Wide-Eyed-Marsh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$522

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 09-01 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

71% 97% +$516

Sports

18% 100% +$6

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$1.1K	580	580	+0	No	-$3	04-28 22:29
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	12	$544	1,100	0	+1,100	Knicks	+$6	05-25 10:05
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$480	1,000	0	+1,000	Belgium	+$520	07-06 03:42
bitcoin above 72k on february 28	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	02-28 03:38
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	1	$109	110	0	+110	No	+$0	02-28 03:37
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$106	107	0	+107	No	+$0	02-28 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 81°F or below on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 104-105°F on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or below on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 75°F or below on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 9?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 23?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 08:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd08de9…
09-01 08:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0bee2…
09-01 08:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C or below on September 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x938659…
07-16 02:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbfb9e8…
07-16 02:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 104-105°F on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2613f8…
07-13 03:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0e88a…
07-13 03:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa3d9dc…
07-06 03:42:01	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0x185dbe…
06-25 07:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad610b…
06-25 07:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x68565d…
06-25 07:31:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 42°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd3dbe…
06-25 07:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x685590…
06-25 07:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 75°F or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9f50b7…
06-25 07:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fe670…
06-25 07:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x8b9d93…
06-25 07:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd74c54…
06-24 03:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdacaef…
06-24 03:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a483c…
06-24 02:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde20fa…
06-24 02:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x009f78…
06-24 02:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x69f4f1…
06-24 02:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb69630…
06-24 02:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x4b514e…
06-24 02:50:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x52ccd7…
06-22 03:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89571d…
06-22 03:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd35ce…
06-22 03:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x51bd2b…
06-22 03:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x785f00…
06-22 03:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf5e2e…
06-22 03:24:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 41°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x695aff…
06-22 03:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81064e…
06-22 03:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x08bfe5…
06-16 06:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8dd2d…
06-16 06:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 81°F or below on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61f3e2…
06-16 06:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a8b52…
06-16 06:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x573c90…
06-16 06:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe21375…
06-16 06:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a8058…
06-16 06:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x027404…
06-16 06:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xccf6e0…
06-09 04:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe73ee9…
06-09 03:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xae9b84…
06-09 03:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfa8f16…
06-09 03:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x168b3d…
05-29 08:45:29	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdda860…
05-29 08:40:53	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbb9adb…
05-29 08:39:25	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x52c391…
05-29 08:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x329021…
05-29 08:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc35a76…
05-29 08:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x574879…
05-29 08:32:11	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x2ca1e9…
05-27 07:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xab82d8…
05-27 07:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x839617…
05-27 07:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf212f5…
05-27 07:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa54fe2…
05-27 07:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5babab…
05-27 07:05:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe54609…
05-25 10:05:28	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbfb92a…
05-25 10:05:07	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x272e9d…
05-25 10:04:39	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x0ea3e3…
05-25 10:03:54	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x95328b…
05-25 10:03:20	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x78ad73…
05-25 10:02:52	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x8df8db…
05-25 10:02:16	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x488253…
05-25 10:01:23	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xc91a7a…
05-25 10:01:14	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x6f4afc…
05-25 10:01:11	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	65	43¢	$28	0x8d25a9…
05-25 10:00:57	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	296	43¢	$127	0x319822…
05-25 06:04:14	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	550	56¢	$308	0xfdb021…
05-20 08:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c5b0e…
05-20 08:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbee920…
05-20 08:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1d8cc7…
05-14 03:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b73b6…
05-14 03:04:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xaaaa5e…
05-14 03:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa88561…
05-14 03:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f789b…
05-08 09:01:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 49°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4a846…
05-08 09:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 15°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa468fb…
05-08 08:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 63°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x862ba0…
05-08 08:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa12ccc…
04-28 22:29:32	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	580	98¢	$568	0x4f1fba…
04-28 22:21:22	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	580	98¢	$571	0x788fed…
04-27 10:08:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	491	1¢	$3	0x72d9fc…
04-27 06:28:12	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf0dbb3…
04-27 06:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x541655…
04-27 06:25:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x52ea34…
04-27 06:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x835b88…
04-24 23:27:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	491	1¢	$5	0xee83e8…
02-28 03:38:51	bitcoin above 72k on february 28	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x97b2c9…
02-28 03:37:51	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xfa1bf6…
02-28 03:36:23	will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x062725…