cf0c7…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65949e…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x692a27…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3f1c7…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x493368…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbdea45…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad540f…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d9ffe…
10-11 04:54:54	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92ea77…
10-10 11:24:27	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbebe5d…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x604319…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbf66e…
10-08 07:35:42	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8574ed…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3bda4e…
10-07 10:16:26	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x27dc89…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf668e1…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x465354…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb88858…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2838b5…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb48f04…
10-04 20:22:59	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92db0a…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbfbcb…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x098ef4…
10-03 14:50:23	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7513b1…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5b7291…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bbb99…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6b9a3d…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x362d0f…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7762e…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x244ff2…
10-01 16:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31889c…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x40663c…
10-01 12:05:02	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89c27b…
10-01 06:54:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x288afa…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a98cc…
09-30 23:54:47	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe99db5…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4f9b72…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x68b346…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cb80b…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe0306a…
09-29 13:15:57	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x062887…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c9b06…
09-27 20:24:48	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a3db…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6eaad…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa65ec…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41849b…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bd62e…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5d9b7…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7135c…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf226bc…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x23fb24…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbba0dc…
09-24 21:35:09	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x053e08…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b70af…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafea11…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79b4e8…
09-23 16:27:36	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae3abe…
09-23 04:45:08	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcef7a8…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c22e8…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c0122…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d6163…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x619289…
09-20 12:02:25	M15 Forbach: Manuel Frank vs Antoine Walch	Antoine Walch	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x090348…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc4418…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d914a…
09-19 20:39:09	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c1b08…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87f919…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd0497…
09-17 20:00:10	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9e196…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d9e1c…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e645e…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x188c33…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd30263…
09-16 10:23:10	M25 Zlatibor: Veljko Krstic vs Henry Best	Veljko Krstic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff5785…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b6bc1…
09-16 01:10:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3d7f7…
09-15 17:50:37	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18c5c0…
09-15 09:42:01	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6b2ce…
09-13 14:59:09	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2335e4…