Political-Exercise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

124

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$205

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 09-26 22:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 34% -$23

Other

24% 60% -$4

Sports

21% 45% -$4

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	4	$7	7	7	+0	Spurs	+$1	06-09 00:47
wnba dal min 2026 06 09	4	$6	11	0	+11	Minnesota Lynx	-$3	06-10 00:35
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs	2	$5	5	5	+0	Nemiga	+$1	09-10 18:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:15 UTC	4	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	08-08 23:16
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	08-13 23:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 20:45 UTC	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-08 20:48
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 4pm et	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	06-08 20:47
mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	2	$4	5	5	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$1	06-04 23:18
atp majchrz paul 2026 07 27	2	$4	5	5	+0	Kamil Majchrzak	+$0	07-28 16:47
wnba conn chi 2026 06 05	2	$4	5	5	+0	Chicago Sky	+$1	06-05 23:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 14:45 UTC	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	07-29 14:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 19:15 UTC	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	08-06 19:25
mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26	2	$3	11	0	+11	Philadelphia Phillies	-$3	07-26 23:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 16:45 UTC	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	08-05 16:57
mlb laa lad 2026 06 07	2	$3	5	5	+0	Los Angeles Angels	+$0	06-07 20:36
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	2	$3	5	5	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$1	06-02 13:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:45 UTC	2	$3	10	0	+10	Down	-$3	08-08 22:51
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$3	2	2	+0	Chicago White Sox	+$1	06-03 17:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 00:15 UTC	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	08-13 00:17
atp wendelk rice 2026 07 29	2	$3	5	5	+0	Keegan Rice	+$1	07-29 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 01:00 UTC	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	09-26 01:09
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-15 20:00 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	06-15 22:41
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	1	$3	6	0	+6	BoomBoys	-$3	08-20 22:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 18:30 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	08-08 18:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	2	$2	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-05 21:53
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-02 16:00 UTC	2	$2	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	07-02 18:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	3	$2	10	0	+10	Down	-$2	08-11 14:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 20:00 UTC	2	$2	9	0	+9	Up	-$2	08-08 20:13
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	2	$2	2	2	+0	Under	+$0	06-17 18:50
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5	1	$2	5	0	+5	Over	+$3	09-07 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 22:07:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe2de4f…
09-26 21:26:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x196228…
09-26 01:09:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xab5280…
09-26 01:02:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2bb955…
09-10 18:20:46	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs	Sinners	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x419185…
09-10 16:58:52	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs	Sinners	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x346faf…
09-09 22:08:39	XRP Up or Down on September 10?	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1b6801…
09-09 13:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x9e151c…
09-09 13:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xbd320d…
09-08 13:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x265e14…
09-07 17:00:42	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfaf9e2…
09-03 13:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3bcf8f…
09-03 12:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x53022b…
08-20 22:16:25	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	Iron Wing	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x7b16b4…
08-14 00:37:19	mlb tex laa 2026 08 13 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x947e4b…
08-13 23:47:21	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x82c9d5…
08-13 23:36:42	mlb tex laa 2026 08 13 spread away 1pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x23b332…
08-13 23:09:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xaab84f…
08-13 20:33:04	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9c4d6a…
08-13 19:11:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcca71a…
08-13 19:09:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x63c464…
08-13 06:22:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-13 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xb18548…
08-13 00:17:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x75eec3…
08-13 00:16:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x696c15…
08-12 20:46:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe5573b…
08-12 17:16:19	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0e8792…
08-11 22:16:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x17bf96…
08-11 17:33:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xa6e6b7…
08-11 17:33:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x772979…
08-11 14:52:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xaad4ca…
08-11 14:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xe689c4…
08-11 14:50:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x002694…
08-11 14:39:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xed902c…
08-10 20:41:40	mlb bal min 2026 08 10 spread away 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa2113a…
08-09 23:24:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x579137…
08-09 23:20:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x46a5f0…
08-09 23:20:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x17755e…
08-09 05:40:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x26f6d4…
08-08 23:32:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x49e5fd…
08-08 23:16:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xf5f74b…
08-08 23:16:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe4273c…
08-08 23:16:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xf3f0b5…
08-08 23:16:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2ca785…
08-08 22:51:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1380e1…
08-08 22:46:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x38e21b…
08-08 22:05:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x4d685e…
08-08 22:02:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe80e45…
08-08 22:02:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2270f2…
08-08 20:48:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x86fd83…
08-08 20:47:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa39ac4…
08-08 20:13:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe97969…
08-08 20:07:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x79d5ec…
08-08 18:35:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0xa2434d…
08-08 18:32:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfc15f3…
08-08 17:17:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x06cc80…
08-08 17:16:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x870538…
08-07 21:00:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x26116c…
08-07 01:26:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7d0407…
08-06 23:43:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc7ec35…
08-06 23:13:05	wta sabalen zhang 2026 08 06	Shuai Zhang	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x686c0c…
08-06 19:25:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x38c40f…
08-06 19:22:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4b93e9…
08-06 16:51:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3fbc97…
08-06 01:22:36	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x237817…
08-05 23:22:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x86f9da…
08-05 23:22:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x334b5e…
08-05 21:53:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x60fc89…
08-05 21:52:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3addee…
08-05 21:24:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcdeb1e…
08-05 21:23:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xef45de…
08-05 21:20:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8b3145…
08-05 20:42:32	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaf3efd…
08-05 19:26:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x479927…
08-05 19:25:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xb3c139…
08-05 17:49:47	wta kasatki rybakin 2026 08 06	Daria Kasatkina	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xf21d47…
08-05 16:57:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x37b85a…
08-05 16:47:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xef5901…
08-05 15:43:56	wta kasatki rybakin 2026 08 06	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x07f311…
08-05 01:54:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xff54af…
08-05 01:54:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x93a6b1…
08-05 01:02:50	atp duckwor minaur 2026 08 04	James Duckworth	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x076281…
08-04 23:53:36	atp duckwor minaur 2026 08 04	James Duckworth	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4d47a0…
08-04 20:23:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xb04cdc…
08-04 20:21:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x7df1c8…
08-04 20:21:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xbcedf3…
08-04 01:31:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdf1a2f…
08-02 21:43:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x0fa6c0…
08-02 16:17:03	wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	Alexandra Eala	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x42bef3…
08-02 02:07:02	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd44358…
08-02 01:15:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc5111c…
08-02 00:09:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x017ab1…
08-02 00:04:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x66bcd8…
08-01 23:52:51	mlb pit cin 2026 08 01	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe8f811…
08-01 23:45:15	mlb phi bal 2026 08 01	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xedb12b…
08-01 22:40:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbf9d55…
08-01 20:42:18	hr1 gor osi 2026 07 31 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x5c1741…
08-01 20:42:11	hr1 gor osi 2026 07 31 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x15878a…
07-31 00:17:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3941bc…
07-30 21:46:44	atp lajal shick 2026 07 30	Braden Shick	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb7b1ad…
07-30 15:08:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8f2440…