Tense-Blind — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

1,259

Trades

1,805

lifetime

Volume

$8.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-30 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 71% +$57

Other

3% 69% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:50 UTC	6	$238	981	98	+883	Down	-$102	04-15 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:45 UTC	3	$153	1,143	136	+1,007	Up	+$39	04-15 16:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 14:45 UTC	16	$121	327	206	+121	Down	-$36	04-16 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:40 UTC	2	$106	57	57	+1	Up	+$6	04-16 17:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 14:15 UTC	11	$89	238	208	+30	Down	-$18	04-16 14:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 18:00 UTC	7	$88	97	92	+5	Up	+$28	04-16 18:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:20 UTC	3	$80	59	56	+2	Up	+$33	04-16 17:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 18:15 UTC	6	$66	63	60	+3	Down	+$16	04-16 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:50 UTC	8	$66	124	117	+7	Down	-$5	04-16 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:40 UTC	7	$64	75	54	+21	Up	+$15	04-16 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 12:45 UTC	6	$61	178	61	+117	Down	-$28	04-16 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:45 UTC	3	$54	343	0	+343	Down	-$54	04-16 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:30 UTC	2	$53	40	39	+1	Down	+$15	04-15 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:40 UTC	10	$45	72	54	+18	Up	+$23	04-16 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 14:30 UTC	4	$42	29	28	+1	Up	+$7	04-16 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:20 UTC	5	$42	72	49	+23	Down	-$11	04-16 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$41	215	0	+215	Down	-$41	05-06 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 10:40 UTC	9	$39	46	36	+10	Up	+$13	04-24 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 13:25 UTC	4	$36	44	44	+0	Up	-$4	04-16 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:45 UTC	2	$35	104	0	+104	Up	+$69	04-16 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:15 UTC	5	$34	283	32	+252	Up	+$5	04-15 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:35 UTC	4	$33	40	36	+4	Down	-$1	04-16 14:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:35 UTC	5	$30	287	0	+287	Down	+$257	04-15 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:55 UTC	4	$30	87	41	+46	Down	-$22	04-16 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:45 UTC	3	$29	27	14	+13	Up	+$8	04-16 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$26	76	15	+60	Up	+$55	05-06 14:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:10 UTC	2	$25	23	21	+1	Down	+$16	04-16 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:25 UTC	3	$25	38	17	+21	Up	+$11	04-16 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:15 UTC	3	$22	47	32	+15	Down	-$13	04-16 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:10 UTC	3	$22	20	19	+1	Up	+$6	04-22 21:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 07:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xe281b6…
10-30 07:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x881f3b…
10-30 07:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7f934c…
10-30 07:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2823c9…
10-30 07:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd94bf0…
10-30 06:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	19¢	$0	0xb4f178…
10-30 06:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x9ee7c3…
10-30 06:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8d3fb1…
10-30 06:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x297b51…
10-30 06:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x99f508…
10-30 06:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x07ca6e…
10-30 06:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7a922b…
10-30 06:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x3695ba…
10-30 06:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2dc150…
10-30 06:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x27e73f…
10-30 06:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7615f7…
10-30 06:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x402c17…
10-30 06:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb9169f…
10-30 06:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x929443…
10-30 06:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xffd6d1…
10-30 06:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x4c3d52…
10-30 06:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5a8a8c…
10-30 06:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4630af…
10-30 05:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x370728…
10-30 05:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x82e593…
10-30 05:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x42f3ea…
10-30 05:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6365e4…
10-30 05:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x435377…
10-30 05:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4d0e0c…
10-30 05:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x81060b…
10-30 05:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x1c2d50…
10-30 05:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa44985…
10-30 05:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4d62d4…
10-30 05:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xe8887b…
10-30 05:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xb7724c…
10-30 05:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x51c422…
10-30 05:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x750953…
10-30 05:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xed3518…
10-30 05:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa6a537…
10-30 05:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7eb64e…
10-30 05:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4c5d85…
10-30 05:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3433da…
10-30 05:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x0311ac…
10-30 05:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8df7be…
10-30 05:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xfbb3ed…
10-30 05:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x965570…
10-30 05:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbbaa64…
10-30 05:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x13675b…
10-30 04:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$1	0xcacd9b…
10-30 04:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x61abb1…
10-30 04:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x58ddc4…
10-30 04:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x458933…
10-30 04:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe27830…
10-30 04:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6ee586…
10-30 04:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x94ec32…
10-30 04:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3d99da…
10-30 04:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4978c7…
10-30 04:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf36ce2…
10-30 04:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xbf6196…
10-30 04:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x667178…
10-30 04:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb7a819…
10-30 04:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x209ffb…
10-30 04:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xeeb3bb…
10-30 04:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4a0088…
10-30 04:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x8b8a78…
10-30 04:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x886df9…
10-30 04:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x78288b…
10-30 04:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbf0b1f…
10-30 04:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x6eb3ec…
10-30 04:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7c4287…
10-30 04:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa062d4…
10-30 04:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x492b65…
10-30 03:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd3b5b4…
10-30 03:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x23e054…
10-30 03:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd9b5ec…
10-30 03:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xfd5d4c…
10-30 03:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x9ecb1d…
10-30 03:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x6dbab2…
10-30 03:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x062896…
10-30 03:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3fcdca…
10-30 03:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7a3f0a…
10-30 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x0734fe…
10-30 03:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1a717f…
10-30 03:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xc0b1ad…
10-30 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa76a92…
10-30 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7a8cc3…
10-30 03:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3d00f8…
10-30 03:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xeda06b…
10-30 03:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2c97a4…
10-30 03:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x219b5c…
10-30 03:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe0eb7d…
10-30 03:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf54f3b…
10-30 03:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x949c1d…
10-30 03:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x47791a…
10-30 03:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xefb52d…
10-30 03:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x02f07e…
10-30 03:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x709d00…
10-30 02:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf19b0a…
10-30 02:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb8e628…
10-30 02:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x247741…