Round-Greed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

1,411

Trades

2,946

lifetime

Volume

$32.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-13 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 64% -$36

Other

7% 68% +$126

Politics

1% 59% -$10

Sports

1% 81% -$6

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	No		+14	$13	91¢	$12	-$1	11-13 05:01
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+13	$10	66¢	$9	-$1	11-10 20:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	6	$458	593	0	+593	Up	+$0	05-02 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	8	$368	297	278	+19	Down	+$107	04-26 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$318	261	253	+9	Up	+$47	04-26 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:50 UTC	4	$308	310	149	+161	Down	-$60	06-04 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	7	$293	505	0	+505	Down	-$138	04-28 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$277	372	52	+320	Up	-$243	04-29 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$273	175	175	+0	Up	+$73	05-30 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	32	$255	303	0	+303	Down	-$45	05-28 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$240	449	0	+449	Up	+$195	04-29 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	5	$237	496	25	+471	Down	-$233	05-04 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	11	$236	516	8	+508	Down	+$272	04-28 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$233	268	43	+225	Down	-$3	06-03 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$216	274	50	+224	Down	-$173	05-04 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 4?	2	$214	114	114	+0	No	+$14	09-04 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:00 UTC	5	$202	243	83	+159	Up	-$28	06-04 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	7	$202	282	30	+252	Up	+$63	04-27 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	6	$200	371	0	+371	Down	+$171	05-01 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	21	$199	222	47	+175	Up	-$10	05-28 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	12	$195	335	126	+209	Down	-$76	05-30 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	5	$193	315	69	+246	Down	+$99	05-02 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$188	246	88	+158	Up	-$132	05-04 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	7	$185	219	41	+177	Down	+$12	06-02 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	9	$169	262	114	+148	Down	-$123	04-29 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	2	$157	171	0	+171	Down	-$149	06-05 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	16	$155	225	0	+225	Down	+$3	05-26 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	7	$153	240	28	+212	Up	+$90	04-26 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$150	277	0	+277	Up	+$81	04-25 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$150	168	0	+168	Down	+$18	06-03 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$150	193	0	+193	Down	-$47	05-30 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	7	$150	219	42	+177	Up	+$47	04-29 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 05:01:18	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xd16aee…
11-12 13:15:00	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x753333…
11-12 11:58:57	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x16925d…
11-12 11:14:18	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb068d0…
11-12 10:49:52	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xaacfaa…
11-12 06:39:22	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9ba18b…
11-12 02:49:25	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7c02c3…
11-10 20:46:34	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4714f5…
11-08 23:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 6?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x16619a…
11-06 03:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 7?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x4e9dde…
11-05 16:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 6?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa3c2ee…
11-05 16:01:09	Bills vs. Vikings	Bills	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x01a169…
11-05 09:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 6?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1fa2de…
10-06 17:55:20	Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x880066…
10-03 18:09:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xe04210…
10-02 15:54:24	Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc6b7d2…
09-27 17:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x03ef75…
09-27 17:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0deee6…
09-27 17:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa6fbcf…
09-27 05:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x943bdc…
09-26 02:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdffd2d…
09-25 03:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5263a4…
09-20 18:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7b0812…
09-20 18:24:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xf7f402…
09-19 20:00:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x78c0c5…
09-19 06:09:49	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0adbf2…
09-18 05:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0x05c8f1…
09-18 03:47:27	wta stearns stephen 2026 09 17	Sloane Stephens	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2257b6…
09-18 03:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xdbb40a…
09-17 02:17:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x30227a…
09-14 17:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd64b5b…
09-14 05:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 14?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x63e536…
09-13 16:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 14?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5d185c…
09-13 06:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 14?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x524106…
09-13 06:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xa532fb…
09-12 11:25:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x39bbbc…
09-12 04:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xe10981…
09-12 04:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x229c27…
09-10 12:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xeab3a0…
09-10 12:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd0dc77…
09-10 12:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 10?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x3e697f…
09-10 02:11:21	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa71d43…
09-09 13:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x990e8c…
09-09 13:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 9?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x45b47d…
09-09 04:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 10?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x5d5519…
09-08 18:13:28	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x948b8c…
09-08 18:12:58	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x97b2cc…
09-08 15:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 10?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd9820e…
09-08 10:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xa4126d…
09-08 08:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa649b5…
09-06 18:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 6?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x17b51f…
09-06 18:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 6?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x33e940…
09-06 06:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x66fee1…
09-06 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf72fed…
09-06 06:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x505345…
09-06 02:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 6?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xe2f5a6…
09-06 02:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x613a3a…
09-05 18:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 5?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x13af4d…
09-05 02:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x7b640c…
09-04 15:19:06	cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04	Team Falcons	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xee2ce7…
09-04 09:59:25	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes	NC Dinos	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7f4c04…
09-04 09:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 4?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x8ee3f6…
09-04 09:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x20efb2…
09-03 14:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 4?	No	SELL	33	59¢	$19	0xc14e93…
09-03 14:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x2af7e2…
09-03 13:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x74299c…
09-03 13:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5be06d…
09-03 12:24:31	Manacor: Felix Balshaw vs Alexandre Muller	Felix Balshaw	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3c1ed3…
09-03 08:58:40	Zhangjiagang: Khumoun Sultanov vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x22bfaf…
09-03 07:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x720b3a…
09-03 07:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 4?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x08b6c1…
09-03 07:33:36	Zhangjiagang: Khumoun Sultanov vs Enzo Aguiard	Enzo Aguiard	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd71378…
06-05 14:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xec46d1…
06-05 14:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc24e18…
06-05 14:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xb643f8…
06-05 14:51:49	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	25	86¢	$22	0x6b4ae3…
06-05 14:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x758b85…
06-05 14:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x925e5d…
06-05 14:45:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe2b504…
06-05 14:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4b5990…
06-05 14:41:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x632e7d…
06-05 14:40:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd22e53…
06-05 14:36:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x605577…
06-05 14:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xc67f7c…
06-05 14:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0e8e02…
06-05 14:17:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x71e3fb…
06-05 14:13:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x8a52d9…
06-05 14:12:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0x1030c9…
06-05 14:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xedf5cb…
06-05 14:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8dcb13…
06-05 14:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xd9f996…
06-05 14:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0xeeccda…
06-05 13:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	185	65¢	$120	0x31a8ce…
06-05 13:31:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x08471b…
06-04 22:17:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xcd162e…
06-04 13:28:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x457c24…
06-04 13:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf068c1…
06-04 09:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x1ecb10…
06-04 08:26:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xebd987…
06-04 06:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xd76a95…