Nervous-Croup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$286

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

1,979

Trades

14,753

lifetime

Volume

$45.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-28 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 57% +$6

Other

2% 50% -$292

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 1370 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 5am et	14	$549	732	0	+732	Down	+$174	06-17 09:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 08:00 UTC	178	$504	890	0	+890	Down	+$386	08-29 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	178	$406	890	0	+890	Up	-$406	09-08 23:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:55 UTC	109	$355	545	0	+545	Down	-$355	07-23 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	190	$336	950	0	+950	Up	+$614	09-08 23:57
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$308	0	500	-500	Yes	-$192	01-04 09:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 11:45 UTC	180	$240	900	0	+900	Down	-$240	08-29 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:20 UTC	2	$204	106	106	+0	Up	+$4	08-21 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:55 UTC	2	$181	109	109	+0	Down	-$19	08-21 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 12:25 UTC	65	$172	325	0	+325	Down	+$153	07-30 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:40 UTC	49	$167	245	0	+245	Up	+$78	09-19 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-08 09:15 UTC	40	$165	200	0	+200	Down	+$35	09-08 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	49	$154	245	0	+245	Down	+$91	09-13 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	35	$152	175	0	+175	Up	+$23	09-12 02:10
bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 7pm et	31	$148	310	0	+310	Up	-$148	06-13 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 11:10 UTC	58	$143	290	0	+290	Up	+$147	07-24 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	33	$141	165	0	+165	Down	+$24	09-06 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 09:45 UTC	14	$138	660	0	+660	Down	-$138	06-17 09:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 23:15 UTC	62	$138	310	0	+310	Up	-$138	07-07 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	36	$128	180	0	+180	Up	-$128	09-21 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	31	$126	155	0	+155	Up	+$29	09-21 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	29	$124	145	0	+145	Up	+$21	09-09 11:25
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$124	0	200	-200	Gold	-$76	01-04 09:56
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	33	$123	165	0	+165	Up	+$42	09-12 07:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 23:45 UTC	53	$122	265	0	+265	Up	+$143	08-02 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 23:25 UTC	62	$121	310	0	+310	Up	+$189	07-07 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	39	$120	195	0	+195	Up	-$120	09-18 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	49	$117	245	0	+245	Down	-$117	09-13 03:10
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	31	$115	155	0	+155	Down	+$40	09-10 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	29	$115	145	0	+145	Up	+$30	09-11 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:27:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3e41f7…
10-28 02:27:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x983eb9…
10-27 23:58:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6adb57…
10-27 23:58:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x405515…
10-27 07:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa2d0f8…
10-27 07:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x496e47…
10-26 11:14:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x60a673…
10-26 11:14:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2f32c9…
10-26 11:14:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x11a30d…
10-25 21:13:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd877db…
10-25 18:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf4fcfa…
10-25 18:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x90f6c5…
10-25 18:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x30816a…
10-25 18:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1cba89…
10-25 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x958e97…
10-25 17:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x615743…
10-25 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe16f3c…
10-25 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbe5357…
10-25 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xab9c77…
10-25 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x476fe7…
10-25 06:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc81d3d…
10-25 06:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb738d8…
10-25 06:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x556033…
10-25 06:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0b3360…
10-25 04:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5d487f…
10-25 04:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa6cf6d…
10-25 04:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x903db4…
10-25 04:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5a22e1…
10-25 03:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc56adf…
10-25 03:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa13243…
10-25 03:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x99233c…
10-25 03:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2eb59d…
10-23 00:42:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcfcbd6…
10-23 00:42:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9f0dc4…
10-23 00:42:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6f2538…
10-23 00:42:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6e7ebc…
10-23 00:42:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3e2b6b…
10-23 00:42:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x09e674…
10-22 13:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x392aa0…
10-22 13:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd41abc…
10-22 13:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbb8959…
10-22 13:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xac1bf9…
10-22 13:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8a4ef3…
10-22 13:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7292a9…
10-20 15:25:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4b19c8…
10-20 15:25:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1784f3…
10-20 15:25:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0cb7ad…
10-20 15:25:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xabc1e1…
10-20 14:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc9538b…
10-20 14:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfd0496…
10-20 14:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x66ef59…
10-20 14:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x520232…
10-20 14:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x36a609…
10-20 14:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1b36c2…
10-20 09:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf5c68c…
10-20 09:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9c2e87…
10-20 09:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6c0a9f…
10-20 09:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3d57eb…
10-20 03:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xdb4446…
10-20 03:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x997a1a…
10-20 03:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0660c7…
10-20 03:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf8aa5e…
10-20 03:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbccf60…
10-20 03:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2f85e8…
10-19 11:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xfc469e…
10-19 11:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xda1a9b…
10-19 11:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd9f0d2…
10-19 11:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb036b0…
10-19 11:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8d9b94…
10-19 11:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x48e63b…
10-19 11:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x43cb0f…
10-19 11:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x167fd7…
10-18 02:41:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xca099b…
10-18 02:41:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2cf7f8…
10-17 19:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xed01d4…
10-17 19:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xca8e12…
10-16 16:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xef0525…
10-16 16:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x813ffd…
10-16 16:10:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x78dd2b…
10-16 16:10:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x68bae1…
10-16 16:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3174fc…
10-16 16:10:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc07c6c…
10-15 14:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf8e982…
10-15 14:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe096b8…
10-15 14:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb166e4…
10-15 14:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x68e7f8…
10-15 14:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x307ed9…
10-15 14:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0ca962…
10-15 02:56:19	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x64a67c…
10-15 02:55:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xec20ea…
10-15 02:55:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc361be…
10-15 02:55:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9a6be8…
10-15 02:55:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x10e82c…
10-15 02:55:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe76e53…
10-14 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xef12f9…
10-14 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x918cea…
10-14 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x37f6ae…
10-14 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x194e45…
10-14 13:11:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9bc453…
10-14 13:11:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x99c12e…