Fat-Supper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

287

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 13:42
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-25 12:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 08:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:32
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:13
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:39
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:00
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:51
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe86f0e…
10-27 07:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7b9ac…
10-26 05:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x841fbe…
10-24 06:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cb928…
10-23 07:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5dcc1…
10-21 08:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4cd06…
10-19 06:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x262e67…
10-18 07:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd6808…
10-17 07:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb798f3…
10-16 05:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ca975…
10-15 06:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x207a4e…
10-14 07:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77975d…
10-13 05:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x807b2a…
10-12 04:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x679d5b…
10-11 03:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ed9af…
10-08 05:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc04b44…
10-07 08:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63d3c3…
10-06 07:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01d06b…
10-04 08:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3527c2…
10-03 04:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca9775…
10-02 07:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb5105…
10-02 03:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c0c4c…
10-01 07:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb698d…
09-30 09:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96b8da…
09-29 08:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x546e87…
09-28 08:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c5d79…
09-27 02:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b65c9…
09-25 07:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8628a1…
09-24 06:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfac0db…
09-23 05:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9863ea…
09-22 06:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x953ac1…
09-21 08:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f59cd…
09-20 03:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x921db1…
09-19 06:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x521f10…
09-18 01:11:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x011148…
09-17 03:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadb2a1…
09-16 08:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e054f…
09-15 23:35:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c7ca4…
09-15 02:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x974511…
09-14 02:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc2870…
09-13 12:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70faea…
09-12 08:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x860ee1…
09-11 06:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f3c08…
09-10 01:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe78c30…
09-09 09:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64f814…
09-08 15:43:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacb4a8…
09-08 01:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95881e…
09-07 01:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x165322…
09-06 01:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75d189…
09-05 09:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x171459…
09-04 08:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ef602…
09-03 01:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98ece0…
09-01 01:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5db385…
08-30 01:01:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0f49a…
08-29 05:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c6e75…
08-28 01:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1359b…
08-27 01:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x226cd9…
08-26 02:03:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd240c0…
08-25 08:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbcd449…
08-24 07:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9dd7bc…
08-23 07:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfaa44c…
08-22 06:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23ee66…
08-21 01:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x702b00…
08-20 05:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc28aa…
08-19 07:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85e273…
08-18 01:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d081f…
08-17 06:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b7c4b…
08-16 10:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f6910…
08-15 02:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe59245…
08-14 06:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x251f44…
08-13 00:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca7aff…
08-12 06:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6677a6…
08-11 00:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dd829…
08-10 00:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c2cd4…
08-09 07:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65a130…
08-09 00:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3afb0b…
08-08 07:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe99e08…
08-07 00:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe77182…
08-06 00:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5aaf12…
08-05 00:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae5c7b…
08-04 03:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14e9b9…
08-03 00:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2b13a…
08-02 00:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f383a…
08-01 00:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x164bb2…
07-31 07:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6559ac…
07-30 00:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0d66f…
07-29 01:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x049a6b…
07-28 00:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf81226…
07-27 07:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fcab0…
07-26 01:10:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x66c72d…
07-25 00:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb468a0…
07-24 01:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61b9f1…
07-23 01:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc67c49…
07-22 01:34:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x755020…
07-20 23:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x978f32…
07-19 22:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5262a6…
07-18 22:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb5a3a…
07-17 23:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d1618…
07-17 01:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacffe8…
07-16 08:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc60afb…