Regal-Bondsman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$718

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-03 23:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

54% 36% +$25

Other

46% 22% -$97

Crypto

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	8	$148	150	100	+50	No	-$4	04-08 21:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	17	$86	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	+$4	04-13 12:24
will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	2	$48	40	40	+0	Yes	+$32	04-06 15:04
will trump say assassin or assassinate during tpusa events on april 17	3	$43	30	30	+0	Yes	+$17	04-17 22:08
Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?	3	$42	30	30	+0	Yes	+$18	04-08 18:12
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	3	$38	30	29	+1	Yes	+$22	04-15 15:55
will banana be said 10 times during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	1	$28	100	0	+100	No	-$28	04-18 22:38
will trump say left behind during monday news conference	3	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$12	04-06 19:16
will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	3	$25	45	45	+0	No	-$25	04-17 23:05
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	1	$25	44	0	+44	Bilibili Gaming	-$25	07-03 23:06
will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	6	$24	20	20	+0	No	+$9	04-17 22:39
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	1	$24	50	0	+50	Under	-$24	06-26 23:28
will trump say god 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	3	$20	40	40	+0	No	-$6	04-17 22:20
wta shnaide lys 2026 06 29	1	$16	25	0	+25	Diana Shnaider	+$9	06-30 13:27
will melania say danger or dangerous during statement on april 9	1	$12	30	0	+30	No	-$12	04-09 11:53
will trump say jesus this week april 19	4	$11	30	30	+0	No	-$3	04-18 15:31
Will Trump say "Unaffordable Care Act" at The Villages on May 1?	1	$10	30	0	+30	No	-$10	05-01 20:33
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$10	110	0	+110	No	-$10	05-20 10:23
will melania say honor during statement on april 9	2	$10	30	0	+30	No	-$10	04-09 18:33
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	3	$10	60	57	+3	No	-$10	04-18 15:31
will trump say christian during tpusa events on april 17	1	$8	25	0	+25	No	-$8	04-17 22:06
will melania say be best during statement on april 9	1	$8	30	0	+30	No	-$8	04-09 18:32
will melania say april during statement on april 9	1	$8	20	0	+20	No	-$8	04-09 11:53
will trump say venezuela during tpusa events on april 17	1	$7	20	0	+20	Yes	-$7	04-17 17:40
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	2	$7	30	0	+30	No	-$7	04-15 19:42
will trump post charlie or kirk this week on truth social	2	$5	14	14	+0	Yes	-$3	04-17 23:05
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	1	$4	30	0	+30	Yes	+$26	05-01 14:14
will banana be said 10 times during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	1	$4	20	0	+20	Yes	-$4	04-11 18:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$3	100	0	+100	No	-$3	04-13 11:22
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	1	$3	150	0	+150	Yes	-$3	04-29 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 23:06:46	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xd9601f…
06-30 13:27:05	wta shnaide lys 2026 06 29	Diana Shnaider	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x4802ee…
06-26 23:28:47	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x78f237…
05-20 10:23:02	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xa8ab5b…
05-01 20:33:26	Will Trump say "Unaffordable Care Act" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x86ef50…
05-01 14:14:24	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x76b757…
04-29 15:57:30	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xf66f83…
04-18 22:38:40	will banana be said 10 times during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x03c559…
04-18 15:31:58	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0xd1a277…
04-18 15:31:52	will trump say jesus this week april 19	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xa16e60…
04-18 14:33:42	will trump say jesus this week april 19	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x3bbf36…
04-18 12:04:42	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xead052…
04-17 23:23:42	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x4e7b39…
04-17 23:05:14	will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xb8190c…
04-17 23:05:08	will trump post charlie or kirk this week on truth social	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xc5db0a…
04-17 23:05:02	will trump say jesus this week april 19	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xcce6da…
04-17 22:39:20	will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x7f39a4…
04-17 22:20:06	will trump say god 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xb2a5da…
04-17 22:16:16	will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe81423…
04-17 22:08:26	will trump say assassin or assassinate during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd234f4…
04-17 22:06:54	will trump say christian during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x11127a…
04-17 22:06:52	will trump say god 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xa56ca2…
04-17 17:40:32	will trump say venezuela during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x2fc755…
04-17 02:33:20	will trump say assassin or assassinate during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x72319e…
04-17 01:23:56	will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x1c2cc5…
04-17 01:06:56	will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x23ad92…
04-17 01:06:56	will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x1ff15b…
04-17 00:57:36	will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc811cd…
04-17 00:17:22	will trump say charlie or kirk 5 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xe8e1f4…
04-17 00:17:00	will trump say assassin or assassinate during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x72a8f1…
04-17 00:16:06	will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0xe5b8b0…
04-17 00:13:28	will trump say god 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa3695e…
04-16 21:56:28	will trump say jesus this week april 19	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x246d56…
04-16 13:51:56	will trump post charlie or kirk this week on truth social	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x3212d1…
04-15 19:42:48	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x07c98f…
04-15 19:41:42	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x3b7133…
04-15 15:55:20	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x612eff…
04-15 14:10:48	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2656fe…
04-15 10:53:20	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 65 89	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x802f29…
04-13 12:24:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,500	2¢	$45	0x830bd7…
04-13 11:22:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xff4bf7…
04-11 18:16:17	will banana be said 10 times during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xfc0356…
04-09 18:33:55	will melania say honor during statement on april 9	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$7	0xda19a2…
04-09 18:33:37	will melania say honor during statement on april 9	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x47291a…
04-09 18:32:25	will melania say be best during statement on april 9	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x24624d…
04-09 11:53:33	will melania say danger or dangerous during statement on april 9	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xdbb12c…
04-09 11:53:17	will melania say april during statement on april 9	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x35f181…
04-08 21:41:49	will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa49a6d…
04-08 21:38:31	will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x132cde…
04-08 19:59:01	will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x548f36…
04-08 19:55:27	will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	No	SELL	90	72¢	$65	0x52fecc…
04-08 19:52:27	will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xbac61e…
04-08 19:46:41	will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	No	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0xf1c6cd…
04-08 19:42:59	will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5df440…
04-08 19:36:47	will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	No	BUY	87	75¢	$66	0x6ba59a…
04-08 18:12:27	Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xb2eef8…
04-08 18:06:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	703	2¢	$11	0xc155be…
04-08 18:02:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x75c8a9…
04-08 17:57:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe581a2…
04-08 17:53:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4ff4d0…
04-08 17:52:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0c69c7…
04-08 17:46:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0x2cb8e0…
04-08 17:44:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xab8d02…
04-08 17:40:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe68a94…
04-08 17:32:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1034d4…
04-08 17:30:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x2aec07…
04-08 17:27:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x62f37f…
04-08 17:27:03	Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa1405e…
04-08 17:10:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3b19a2…
04-08 17:08:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x433ea0…
04-08 17:07:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3c6f1e…
04-08 17:06:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb5d6aa…
04-08 17:00:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	734	2¢	$12	0xf55e6c…
04-08 16:38:51	Will Leavitt say "Epic Fury" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x906872…
04-08 13:11:13	Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd262c4…
04-06 21:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xcdaa9d…
04-06 21:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xc2d201…
04-06 21:48:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x7e9694…
04-06 21:48:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4c477c…
04-06 21:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe0a307…
04-06 19:16:39	will trump say left behind during monday news conference	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x84407a…
04-06 17:12:11	will trump say left behind during monday news conference	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xaf1579…
04-06 17:12:07	will trump say left behind during monday news conference	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x5e10b1…
04-06 15:04:09	will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x6107bd…
04-06 14:21:07	will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x9a9643…
04-03 18:02:11	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x394b4b…