Decisive-Conga — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$118

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

517

Trades

860

lifetime

Volume

$180.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$210

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-27 04:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

54% 47% -$5,817

Sports

46% 47% -$4,836

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No		+155	$132	9¢	$14	-$118	09-29 03:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	2	$3.2K	2,143	2,143	+0	Arizona	+$1,091	10-10 19:28
Spread: Illinois (-16.5)	2	$3.1K	2,038	2,038	+0	Michigan State	+$976	10-10 23:21
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	7	$3.0K	2,855	2,855	+0	No	+$65	01-23 08:55
Spread: Rams (-3.5)	2	$2.5K	4,102	1,230	+2,872	Bills	-$1,391	10-12 21:13
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	7	$2.1K	2,180	640	+1,540	No	+$394	10-18 07:20
Spread: Rams (-3.5)	2	$1.9K	2,163	883	+1,280	Rams	+$1,102	10-04 21:57
Virginia vs. Florida State	2	$1.8K	2,078	740	+1,338	Florida State	+$1,018	10-03 22:55
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	12	$1.7K	1,234	617	+617	No	+$31	09-29 03:40
Wyoming vs. Central Michigan	1	$1.4K	2,743	0	+2,743	Central Michigan	-$1,426	09-19 16:40
Will Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	2	$1.4K	800	800	+0	No	+$199	09-19 16:40
lol ig1 nip 2026 03 01	3	$1.4K	1,673	962	+712	Invictus Gaming	-$380	03-01 08:23
mlb stl nym 2026 06 09	2	$1.2K	869	869	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$503	06-10 01:38
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	1	$1.2K	2,308	0	+2,308	Adrian Mannarino	-$1,200	10-09 05:28
Spread: Lions (-3.5)	2	$1.2K	2,264	0	+2,264	Panthers	-$1,200	10-04 23:55
cbb fordm stjoe 2026 02 10 spread home 3pt5	9	$1.2K	788	788	+0	Fordham Rams	+$401	02-11 02:16
Sharks vs. Blues	4	$1.2K	2,482	0	+2,482	Sharks	+$1,310	10-09 02:09
Senators vs. Red Wings	2	$1.2K	2,191	0	+2,191	Red Wings	+$1,030	10-06 22:50
Western Michigan vs. Buffalo	3	$1.2K	2,445	0	+2,445	Western Michigan	+$1,284	10-03 19:07
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev	1	$1.2K	2,636	0	+2,636	Rei Sakamoto	-$1,160	10-09 04:47
Wild vs. Sabres	2	$1.2K	2,303	0	+2,303	Sabres	+$1,143	10-07 01:35
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	3	$1.2K	2,407	0	+2,407	Bears	-$1,156	09-28 23:45
sea cre mil 2026 03 01 mil	2	$1.2K	776	776	+0	Yes	+$395	03-01 16:35
Spread: Saints (-1.5)	1	$1.1K	2,212	0	+2,212	Falcons	+$1,062	10-05 23:42
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)	1	$1.1K	2,247	0	+2,247	Buccaneers	-$1,146	10-08 17:31
Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)	1	$1.1K	2,242	0	+2,242	Western Kentucky	-$1,143	10-08 22:53
Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5)	1	$1.1K	2,379	0	+2,379	South Alabama	-$1,142	10-08 23:28
Washington State vs. Utah State	2	$1.1K	2,347	0	+2,347	Utah State	+$1,120	10-10 03:00
Panthers vs. Eagles	2	$1.1K	1,306	0	+1,306	Panthers	+$183	10-18 19:29
Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5)	2	$1.1K	734	734	+0	Wyoming	+$352	09-26 22:39
Indiana vs. Nebraska	1	$1.1K	2,211	0	+2,211	Indiana	+$1,105	10-10 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:41:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	91	61¢	$55	0xf8e9a4…
10-26 23:26:00	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	55	67¢	$37	0xea10ce…
10-26 23:25:47	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf66dfa…
10-26 06:00:59	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	108	72¢	$78	0x2c4616…
10-26 03:46:14	Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	401	79¢	$317	0xa8b22a…
10-26 02:20:24	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	BUY	101	77¢	$78	0xac7839…
10-26 01:56:32	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	145	83¢	$120	0x50db34…
10-25 23:07:05	Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	324	30¢	$97	0x5cbfbf…
10-25 19:52:59	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0x642914…
10-25 19:52:20	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	349	76¢	$265	0x4264be…
10-25 00:55:21	Spread: Texas (-20.5)	Ole Miss	BUY	167	48¢	$80	0xb7dcb9…
10-24 22:47:57	Bucks vs. 76ers	Bucks	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x8b4154…
10-24 22:35:29	Louisiana vs. Southern Miss	Louisiana	BUY	249	69¢	$172	0x386e8c…
10-24 22:34:41	Louisiana vs. Southern Miss	Louisiana	BUY	249	68¢	$169	0x493907…
10-24 19:35:09	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	257	66¢	$170	0x59107b…
10-24 02:27:54	Spread: NC State (-7.5)	NC State	BUY	859	49¢	$421	0x96a998…
10-24 01:59:17	Spread: Warriors (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	692	52¢	$360	0x06b971…
10-23 22:50:39	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	151	50¢	$75	0xbb4a6a…
10-23 22:47:05	Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	424	50¢	$212	0xdfa1d6…
10-23 22:40:24	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	53	44¢	$23	0xc26fad…
10-23 22:38:21	Spread: Virginia (-2.5)	Virginia	BUY	229	50¢	$115	0x2b7bf1…
10-23 04:12:50	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Lilli Tagger	Lilli Tagger	BUY	900	40¢	$360	0x44734b…
10-23 04:12:38	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0x17a4e6…
10-23 03:59:14	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x253b41…
10-23 03:29:35	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	721	48¢	$346	0x8a840c…
10-23 02:23:48	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	723	49¢	$357	0x87e82d…
10-22 06:09:02	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	51	42¢	$21	0xd5f403…
10-22 02:45:26	Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5	Under	BUY	712	50¢	$356	0x5be63f…
10-22 01:24:26	Spread: Raptors (-27.5)	Raptors	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd230b6…
10-22 01:24:26	Spread: Raptors (-27.5)	Raptors	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x7db3a3…
10-22 01:24:26	Spread: Raptors (-27.5)	Raptors	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6f51b4…
10-22 01:24:26	Spread: Raptors (-27.5)	Raptors	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x502401…
10-22 01:24:24	Spread: Raptors (-27.5)	Raptors	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa55938…
10-22 01:18:57	Warriors vs. Lakers	Warriors	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x570ffa…
10-20 19:55:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	441	80¢	$353	0x7cfb40…
10-18 19:36:54	Ravens vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x54319c…
10-18 19:29:59	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	BUY	607	86¢	$522	0x493069…
10-18 19:29:36	Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	BUY	699	86¢	$601	0xb25469…
10-18 07:20:00	Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	299	75¢	$224	0x33d1c2…
10-18 07:10:41	Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	341	75¢	$256	0x121c7d…
10-18 03:29:05	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Oregon	BUY	194	57¢	$111	0x02632d…
10-18 03:28:42	Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x6f6af1…
10-18 00:34:11	Notre Dame vs. BYU	Notre Dame	BUY	473	79¢	$374	0x97409d…
10-18 00:33:57	Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	No	SELL	55	74¢	$41	0xca9ff3…
10-18 00:32:09	Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	No	SELL	385	74¢	$285	0x73ed81…
10-17 17:54:21	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Ohio State	BUY	239	60¢	$144	0x5a2f17…
10-17 17:24:29	Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)	Western Michigan	BUY	1,126	51¢	$574	0x5d7204…
10-17 17:23:14	Spread: Western Michigan (-7.5)	Western Michigan	BUY	961	50¢	$481	0xc56c14…
10-17 16:23:17	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Ohio State	BUY	225	60¢	$135	0xb38a74…
10-17 15:59:53	Spread: Army (-2.5)	Florida Atlantic	BUY	2,081	51¢	$1,060	0x1b0c91…
10-17 15:59:32	Spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)	Pittsburgh	BUY	2,038	52¢	$1,060	0x1dbfb2…
10-17 07:15:06	Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe74b06…
10-17 05:08:20	Sydney Kings vs. Perth Wildcats	Sydney Kings	BUY	309	74¢	$229	0x4d83c9…
10-17 02:52:20	Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	296	73¢	$216	0x8aa393…
10-17 00:28:42	Washington vs. Purdue	Washington	BUY	210	61¢	$128	0x01e40c…
10-16 23:32:15	Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina	Coastal Carolina	BUY	2,090	50¢	$1,045	0xded56d…
10-16 02:05:15	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	439	83¢	$364	0xfa78b8…
10-16 01:21:24	East Carolina vs. UAB	East Carolina	BUY	185	89¢	$165	0xd7ab8a…
10-15 07:17:04	wta fernand ostapen 2026 10 15	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	93	56¢	$52	0x596f81…
10-15 04:58:32	Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	1,534	74¢	$1,135	0x71526a…
10-14 23:08:19	cfb wkent smho 2026 10 14	Sam Houston	BUY	2,119	49¢	$1,038	0x9b6c95…
10-14 02:34:41	mlb cle tb 2026 10 13 spread home 1pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	201	82¢	$165	0xcac81a…
10-13 23:01:45	Devils vs. Red Wings	Devils	BUY	123	52¢	$64	0x711d69…
10-13 22:34:54	Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee	Delaware	BUY	2,038	52¢	$1,060	0x893f2a…
10-13 19:17:03	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	86	73¢	$63	0x90d882…
10-12 23:42:39	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	153	69¢	$106	0xc46da4…
10-12 21:13:32	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	SELL	1,230	47¢	$578	0x3cd33b…
10-12 21:07:21	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	4,102	48¢	$1,969	0x540682…
10-12 21:05:30	Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0x1ee472…
10-12 03:33:33	Ravens vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	2,304	46¢	$1,060	0x9aa1bc…
10-12 01:16:18	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	44	51¢	$23	0x544f50…
10-11 21:07:35	Broncos vs. Chargers	Broncos	BUY	170	72¢	$122	0x0b6aa4…
10-11 17:27:10	Vikings vs. Saints	Vikings	BUY	67	69¢	$46	0xa140cf…
10-11 17:22:55	Giants vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	193	75¢	$145	0x1b3015…
10-11 07:55:19	Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xddf115…
10-11 00:47:36	Georgia vs. Alabama	Georgia	BUY	66	71¢	$47	0xb4e61a…
10-11 00:39:16	LSU vs. Kentucky	LSU	BUY	134	64¢	$86	0xe5bcf4…
10-11 00:32:40	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	66	67¢	$44	0x17d4b2…
10-10 23:22:48	USC vs. Penn State	Penn State	BUY	2,120	50¢	$1,060	0x219835…
10-10 23:21:51	Spread: Illinois (-16.5)	Michigan State	SELL	2,038	100¢	$2,036	0xd025d1…
10-10 22:59:22	Spread: Marshall (-4.5)	Marshall	BUY	1,785	51¢	$911	0xb9d2bd…
10-10 22:59:00	Spread: Marshall (-4.5)	Marshall	BUY	277	50¢	$138	0x0df247…
10-10 21:34:37	Spread: Illinois (-16.5)	Michigan State	BUY	2,038	52¢	$1,060	0x548ce8…
10-10 20:25:15	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Texas	BUY	166	85¢	$141	0x1c313f…
10-10 19:29:49	Spread: Kansas State (-2.5)	Kansas State	BUY	2,020	52¢	$1,050	0x14c1b8…
10-10 19:28:24	Spread: Ohio (-2.5)	Central Michigan	BUY	2,120	50¢	$1,060	0x0d650d…
10-10 19:28:03	Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	Arizona	SELL	2,143	100¢	$2,141	0x975b4a…
10-10 17:44:24	Indiana vs. Nebraska	Indiana	BUY	2,211	50¢	$1,105	0xb205d8…
10-10 15:59:51	Spread: Arizona (-3.5)	Arizona	BUY	2,143	49¢	$1,050	0xca3fc6…
10-10 15:54:22	Spread: Army (-5.5)	Army	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0xc3311f…
10-10 15:53:42	Spread: Army (-5.5)	Army	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xc5b048…
10-10 03:00:06	Washington State vs. Utah State	Washington State	BUY	92	82¢	$75	0x58917d…
10-10 02:19:42	Washington State vs. Utah State	Utah State	BUY	2,255	47¢	$1,060	0x5c9311…
10-10 00:08:02	Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x2a18c1…
10-09 05:28:50	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	2,308	52¢	$1,200	0xcb2243…
10-09 04:47:12	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2,636	44¢	$1,160	0x04a1bc…
10-09 02:09:06	Sharks vs. Blues	Sharks	BUY	1,437	47¢	$676	0x09ac05…
10-09 02:08:42	Sharks vs. Blues	Sharks	BUY	168	48¢	$80	0x67ec74…
10-09 02:08:15	Sharks vs. Blues	Sharks	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0xdc1443…
10-09 02:08:00	Sharks vs. Blues	Sharks	BUY	817	48¢	$389	0xe21e4a…