Dependent-Investigation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$386

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

5,931

Trades

12,337

lifetime

Volume

$45.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-06 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 54% -$253

Other

3% 43% -$87

Sports

1% 36% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 14:45 UTC	56	$712	1,305	0	+1,305	Down	-$184	02-23 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:25 UTC	55	$459	820	0	+820	Down	-$21	02-22 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 18:45 UTC	108	$333	270	270	+0	Up	+$202	06-27 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 21:05 UTC	20	$230	191	197	-6	Up	+$1	02-20 21:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:20 UTC	71	$212	410	0	+410	Down	-$7	02-19 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:00 UTC	60	$208	420	0	+420	Up	+$3	02-19 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:35 UTC	24	$199	373	0	+373	Down	-$23	02-22 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 21:30 UTC	49	$181	337	0	+337	Down	-$11	02-20 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:20 UTC	64	$171	315	0	+315	Up	-$1	02-18 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 19:55 UTC	51	$171	324	0	+324	Up	-$9	02-19 19:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:55 UTC	56	$161	280	0	+280	Up	-$161	07-02 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 18:55 UTC	54	$143	270	0	+270	Up	-$143	06-27 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:40 UTC	21	$127	260	0	+260	Up	+$9	02-22 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:45 UTC	30	$126	256	0	+256	Down	+$2	02-22 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 21:50 UTC	26	$121	240	0	+240	Up	-$1	02-20 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:25 UTC	19	$115	232	0	+232	Down	+$1	02-22 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:15 UTC	23	$113	223	0	+223	Down	-$1	02-22 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:10 UTC	43	$111	210	0	+210	Down	-$1	02-18 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:10 UTC	19	$93	199	0	+199	Up	+$2	02-22 13:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	56	$90	280	0	+280	Down	-$90	07-02 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:05 UTC	27	$82	188	0	+188	Down	+$9	03-25 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:05 UTC	14	$80	143	11	+132	Up	-$3	02-22 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 11:40 UTC	47	$77	195	20	+175	Down	+$34	02-26 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:00 UTC	24	$69	154	0	+154	Up	+$22	03-25 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 21:35 UTC	11	$68	61	61	+0	Up	+$41	03-23 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:40 UTC	21	$67	147	0	+147	Up	+$3	03-25 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 19:45 UTC	22	$66	147	0	+147	Down	-$18	03-25 19:49
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$65	40	40	+0	Down	+$15	09-09 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:50 UTC	20	$63	126	0	+126	Down	$0	03-25 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:40 UTC	24	$63	140	0	+140	Down	-$7	03-24 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 20:04:33	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xab11cb…
10-06 19:49:45	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7072ae…
10-06 19:49:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5081b9…
10-06 19:34:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc2f3c3…
10-06 19:24:54	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x1ff2f5…
10-06 19:09:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x72d4b1…
10-06 18:59:36	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf80106…
10-06 18:49:51	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0f65c0…
10-06 18:39:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5b20b0…
10-06 18:39:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x78bc98…
10-06 18:34:44	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x791d9a…
10-06 18:34:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc61819…
10-06 17:59:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe7e077…
10-06 17:59:29	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdc46b8…
10-06 17:49:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe799f7…
10-06 17:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdb47cd…
10-06 17:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9d96bb…
10-06 17:19:48	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc125e7…
10-06 17:09:42	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xaf4555…
10-06 17:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xebbaad…
10-06 17:04:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x98dbbf…
10-06 17:04:26	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x91959c…
10-06 16:54:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb421b3…
10-06 16:34:24	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8e5ba7…
10-06 16:29:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xe7d8c5…
10-06 16:29:35	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x39dc6b…
10-06 16:19:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc02bf6…
10-06 16:04:33	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcfdd70…
10-06 16:04:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc0e65e…
10-06 16:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8968c5…
10-06 15:59:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb4ca70…
10-06 15:59:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x19889f…
10-06 15:54:36	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe5fded…
10-06 15:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x30d54d…
10-06 14:59:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb87e88…
10-06 13:59:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x675406…
10-06 13:49:45	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xec2869…
10-06 13:49:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x338ea4…
10-06 13:39:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x679b02…
10-06 13:34:37	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe246a0…
10-06 13:34:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7705bf…
10-06 13:24:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x50e09e…
10-06 13:09:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x02eaff…
10-06 13:04:48	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4001a8…
10-06 13:04:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7fc4a1…
10-06 12:54:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x755a95…
10-06 12:49:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb5458f…
10-06 12:49:46	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7a696b…
10-06 12:49:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa71c88…
10-06 12:29:40	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbf4d48…
10-06 12:29:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x987eb2…
10-06 12:24:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3b7217…
10-06 12:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x55415f…
10-06 12:14:10	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2048c5…
10-06 11:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x9931b4…
10-06 11:44:51	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcfb17e…
10-06 11:44:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa5c792…
10-06 11:39:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe5bb71…
10-06 11:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x444dbd…
10-06 11:19:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x943668…
10-06 11:09:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x17f3f4…
10-06 11:09:34	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1ed5dd…
10-06 10:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x377597…
10-06 10:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc73ecd…
10-06 10:24:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xba5ada…
10-06 09:29:25	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2eae67…
10-06 09:14:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x797eea…
10-06 09:04:39	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcd9b26…
10-06 08:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6078e7…
10-06 08:39:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3533d2…
10-06 08:34:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x44020e…
10-06 08:34:36	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3e6c6e…
10-06 08:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x31b74c…
10-06 08:19:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9119a2…
10-06 08:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x28bfe4…
10-06 08:09:48	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xf8f21e…
10-06 08:09:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x336193…
10-06 08:09:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3f2535…
10-06 07:54:55	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa14318…
10-06 07:54:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7960be…
10-06 07:49:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbe7235…
10-06 07:44:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbf63e6…
10-06 07:44:43	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf0c701…
10-06 07:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb9f588…
10-06 07:39:36	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9f7260…
10-06 07:34:28	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x058615…
10-06 07:34:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1d182e…
10-06 07:04:21	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x7b95aa…
10-06 06:59:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdbc913…
10-06 06:49:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x92d506…
10-06 06:44:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd4ffd1…
10-06 06:39:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc6ae64…
10-06 06:34:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbab80c…
10-06 06:34:33	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc91c75…
10-06 06:29:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x022228…
10-06 06:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5aaf06…
10-06 06:14:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2760dc…
10-06 06:14:37	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x18a0fc…
10-06 06:14:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa014c8…
10-06 06:04:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe6f044…