Muffled-Halfsister — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

4,048

Trades

10,857

lifetime

Volume

$45.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$109

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

41% 65% -$859

Crypto

32% 67% -$488

Sports

26% 64% +$153

Politics

0% 22% -$6

Tech

0% 83% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+53	$48	90¢	$48	-$1	10-25 17:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+118	$38	20¢	$23	-$15	10-24 23:56
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+24	$15	81¢	$20	+$5	10-26 03:45
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+47	$2	14¢	$6	+$4	08-04 18:38
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	-5	-$4	100¢	$-5	-$1	06-15 16:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+23	$2	9¢	$2	$0	10-26 04:26
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+125	$1	1¢	$2	+$1	08-04 18:09
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	40¢	$1	$0	10-26 03:45
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	+7	$1	15¢	$1	+$0	10-25 20:39
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+26	$1	3¢	$1	$0	08-04 18:38
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+50	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	08-04 15:39
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-04 18:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 07:30 UTC	22	$439	580	0	+580	Down	-$59	02-21 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 08:00 UTC	24	$439	600	0	+600	Up	-$139	02-21 08:12
cbb sanclr gnzg 2026 01 08	16	$398	411	0	+411	Gonzaga Bulldogs	+$13	01-09 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 06:15 UTC	24	$334	440	0	+440	Down	-$35	02-23 06:29
nfl la car 2026 01 10	29	$331	404	0	+404	Rams	+$73	01-11 00:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 02:45 UTC	19	$310	332	0	+332	Down	+$22	02-21 02:57
cbb byu utah 2026 01 10	13	$304	236	112	+124	BYU Cougars	-$8	01-11 05:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 23:15 UTC	30	$292	459	0	+459	Up	-$192	03-06 23:30
2026 rbc heritage winner matt fitzpatrick win	31	$283	191	190	+1	Yes	-$28	04-19 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 03:00 UTC	15	$281	300	0	+300	Down	+$18	02-21 03:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:15 UTC	23	$236	350	0	+350	Up	-$24	03-07 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 07:00 UTC	7	$230	317	96	+220	Up	-$10	02-10 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 02:30 UTC	6	$228	280	0	+280	Up	-$228	02-21 02:44
cbb penn yale 2026 03 15	38	$209	279	25	+254	Penn Quakers	-$159	03-15 18:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:30 UTC	30	$208	273	0	+273	Down	+$15	03-07 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 00:00 UTC	6	$206	260	0	+260	Up	+$4	02-16 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 08:45 UTC	21	$204	300	0	+300	Up	-$4	02-19 08:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	13	$203	218	36	+181	Yes	+$35	07-29 06:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 01:00 UTC	18	$201	250	0	+250	Up	-$1	02-22 01:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 03:30 UTC	20	$197	240	0	+240	Down	-$7	02-21 03:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 06:30 UTC	17	$196	220	0	+220	Up	+$4	02-23 06:40
cbb gnzg port 2026 02 04	27	$191	307	0	+307	Portland Pilots	-$191	02-05 04:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:45 UTC	32	$190	290	0	+290	Up	$0	02-22 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 08:30 UTC	21	$186	279	0	+279	Up	+$48	02-19 08:45
nhl ott utah 2026 01 07	6	$185	187	0	+187	Utah	+$2	01-08 05:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 01:15 UTC	14	$177	240	0	+240	Up	+$13	02-22 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 08:00 UTC	28	$176	288	0	+288	Up	+$12	03-07 08:14
cbb mich nw 2026 02 11	24	$172	279	0	+279	Michigan Wolverines	+$107	02-12 03:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-21 06:30 UTC	13	$170	190	0	+190	Down	+$20	02-21 06:42
cbb pennst pur 2026 01 10	5	$168	170	0	+170	Purdue Boilermakers	+$2	01-10 20:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:26:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x364206…
10-26 03:46:42	Will Ohio St. be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8ad174…
10-26 03:45:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd92d64…
10-26 03:45:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x756c84…
10-25 20:44:00	Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xec8819…
10-25 20:43:50	Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x651a93…
10-25 20:42:32	Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x38103b…
10-25 20:42:21	Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 52.5	Under	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd67c59…
10-25 20:40:48	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x791545…
10-25 20:39:29	Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2ea562…
10-25 20:39:21	Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6a47a8…
10-25 20:38:24	Will LSU be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xff7c0d…
10-25 20:36:54	Will Indiana be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x40b12f…
10-25 20:33:11	Will Ohio St. be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd4aa68…
10-25 20:28:39	Spread: Broncos (-6.5)	Broncos	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcb1710…
10-25 20:28:29	Spread: Broncos (-4.5)	Broncos	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x411c39…
10-25 20:27:24	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Broncos	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x532296…
10-25 18:42:14	Dolphins vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1f99cd…
10-25 18:40:33	Spread: Titans (-7.5)	Browns	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xb2492d…
10-25 18:40:18	Spread: Titans (-3.5)	Browns	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x141c3c…
10-25 18:39:54	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xbcd8ea…
10-25 18:37:26	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x3c47f5…
10-25 17:54:02	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0x92f995…
10-25 17:49:29	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x06f606…
10-25 17:44:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x79b14e…
10-25 17:43:27	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xaa7ebf…
10-25 17:43:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xb36741…
10-25 17:42:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$19	0x274d5d…
10-25 17:41:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x28a0a1…
10-25 17:39:39	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5b1d5d…
10-25 17:38:51	Ashton Jeanty: Receptions O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfbe188…
10-25 17:38:35	Kyren Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0054e9…
10-25 17:37:41	Tyler Higbee: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xed7be9…
10-25 17:37:21	Puka Nacua: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5	Over	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd49783…
10-25 17:36:02	Kyren Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3211ec…
10-25 17:34:11	Ashton Jeanty: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf86624…
10-25 17:32:33	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb51c90…
10-25 17:30:36	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x8682e2…
10-25 17:29:27	Spread: Titans (-7.5)	Browns	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x24cc0b…
10-25 17:28:05	Dolphins vs. Jets	Dolphins	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xff674a…
10-25 17:27:54	Spread: Jets (-3.5)	Dolphins	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xe2e853…
10-25 17:26:59	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x061c57…
10-25 17:25:00	Spread: Titans (-3.5)	Browns	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x081dc4…
10-25 17:24:42	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8cb34d…
10-25 17:03:59	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc2f2ab…
10-25 17:03:35	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x137c2b…
10-25 17:03:24	Spread: Titans (-3.5)	Browns	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd68845…
10-25 17:02:26	Will Miami (OH) RedHawks Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf3db73…
10-25 02:26:14	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	68	22¢	$15	0x96750a…
10-25 02:24:26	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 51.5	Over	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x81e317…
10-25 02:24:18	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 45.5	Over	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xbdcfcb…
10-25 02:24:08	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc59d94…
10-25 02:23:21	North Dakota State vs. New Mexico	North Dakota State	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x5cb3e2…
10-25 00:34:50	Utah State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5	Under	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x83bd9a…
10-25 00:34:30	Utah State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4c9552…
10-25 00:34:15	Utah State vs. Texas State: O/U 71.5	Under	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa9632b…
10-25 00:28:51	Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky	Vanderbilt	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x099ccd…
10-25 00:28:32	Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky	Vanderbilt	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xe6ead0…
10-25 00:27:30	Boise State vs. Washington State	Boise State	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xebba7b…
10-25 00:08:57	Iowa State vs. Arizona	Iowa State	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xe207e0…
10-25 00:08:24	Colorado vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x187075…
10-25 00:03:47	Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x72b250…
10-25 00:03:09	Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x5efecc…
10-25 00:03:00	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x2cd436…
10-25 00:02:53	Will Arch Manning win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf8b781…
10-25 00:02:44	Will Old Dominion Monarchs Win the 2026 Sun Belt Championship?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x63de37…
10-25 00:02:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x96396d…
10-25 00:02:15	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x986796…
10-25 00:01:26	Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x013b00…
10-25 00:00:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x53ee0f…
10-24 23:56:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x875f96…
10-24 23:53:50	Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky	Vanderbilt	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xc39711…
10-24 23:53:38	Ole Miss vs. Texas	Texas	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xf4ea18…
10-24 23:53:12	Colorado vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4dbf57…
10-24 23:51:50	Utah Tech vs. Cal Poly	Cal Poly	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x0d0a57…
10-24 23:51:32	Utah Tech vs. Cal Poly	Cal Poly	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe44944…
10-24 23:51:23	Boise State vs. Washington State	Boise State	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x0f2106…
10-24 23:37:57	Utah Tech vs. Cal Poly	Cal Poly	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe8dd74…
10-24 23:35:47	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xef1404…
10-24 23:35:05	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0a1e76…
10-24 23:34:33	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7da619…
10-24 23:34:23	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x80ba18…
10-24 23:34:02	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x49fedd…
10-24 23:33:03	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa59030…
10-24 23:32:29	Boise State vs. Washington State	Boise State	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x702463…
10-24 23:31:56	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x9c7d09…
10-24 23:30:44	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x3449ba…
10-24 23:30:17	Utah State vs. Texas State: O/U 65.5	Under	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xfd7313…
10-24 23:29:08	Boise State vs. Washington State	Boise State	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x245097…
10-24 23:27:54	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x379f96…
10-24 23:27:41	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd48062…
10-24 23:26:23	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x096d45…
10-24 23:25:35	Boise State vs. Washington State	Boise State	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x37c632…
10-24 23:25:20	Iowa State vs. Arizona	Iowa State	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3e0316…
10-24 23:24:42	Utah State vs. Texas State: O/U 61.5	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xac8e7b…
10-24 23:23:47	Boise State vs. Washington State	Boise State	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xdf65d9…
10-24 23:22:09	BYU vs. UCF	BYU	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9a40da…
10-24 21:01:17	Louisiana-Monroe vs. Troy	Troy	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3e05b0…
10-24 21:00:48	Louisiana-Monroe vs. Troy	Troy	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x16067e…
10-24 21:00:18	Weber State vs. Montana State	Montana State	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x789fc2…