Actual-Seabass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

-$78

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

317

Trades

1,002

lifetime

Volume

$40.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$641

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

75% 37% -$1,611

Tech

14% 43% +$978

Crypto

8% 43% -$416

Sports

4% 80% -$320

Politics

0% 50% -$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		-500	-$375	90¢	$-448	-$73	07-07 19:34
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No		-214	-$188	90¢	$-193	-$5	05-09 08:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	27	$915	1,008	1,008	+0	No	+$26	04-01 13:54
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?	20	$914	1,049	912	+137	Yes	-$42	09-04 09:56
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	12	$904	809	809	+0	open	—	10-26 15:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	23	$853	1,398	721	+677	No	-$352	06-01 16:01
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	10	$798	1,162	343	+819	Yes	-$634	07-07 19:25
will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	28	$759	580	580	+0	No	+$381	02-17 15:01
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	22	$730	1,145	286	+859	Yes	+$627	07-24 16:28
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Cheuk Ying Shek	3	$693	470	470	+0	Harriet Dart	+$246	10-24 12:54
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	2	$605	452	452	+0	Alex de Minaur	+$298	10-26 16:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	17	$570	629	260	+369	No	+$289	08-26 17:25
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	10	$544	623	231	+392	Yes	+$196	06-30 17:02
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	31	$543	1,120	1,116	+4	No	+$284	03-06 11:37
grok 4pt4 released by july 17	6	$539	382	382	+0	Yes	+$148	07-06 07:58
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	2	$527	0	543	-543	Yes	-$15	05-23 06:34
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	12	$514	695	475	+220	Yes	+$29	07-17 19:31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	4	$485	381	381	+0	open	—	10-22 14:51
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	5	$453	0	490	-490	Yes	-$37	05-29 08:02
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$418	195	380	-185	No	+$43	03-30 16:45
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	9	$396	816	0	+816	No	-$396	07-08 17:23
grok 4pt20 released by february 28 844	6	$380	280	280	+0	Yes	+$141	02-15 20:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	1	$375	0	500	-500	open	—	07-07 19:34
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	6	$362	325	325	+0	open	—	10-23 09:57
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$345	234	326	-92	No	+$84	02-05 11:20
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$331	290	290	+0	No	+$75	03-31 22:59
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	14	$303	380	226	+154	No	+$165	03-09 21:27
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	26	$301	808	0	+808	No	-$301	08-31 13:55
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	9	$298	576	288	+288	No	-$249	07-07 13:53
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$297	300	282	+18	No	+$165	03-30 20:36
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	5	$276	328	114	+214	Yes	-$39	09-01 17:45
cs2 vit fal2 2026 01 24	2	$264	200	200	+0	Team Falcons	+$136	01-24 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:01:55	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x6b9f68…
10-29 20:20:16	Sioux Falls: Sebastian Dominko vs Valentin Royer	Valentin Royer	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xa7b482…
10-29 17:15:02	Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu	Ayla Aksu	SELL	161	90¢	$145	0xe7ef25…
10-29 16:37:47	Courmayeur: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu	Ayla Aksu	BUY	161	25¢	$40	0x65d223…
10-29 15:18:11	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	191	42¢	$80	0xe1ea5e…
10-29 14:23:07	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0xceace1…
10-29 14:19:29	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xf07df3…
10-29 13:58:01	Courmayeur: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Erika Andreeva	Erika Andreeva	BUY	346	26¢	$90	0x2ea6cf…
10-29 12:10:59	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x5b6e1e…
10-29 10:51:20	Ningbo: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	245	31¢	$76	0xec6c73…
10-29 08:03:25	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Maria Timofeeva	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x883d19…
10-29 06:29:40	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Seong-Chan Hong	BUY	181	48¢	$87	0xd648fb…
10-29 06:28:25	Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Mia Pohankova	Naomi Osaka	BUY	286	43¢	$123	0x9f645d…
10-29 06:27:11	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	SELL	190	41¢	$78	0x6a3e73…
10-29 06:26:41	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Xinran Sun	BUY	190	42¢	$80	0xd47ac4…
10-28 17:43:20	Courmayeur: Elizara Yaneva vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x7d2b7e…
10-28 17:37:31	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Jakub Mensik	BUY	220	44¢	$97	0x454da1…
10-28 14:01:52	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	218	39¢	$85	0x3e56d1…
10-28 10:59:13	Brest: Inaki Montes vs Toby Samuel	Inaki Montes	BUY	130	20¢	$26	0x82c961…
10-28 10:38:05	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson	Alexandra Eala	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x0d4795…
10-27 20:56:32	Queretaro: Carole Monnet vs Leolia Jeanjean	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xfd9177…
10-27 18:02:51	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Ben Shelton	BUY	170	46¢	$78	0xd31bf1…
10-27 18:02:36	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Ben Shelton	BUY	39	47¢	$18	0x506fa0…
10-27 12:56:44	Brest: Tom Paris vs Borna Gojo	Borna Gojo	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc0e2c1…
10-27 11:15:14	Ningbo: Elias Ymer vs Yi Zhou	Yi Zhou	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x9e132f…
10-26 18:42:26	Curitiba: Luiza Fullana vs Lourdes Ayala	Luiza Fullana	BUY	76	34¢	$26	0xe5c1ac…
10-26 18:23:32	Curitiba: Luiza Fullana vs Lourdes Ayala	Luiza Fullana	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x0cfa69…
10-26 17:52:21	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Lorenzo Claverie	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	108	12¢	$13	0x9a3377…
10-26 17:50:14	Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj	Patrick Zahraj	BUY	204	39¢	$80	0xe66721…
10-26 17:26:33	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Lorenzo Claverie	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x8d7e95…
10-26 16:53:48	Guayaquil: Filip Misolic vs Alex Hernandez	Filip Misolic	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x4aead0…
10-26 16:52:48	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	SELL	452	100¢	$451	0x56ddb2…
10-26 15:03:17	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	452	34¢	$154	0xb8b4a6…
10-26 15:02:38	Curitiba: Laura Samson vs Alice Tubello	Laura Samson	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x29e131…
10-26 15:01:53	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x55dad7…
10-26 15:01:45	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	34¢	$101	0xb4464a…
10-26 13:23:35	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xac514b…
10-26 13:21:51	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0xe034c4…
10-26 09:49:17	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x2a0f8f…
10-26 09:45:39	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	70	45¢	$32	0xe377cf…
10-26 09:43:54	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	179	40¢	$72	0x292df4…
10-26 07:03:47	Seoul: Marin Cilic vs Zhizhen Zhang	Marin Cilic	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x2ea45c…
10-25 21:29:38	Guayaquil: Younes Lalami Laaroussi vs Daniel Salazar Martinez	Daniel Salazar Martinez	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x948f4a…
10-25 16:35:57	Brest: Tom Paris vs Romain Faucon	Tom Paris	BUY	201	45¢	$90	0x42149a…
10-25 16:35:30	Brest: Tom Paris vs Romain Faucon	Tom Paris	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x2e3869…
10-25 15:15:44	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan	Alex Molcan	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x6d9a12…
10-25 14:37:53	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xc50f60…
10-25 13:35:21	Brest: Robin Catry vs Dimitar Kuzmanov	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x44b82d…
10-25 12:53:59	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x7461eb…
10-25 09:29:30	Seoul: Yuta Kikuchi vs Dimitris Sakellaridis	Dimitris Sakellaridis	BUY	230	35¢	$80	0x27c492…
10-25 08:46:00	Ningbo: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Dominik Palan	Egor Pleshivtsev	BUY	261	23¢	$60	0x09e58c…
10-25 07:25:57	Seoul: Christian Langmo vs Yusuke Takahashi	Yusuke Takahashi	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xb147ed…
10-24 18:02:32	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	260	29¢	$75	0x370820…
10-24 14:54:09	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Sebastian Sorger	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x1810b1…
10-24 14:53:50	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Sebastian Sorger	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0x031e24…
10-24 13:52:53	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Yihan Qu vs Teodora Kostovic	Yihan Qu	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xeca13e…
10-24 12:55:17	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Mika Brunold	Jaime Faria	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xe19f57…
10-24 12:54:42	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Harriet Dart	SELL	470	100¢	$470	0x530950…
10-24 11:46:11	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Harriet Dart	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0xa5a94b…
10-24 11:45:02	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Harriet Dart	BUY	320	46¢	$147	0x11e90c…
10-24 11:07:47	Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Alexander Ritschard	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0xe812a2…
10-24 10:15:02	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x32adf7…
10-24 10:14:42	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	172	28¢	$48	0xaa897b…
10-24 07:51:03	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Viktorija Golubic	Maya Joint	BUY	378	38¢	$144	0x5d6ae6…
10-24 07:10:18	Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xdd8da7…
10-24 07:02:05	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mai Hontama	Oleksandra Oliynykova	BUY	330	16¢	$53	0x00ed5f…
10-23 15:17:53	Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov	Alexander Bublik	BUY	253	29¢	$73	0x4be92f…
10-23 15:15:48	Lisbon: Elmer Moeller vs Henrique Rocha	Henrique Rocha	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xde1515…
10-23 15:08:57	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x8e2a35…
10-23 10:33:53	Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider	Iva Jovic	BUY	499	19¢	$95	0xd47a71…
10-23 09:59:56	Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig	Matej Dodig	BUY	320	30¢	$96	0xe8a25a…
10-23 09:57:41	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	247	80¢	$198	0x085e55…
10-22 16:24:29	Cali: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Gonzalo Bueno	Gonzalo Bueno	BUY	239	46¢	$110	0x9a6d3e…
10-22 16:20:41	Cali: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	400	19¢	$76	0xf38d93…
10-22 16:20:20	Cali: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0xf790e1…
10-22 14:52:15	Florence: Henry Searle vs Matthew William Donald	Henry Searle	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0x819c02…
10-22 14:51:36	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	381	95¢	$364	0x3123c0…
10-22 11:37:24	Florence: Andrej Nedic vs Alex Marti Pujolras	Andrej Nedic	BUY	429	22¢	$94	0x3b9961…
10-22 11:12:54	Guangzhou 2: Jie Cui vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	BUY	300	45¢	$135	0xaaf571…
10-22 10:13:45	Lisbon: Alexander Ritschard vs Raul Brancaccio	Raul Brancaccio	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x54f769…
10-22 08:21:18	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci	Terence Atmane	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x1d1a72…
10-22 08:18:47	Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xd2c717…
10-22 08:14:21	Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x6af0ac…
10-22 08:10:17	Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x13d30a…
10-21 19:04:09	Fort Worth: Mees Rottgering vs Cosme de Ravel	Cosme de Ravel	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x1c34ed…
10-21 17:15:47	European Open: David Goffin vs Remy Bertola	David Goffin	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0x4d040f…
10-21 17:13:38	Fort Worth: Patrick Maloney vs Kenta Miyoshi	Kenta Miyoshi	BUY	240	37¢	$89	0x31d477…
10-21 04:29:05	Cali: Federico Coria vs Nicolas Mejia	Federico Coria	BUY	210	20¢	$42	0xfc5b36…
10-21 04:28:47	Cali: Federico Coria vs Nicolas Mejia	Federico Coria	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x62d08f…
10-20 19:03:54	European Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael Collignon	Raphael Collignon	BUY	270	45¢	$122	0xf2717b…
10-20 18:18:36	Cali: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Hugo Dellien	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x7cc18b…
10-20 17:55:02	Cali: Nick Hardt vs Francisco Comesana	Nick Hardt	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xcc7e71…
10-20 17:53:12	Cali: Nick Hardt vs Francisco Comesana	Nick Hardt	BUY	220	33¢	$73	0x0d3b4b…
10-20 17:05:44	Fort Worth: Kaylan Bigun vs Trevor Svajda	Trevor Svajda	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x8632f6…
10-20 15:35:47	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Titouan Droguet	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xdd0a2f…
10-20 13:29:24	Lisbon: Benjamin Hassan vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x78932d…
10-20 12:53:20	European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xcf0fcf…
10-20 11:04:23	Florence: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Jay Clarke	Jay Clarke	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xcb625f…
10-20 09:31:03	Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Dominik Palan	Liam Broady	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6515d7…
10-20 08:04:13	Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xf4edee…