Present-Coaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$31

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved (90d)

3,777

Trades (90d)

5,033

26,803 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$54.0K

$461.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-29 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 77% -$4,758

Other

14% 81% -$762

Politics

0% 40% -$7

Tech

0% 60% +$8

Sports

0% 33% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 612 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No		-22	-$20	94¢	$-21	-$1	06-26 18:33
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Yes		-22	-$3	6¢	$-1	+$2	06-24 21:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	8	$3.1K	3,419	2,000	+1,419	No	-$159	01-20 15:47
bitcoin above 94k on january 19	2	$2.0K	2,067	0	+2,067	No	+$46	01-19 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:55 UTC	68	$2.0K	3,759	0	+3,759	Up	+$1,183	03-25 21:57
bitcoin above 88k on january 25	8	$1.1K	1,400	1,000	+400	Yes	-$538	01-25 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 17:00 UTC	35	$1.0K	2,226	226	+2,000	Up	+$61	01-23 17:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 19:00 UTC	53	$950	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$50	01-23 19:05
bitcoin above 90k on january 22	11	$950	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$50	01-22 15:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 19:30 UTC	3	$691	1,029	268	+761	Down	+$252	01-20 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 30?	15	$528	458	458	+0	No	-$96	06-30 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 5?	6	$506	590	0	+590	No	+$84	07-05 01:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 10?	17	$501	447	155	+292	No	+$18	07-09 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 09:35 UTC	118	$496	1,875	0	+1,875	Down	-$258	04-09 09:39
bitcoin above 94k on january 20	5	$495	604	0	+604	No	+$109	01-20 01:54
bitcoin above 86k on january 26	3	$484	510	0	+510	Yes	+$25	01-26 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 31?	3	$473	520	0	+520	No	+$47	07-31 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 19:40 UTC	2	$458	483	0	+483	Down	+$25	03-18 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 30?	4	$430	500	0	+500	No	+$70	06-29 23:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:35 UTC	17	$419	573	0	+573	Up	+$154	03-16 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 10?	6	$416	294	290	+4	No	-$8	07-09 17:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 18:30 UTC	3	$403	431	0	+431	Up	+$28	03-05 18:33
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	14	$335	373	365	+7	No	-$47	06-29 16:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 19:55 UTC	4	$330	359	0	+359	Down	+$29	03-05 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 10?	22	$322	526	47	+479	Yes	-$169	07-09 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 09:40 UTC	46	$315	711	0	+711	Up	-$57	04-09 09:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 05:30 UTC	48	$287	336	0	+336	Down	-$287	03-22 05:33
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635	2	$283	216	216	+0	open	—	06-26 18:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?	20	$279	373	373	+0	Yes	-$59	07-08 04:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 04:30 UTC	45	$275	328	0	+328	Up	+$53	03-22 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:20 UTC	33	$272	251	240	+10	Up	+$7	03-27 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:00 UTC	33	$264	388	379	+9	Down	-$9	03-27 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x9dfde6…
10-29 20:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x03ef4f…
10-29 20:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	76	17¢	$13	0xb21c7d…
10-29 19:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xe13e05…
10-29 19:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe91c40…
10-29 19:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	54	85¢	$46	0xcda9fe…
10-29 19:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x175232…
10-29 19:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x2e9e82…
10-29 19:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x09ceea…
10-29 19:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd2b4f3…
10-29 19:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	61	27¢	$17	0x0208b1…
10-29 19:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0x0c99a1…
10-29 19:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x163c70…
10-29 17:10:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xd2271e…
10-29 17:10:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x9479f7…
10-29 17:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x763b7c…
10-29 17:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x4a87a7…
10-29 14:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x7a3876…
10-29 14:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0x480eef…
10-29 14:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x8686a4…
10-29 14:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x21f8cb…
10-28 23:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	31	42¢	$13	0x010aa4…
10-28 23:10:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	62	36¢	$22	0xd6c8cb…
10-28 23:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	62	35¢	$22	0x4775f3…
10-28 23:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x358bab…
10-28 23:10:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x122998…
10-28 23:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0xebafe5…
10-28 23:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	61	89¢	$54	0x16a9ec…
10-28 19:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	BUY	43	41¢	$17	0xd8e2e8…
10-28 19:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	61	89¢	$54	0xfadc72…
10-28 19:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	62	39¢	$24	0x9c0239…
10-28 19:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xc94374…
10-28 19:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	61	84¢	$51	0x320669…
10-28 18:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0x8c47a5…
10-28 18:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 29?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0x5a1d2d…
10-28 18:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	61	80¢	$49	0xed4167…
10-28 18:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	62	25¢	$16	0xd54e4e…
10-28 18:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 29?	No	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0xea232c…
10-28 18:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0xa20a13…
10-28 17:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x31b3b7…
10-28 17:12:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xee4f7d…
10-28 17:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x0b8fa1…
10-28 17:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xbf26f1…
10-28 17:11:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	No	SELL	17	91¢	$16	0xdcbb7b…
10-28 17:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0x68e978…
10-28 17:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 29?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x60a3f4…
10-28 17:11:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x1ecc32…
10-28 17:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0xe07722…
10-28 17:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x7424a4…
10-28 17:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x4f5256…
10-28 17:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$24	0x32e9cd…
10-28 15:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xce9efe…
10-28 15:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x5434da…
10-28 14:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$24	0x0468dc…
10-28 14:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0xd3efdc…
10-28 13:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0xf4fb26…
10-28 13:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x68c1eb…
10-28 13:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$22	0x9362bb…
10-28 13:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x6d98b0…
10-28 13:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xc06bbf…
10-28 13:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x7092f5…
10-28 12:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x4be8f1…
10-28 12:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x15be9d…
10-28 12:10:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xfdacce…
10-28 12:10:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x6caf60…
10-28 12:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0x6bb28b…
10-28 12:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$28	0x2af4d4…
10-27 23:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xf25afb…
10-27 23:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$27	0xe2f1c1…
10-27 22:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 28?	No	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0xf745fa…
10-27 22:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	32	11¢	$4	0x758542…
10-27 21:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$21	0x31a643…
10-27 21:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0xcf7fe7…
10-27 21:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x71cf2f…
10-27 19:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x98fd37…
10-27 19:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	61	72¢	$44	0x810229…
10-27 19:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0xcfcd25…
10-27 19:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	61	72¢	$44	0xdeeb8b…
10-27 19:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x33a545…
10-27 19:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xee5889…
10-27 19:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	62	34¢	$21	0xcfafed…
10-27 19:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0xc29f1d…
10-27 19:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xaa4c0b…
10-27 19:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x125771…
10-27 19:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	61	46¢	$28	0x56bfc1…
10-27 18:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0xea2f14…
10-27 18:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	61	88¢	$53	0xa8fbf5…
10-27 17:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xb7301a…
10-27 17:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0xa9618b…
10-27 17:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xa120aa…
10-27 17:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x500599…
10-27 17:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	31	57¢	$17	0x353432…
10-27 17:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x34039e…
10-27 16:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$25	0xe402c7…
10-27 16:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x38f174…
10-27 15:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	31	34¢	$10	0x9e4bd1…
10-27 15:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x997d89…
10-27 15:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x72d74f…
10-27 15:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 28?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x41e8ee…
10-26 23:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0xff3bc3…