Heavenly-Dilution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$712

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

3,496

Trades

6,590

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-28 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 52% -$635

Other

7% 33% -$19

Sports

7% 27% -$41

Politics

2% 14% -$17

Tech

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+11	$5	33¢	$4	-$1	10-28 17:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	12	$218	116	116	+0	No	$0	03-26 22:54
cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	35	$153	103	103	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$1	03-27 02:09
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	33	$150	97	97	+0	Arizona Wildcats	-$1	03-26 23:43
nba sac orl 2026 03 26	29	$143	79	79	+0	Magic	+$0	03-27 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:00 UTC	3	$139	89	88	+1	Down	+$21	03-29 17:03
nhl col wpg 2026 03 26 total 6pt5	26	$129	125	125	+0	Under	-$12	03-27 02:09
nba nop det 2026 03 26	28	$116	92	92	+0	Pistons	-$1	03-26 23:43
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	20	$111	70	70	+0	Connecticut Huskies	+$6	03-28 03:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	23	$95	56	56	+0	No	$0	03-28 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 17:05 UTC	3	$93	245	19	+226	Up	-$79	03-29 17:06
nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	18	$86	45	45	+0	Lakers	$0	03-28 02:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	25	$82	71	71	+0	Yes	-$1	03-28 18:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	24	$80	58	58	+0	Yes	$0	03-28 18:04
nba dal por 2026 03 27	16	$80	60	60	+0	Mavericks	-$1	03-28 03:30
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$74	158	158	+0	Yes	+$14	02-01 17:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	18	$72	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-28 00:08
nba uta den 2026 03 27 total 248pt5	12	$71	50	50	+0	Over	+$3	03-28 02:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 21:45 UTC	15	$66	69	59	+10	Up	-$14	04-12 21:58
nba chi okc 2026 03 27 total 239pt5	14	$65	50	50	+0	Over	+$1	03-28 02:32
nhl cbj mon 2026 03 26 total 6pt5	17	$54	49	49	+0	Under	-$7	03-27 00:25
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	5	$54	28	28	+0	Yes	+$1	10-07 08:06
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	12	$48	26	26	+0	No	$0	03-27 02:27
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	10	$47	36	31	+5	Iowa Hawkeyes	-$4	03-27 00:56
nba uta den 2026 03 27 total 246pt5	11	$45	30	30	+0	Over	-$3	03-28 02:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 23:05 UTC	2	$44	22	22	+0	Up	+$0	03-29 23:10
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	2	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$3	10-20 20:24
nba hou mem 2026 03 27	7	$37	20	20	-0	Rockets	$0	03-28 00:51
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	2	$36	50	50	+0	No	+$32	03-22 06:13
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	2	$36	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	09-29 12:40
nhl chi phi 2026 03 26 total 5pt5	9	$36	27	27	+0	Over	$0	03-27 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:11:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf7355d…
10-25 02:52:03	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x01c098…
10-25 02:50:53	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb0ce96…
10-20 20:24:09	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xa469ba…
10-20 14:38:11	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x669f4a…
10-20 10:58:23	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9deca9…
10-20 10:49:06	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?	Yes	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x9a88ed…
10-07 08:06:09	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9a8c95…
10-06 17:56:17	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7f1ccf…
10-06 17:42:20	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x89162b…
10-06 12:58:09	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x391c8c…
10-06 12:09:06	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x725927…
09-29 12:40:12	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xfa0ddb…
09-29 12:21:06	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0xd24912…
09-29 12:21:06	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?	Yes	BUY	18	95¢	$18	0x28989c…
09-23 20:20:19	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe8b2ef…
09-23 20:18:34	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x750be5…
09-23 03:05:35	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x51928e…
09-22 12:55:01	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x2027c6…
09-13 02:52:25	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfe42d7…
09-11 16:05:18	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4334ef…
09-09 12:24:22	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9d8b4b…
08-12 02:19:27	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xd63325…
08-12 02:19:22	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xbe39da…
08-03 19:22:12	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xe072ea…
08-03 03:33:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf7d3d9…
08-02 05:03:36	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xff06ad…
08-02 01:58:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x8bf6c7…
08-02 01:58:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xddfcc6…
08-02 01:56:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x6adae4…
08-02 01:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1b3f18…
08-02 01:56:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc9ac41…
08-02 01:54:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x18b1bb…
08-02 01:54:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x06bc18…
07-31 17:57:12	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2a5077…
07-29 00:09:20	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x265123…
07-29 00:01:22	Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xdb33dd…
07-26 00:35:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7f4b04…
07-26 00:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xaca024…
07-25 22:36:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x182242…
07-25 22:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfc3021…
07-25 22:15:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5f86bb…
07-25 22:06:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8d0035…
07-25 21:56:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2c0518…
07-25 21:41:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd50cbb…
07-25 21:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x611c43…
07-25 21:21:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa58a40…
07-25 21:05:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x6188cf…
07-25 20:55:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x67a4ae…
07-25 20:55:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2df80a…
07-25 20:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x90f83d…
07-25 20:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdde90c…
07-25 20:20:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5a7825…
07-25 20:06:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x31595c…
07-25 19:55:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd808e2…
07-25 19:41:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x18ccb6…
07-24 23:48:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x6804a6…
07-24 23:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xde95fb…
07-24 05:54:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x870ec9…
07-24 05:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf29faa…
07-24 05:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xee3aaa…
07-23 21:28:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x4c2c05…
07-23 21:28:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xb2ed64…
07-23 06:45:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x03b3db…
07-20 17:31:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x7f6fbf…
07-17 05:32:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x7de388…
07-17 05:32:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe792b1…
07-17 04:42:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6dda9e…
07-16 04:08:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x06936d…
07-16 03:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x726e40…
07-16 03:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8eae24…
07-16 03:55:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe0967c…
07-16 03:50:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x65bf02…
07-16 03:45:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x01d173…
07-16 03:41:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcc4dfa…
07-16 03:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa9d93f…
07-16 03:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0e67a7…
07-16 03:27:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe50737…
07-16 03:25:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe12f48…
07-14 06:51:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1c9cea…
07-14 06:16:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdca4af…
07-14 06:15:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6121db…
07-14 06:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x83746d…
07-14 06:01:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8ac848…
07-14 06:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2752cf…
07-14 05:51:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf296c3…
07-14 05:46:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9ee2a5…
07-14 05:45:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe98e95…
07-14 05:41:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2b825e…
07-14 05:41:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x64ec19…
07-14 05:35:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9ade59…
07-14 05:32:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x58710c…
07-14 05:31:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6bf509…
07-14 05:27:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x07db3a…
07-14 05:25:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2cb0d7…
07-14 05:21:35	Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdfec16…
07-14 05:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x24f95d…
07-14 05:11:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcddb49…
07-14 05:10:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x276ef4…
07-14 05:06:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0047d9…