Actual-Seabass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.8%

Resolved

Trades

597

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-25

Tech

21% — —

Crypto

12% 50% $-72

Sports

6% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	27	$915	1,008	1,008	+0	open	—	04-01 13:54
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	10	$798	1,162	343	+819	open	—	07-07 19:25
will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	28	$759	580	580	+0	open	—	02-17 15:01
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	22	$730	1,145	286	+859	open	—	07-24 16:28
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	10	$544	623	231	+392	open	—	06-30 17:02
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	31	$543	1,120	1,116	+4	open	—	03-06 11:37
grok 4pt4 released by july 17	6	$539	382	382	+0	open	—	07-06 07:58
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	12	$514	695	475	+220	open	—	07-17 19:31
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$418	195	380	-185	open	—	03-30 16:45
grok 4pt20 released by february 28 844	6	$380	280	280	+0	open	—	02-15 20:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$347	443	397	+46	open	—	06-01 16:01
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	9	$345	234	326	-92	open	—	02-05 11:20
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$331	290	290	+0	open	—	03-31 22:59
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	12	$325	629	0	+629	open	—	08-09 07:28
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	14	$303	380	226	+154	open	—	03-09 21:27
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$297	300	282	+18	open	—	03-30 20:36
cs2 vit fal2 2026 01 24	2	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	01-24 17:49
will mathieu zywoo herbaut win the hltv player of the year award	7	$260	0	277	-277	open	—	01-02 16:07
over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	5	$260	240	240	+0	open	—	07-23 13:34
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	6	$260	534	0	+534	open	—	06-30 17:03
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	6	$251	433	433	+0	open	—	07-07 13:54
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	9	$245	177	177	+0	open	—	03-21 11:23
Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$242	800	0	+800	open	—	04-25 09:15
dota2 xtreme flc 2026 02 27	2	$240	170	170	+0	open	—	02-27 19:59
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	1	$228	400	0	+400	open	—	07-08 17:31
will mlb opening night yankees vs giants be the top us netflix show this week	8	$224	400	379	+21	open	—	03-31 19:54
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$212	100	345	-245	open	—	03-28 14:56
will norway win the most medal points in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$203	200	100	+100	open	—	02-16 17:59
dota2 bb4 ty 2026 03 24 game1	2	$201	130	130	+0	open	—	03-24 15:26
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	3	$185	317	0	+317	open	—	07-08 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:59:33	cs2 nip lgc 2026 08 12	NIP	BUY	108	42¢	$46	0xc8bc14…
08-12 11:48:22	cs2 mgc mglz 2026 08 12	TheMongolz	BUY	120	56¢	$67	0x39ad20…
08-12 11:24:49	cs2 big5 aur1 2026 08 12	BIG	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xaa8412…
08-12 09:10:07	cs2 big5 aur1 2026 08 12	BIG	BUY	116	30¢	$35	0xff2261…
08-09 07:28:22	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xededb4…
08-08 18:56:37	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x08399d…
08-08 18:24:46	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xa733a1…
08-08 18:07:04	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xa2a61f…
08-08 14:37:57	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xf4b3f2…
08-08 14:20:04	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x66b76f…
08-08 14:00:10	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x51514d…
08-08 13:58:16	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x416799…
08-08 13:55:58	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0x748cce…
08-08 13:55:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xf4cdfe…
08-08 13:01:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xc2409e…
08-07 14:42:37	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	191	68¢	$130	0x63339a…
08-07 14:32:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	150	56¢	$83	0xd5aec1…
08-07 14:32:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	164	56¢	$91	0x0ee41c…
08-07 13:58:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xdc06b8…
08-07 13:52:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb005f9…
08-07 13:52:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa7f796…
08-07 13:51:42	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x9a949f…
08-07 13:48:04	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfdd4a3…
08-07 13:48:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x76a6f0…
08-07 13:47:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0xdd62ce…
08-06 19:31:05	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x311c5c…
08-05 18:54:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x7f3ff3…
07-24 16:28:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	286	87¢	$249	0x498236…
07-24 12:00:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0x7401c1…
07-24 09:54:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	110	28¢	$31	0x1d4946…
07-24 09:49:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa4f55f…
07-24 09:48:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xe11b39…
07-24 09:46:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x92ca90…
07-23 19:52:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xcda6a8…
07-23 19:43:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	140	39¢	$55	0x9beaa3…
07-23 13:34:16	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	SELL	74	56¢	$41	0x8c2c3f…
07-23 13:13:01	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	SELL	161	56¢	$90	0x83f79e…
07-23 12:38:49	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x56e665…
07-22 08:31:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	69	37¢	$26	0x31c0d4…
07-22 08:20:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x5423ef…
07-22 08:06:49	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x212159…
07-22 07:46:33	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xb6cff5…
07-22 07:46:21	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x507fbd…
07-21 18:17:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xed85c9…
07-21 18:17:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x10491c…
07-21 18:16:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xbb199f…
07-21 18:16:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0xb323dc…
07-20 08:05:31	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x212b21…
07-19 13:11:49	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0xbd722a…
07-19 13:08:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0xe908b5…
07-19 12:37:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x358f6b…
07-19 12:17:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	77	61¢	$47	0xbca5fa…
07-19 12:01:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0xbd924a…
07-19 11:56:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x639ad1…
07-19 11:28:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xf82c46…
07-19 09:06:43	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	189	40¢	$76	0xab482d…
07-19 08:59:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa89ef7…
07-19 07:01:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0488bd…
07-17 19:31:48	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	174	65¢	$113	0xf5a9bb…
07-17 19:28:57	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x084db0…
07-17 19:28:51	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4ce2c4…
07-17 19:28:39	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$11	0x28ef81…
07-17 18:07:57	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	SELL	475	34¢	$162	0xf3cae9…
07-16 14:52:46	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0xaea88b…
07-16 13:54:11	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa0314f…
07-16 13:03:41	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0x9e33d8…
07-16 13:02:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x1db092…
07-16 08:36:29	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	322	47¢	$151	0xc7a08a…
07-16 08:35:16	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x48156c…
07-15 19:31:19	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	300	49¢	$147	0xda24a5…
07-15 16:57:59	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	53	39¢	$21	0xd0b528…
07-08 18:23:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x67f1b6…
07-08 18:23:20	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x75574d…
07-08 18:21:22	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xd64d01…
07-08 17:31:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	400	57¢	$228	0x1eb553…
07-08 16:20:20	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	63	59¢	$37	0x20042d…
07-08 16:18:47	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xa5e415…
07-07 20:43:49	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2ce5e1…
07-07 19:54:05	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xb9ab8d…
07-07 19:25:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	218	66¢	$145	0xf6d1b6…
07-07 18:33:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0x68d6e0…
07-07 18:31:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb8e958…
07-07 18:31:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0xc75410…
07-07 18:28:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	161	75¢	$121	0x37eb92…
07-07 18:27:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	315	24¢	$75	0x690b1e…
07-07 18:27:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	29	24¢	$7	0x3a395e…
07-07 18:26:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	291	24¢	$69	0x21e9b9…
07-07 18:26:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	52	24¢	$12	0x6a4594…
07-07 17:52:07	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xf7819c…
07-07 13:54:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	217	6¢	$13	0x3ccc0a…
07-07 13:53:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x974a3b…
07-06 15:53:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	217	16¢	$35	0xe2839a…
07-06 07:58:35	grok 4pt4 released by july 17	Yes	SELL	382	90¢	$343	0x1c4d71…
07-06 02:03:46	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883	Yes	BUY	67	71¢	$47	0xc9d02f…
07-05 23:38:22	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x766ff6…
07-05 00:29:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	300	39¢	$117	0x5263ef…
07-04 23:53:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xdcb006…
07-04 16:14:34	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xec4d1b…
07-04 16:14:23	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x710957…
07-04 16:14:14	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x820d8c…