Legal-Gauge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.1%

Resolved

Trades

24,494

lifetime

Volume

$8.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-04 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

54% 11% $-19

Politics

40% 50% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	313	$216	66,426	47,378	+19,048	open	—	02-23 16:40
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	252	$208	48,000	40,706	+7,294	open	—	02-28 11:54
will the us collect between 1t and 2t in revenue in 2025	1,809	$206	72,885	55,963	+16,922	open	—	02-21 07:32
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	282	$205	60,500	46,617	+13,883	open	—	03-04 16:10
will the us collect between 500b and 1t in revenue in 2025	821	$150	44,891	30,195	+14,697	open	—	02-20 18:52
will the us collect more than 2t in revenue in 2025	1,409	$149	51,966	38,757	+13,209	open	—	02-21 04:51
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	192	$143	42,000	32,986	+9,014	open	—	03-04 11:40
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	181	$130	48,500	34,057	+14,443	open	—	03-04 16:10
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	185	$123	41,146	32,012	+9,134	open	—	01-25 13:01
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31	254	$102	38,922	31,018	+7,904	open	—	01-31 02:37
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 480m and 520m by january 31	222	$94	34,714	26,142	+8,572	open	—	01-29 19:41
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	159	$92	35,500	27,205	+8,295	open	—	02-18 05:14
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	136	$88	33,000	26,764	+6,236	open	—	03-20 14:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	69	$81	19,500	17,424	+2,076	open	—	03-04 16:10
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	64	$80	31,000	26,147	+4,853	open	—	02-10 08:19
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	194	$79	29,370	23,613	+5,757	open	—	01-31 21:47
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	482	$77	27,307	20,927	+6,379	open	—	04-04 00:47
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	257	$74	17,500	12,043	+5,457	open	—	02-13 23:47
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	87	$74	19,000	16,024	+2,976	open	—	01-09 14:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 974	151	$72	28,500	22,213	+6,287	open	—	01-14 16:54
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	110	$61	30,000	19,432	+10,568	open	—	02-28 19:06
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	177	$58	13,474	13,220	+254	open	—	02-22 14:40
han duck soo in jail by january 31	24	$58	9,500	8,909	+591	open	—	01-21 22:40
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	102	$58	11,066	9,097	+1,969	No	+$0	04-14 04:28
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	80	$55	13,000	10,022	+2,978	open	—	02-14 03:51
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	44	$53	9,500	6,325	+3,175	open	—	02-23 08:52
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	120	$52	11,500	8,135	+3,364	open	—	04-06 02:00
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	22	$51	6,500	6,482	+18	open	—	01-23 20:50
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	31	$51	16,247	11,458	+4,789	open	—	01-31 22:31
Will Tetsuo Saito be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	134	$51	17,884	11,505	+6,379	open	—	02-12 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:39:43	will usd reach 18000 indonesian rupiah by june 30	No	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0xa9ba60…
06-04 09:19:46	will usd reach 18000 indonesian rupiah by june 30	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x776d6b…
06-04 00:42:24	will ariana grande have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x39a679…
06-03 22:48:51	will ariana grande have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x486487…
06-03 22:11:24	will ariana grande have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2,995	0¢	$3	0x32b449…
06-03 21:58:39	will ariana grande have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x984a6a…
06-03 21:34:28	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by june 30 2026	No	SELL	366	0¢	$0	0x688350…
06-03 20:19:27	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1cdb95…
06-03 20:19:25	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by june 30 2026	No	SELL	995	0¢	$1	0xfd7131…
06-03 19:03:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x07e5e4…
05-26 21:30:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,004	0¢	$3	0x22629f…
05-26 21:29:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0xfcb781…
05-26 21:28:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc5f32b…
05-26 21:26:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x259cef…
05-26 21:25:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0xde57ba…
05-26 21:24:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$1	0x89fdfd…
05-26 21:24:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa33db7…
05-26 16:36:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	372	0¢	$1	0xfa252b…
05-26 16:36:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	511	0¢	$1	0xa96505…
05-26 16:36:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x6d5c5c…
05-26 16:36:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	511	0¢	$1	0x648468…
05-25 13:10:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x9af8c1…
05-25 08:00:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x6e5d5e…
05-25 04:49:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xb46492…
05-21 04:29:40	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	SELL	264	0¢	$1	0x6c7df8…
05-21 03:11:58	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xf729da…
05-21 03:06:11	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa0e596…
05-21 02:58:49	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x86f6e1…
05-21 02:58:33	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x0a4335…
05-21 02:55:52	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x9b8ed4…
05-21 02:55:08	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0x167906…
05-21 02:53:28	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0x243ecf…
05-21 02:40:05	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	0¢	$0	0x287d70…
05-21 02:39:39	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x10c636…
05-21 02:32:46	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfed335…
05-21 02:28:22	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0xb912b3…
05-21 02:24:45	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x042c15…
05-21 02:19:23	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf56045…
05-21 02:12:00	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x23a2f2…
05-21 01:58:40	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,236	0¢	$2	0x401c10…
05-21 01:54:42	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xf66a3e…
05-21 01:47:49	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	247	0¢	$0	0xd6bc14…
05-21 00:07:27	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x53d46c…
05-21 00:04:59	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x9c81fe…
05-21 00:00:06	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x02d453…
05-20 23:47:32	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0x5d7fc8…
05-20 23:46:15	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x49b6d4…
05-20 23:30:44	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xeaa2e2…
05-20 23:28:35	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0x8f1217…
05-20 14:09:39	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xab0499…
05-20 11:41:15	Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x1e38e8…
05-20 00:20:06	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$6	0x41c1ed…
05-19 02:05:42	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xe76431…
05-19 01:36:21	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x9b19b8…
05-18 18:41:22	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	998	0¢	$3	0xf51d5e…
05-18 18:23:05	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x375e58…
05-18 18:20:31	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x355bed…
05-18 17:53:44	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x69a9d3…
05-18 08:36:53	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xf2c377…
05-15 20:25:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0xb57792…
05-15 17:11:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x526245…
05-15 16:57:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	936	0¢	$2	0x720d72…
05-15 16:18:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xaf293b…
05-15 16:11:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xadf353…
05-15 16:09:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	207	0¢	$0	0x921df4…
05-15 16:09:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x310d4c…
05-15 16:05:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x10f9c6…
05-15 16:02:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	288	0¢	$1	0x73ef83…
05-15 15:09:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xf620e8…
05-15 14:22:51	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x5f209d…
05-15 13:55:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x34f124…
05-15 01:54:01	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x1851c8…
05-11 22:16:56	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xdd68af…
05-11 21:52:11	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xb5f892…
05-05 15:40:06	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4e5230…
05-05 15:16:28	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc9b809…
05-05 14:11:50	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0x89996b…
05-05 14:11:36	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	351	0¢	$1	0x2c31d1…
05-05 13:15:08	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x90d457…
05-05 12:33:20	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xdac60c…
05-05 11:40:26	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x25d807…
05-05 11:33:38	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x5594f0…
05-05 11:30:04	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xcc8fc1…
05-05 11:28:44	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x758bb3…
05-05 11:19:22	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xca9202…
05-05 10:56:28	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x9a1a52…
05-05 10:40:08	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xaeadab…
05-05 09:44:12	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x582cc1…
05-05 09:22:54	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5b66d5…
05-05 09:18:46	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x7864ce…
05-05 08:48:24	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x99087d…
05-05 07:51:34	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc90670…
05-05 07:41:06	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x61bf74…
05-05 06:27:48	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc51ae4…
05-05 05:20:32	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x3e601f…
05-05 03:27:42	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x256ff8…
05-05 03:15:36	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x334d95…
05-05 01:45:38	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x5aec89…
05-05 00:28:20	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x2d117d…
05-05 00:18:22	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xa78a06…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	466	$43.7K	11,748	06-04 00:44
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	463	$67.5K	39,030	04-27 02:33
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	457	$16.8K	7,872	03-27 18:39
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	439	$25.3K	17,244	06-04 00:44
Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78	432	$3.14K	3,726	04-22 15:29
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	404	$158.2K	16,720	06-02 15:32
Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345	379	$31.2K	17,511	06-04 00:42
Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9	375	$26.2K	14,978	03-14 09:13