Frail-House — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

1,876

Trades

3,070

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-26 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 263 days

Categories

Other

76% 54% -$86

Sports

12% 54% +$77

Crypto

12% 76% +$25

Politics

0% 43% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp cassone gea 2026 07 18	3	$106	99	56	+43	Arthur Gea	+$12	07-18 20:02
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$101	66	66	+0	Yes	+$31	05-30 21:52
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	2	$86	51	51	+0	Yes	+$16	10-14 17:45
atp aguilar dzumhur 2026 07 18	4	$72	43	43	+0	Daniel Merida Aguilar	+$11	07-18 19:04
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	4	$69	45	45	+1	Yes	+$20	04-14 21:01
Barcelona vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	3	$63	43	43	+0	Zalgiris Kaunas	+$23	10-09 20:43
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	2	$59	35	35	+0	FC Barcelona	+$9	10-10 18:18
itf tupitsy yodpetc 2026 07 19	4	$59	44	44	+0	Kamonwan Yodpetch	-$7	07-19 08:18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$56	81	81	+0	Yes	+$38	07-15 14:34
nba min okc 2026 03 15	2	$53	29	29	+0	Thunder	+$5	03-15 19:13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	2	$51	30	30	+0	Yes	+$7	10-10 20:55
wta trevisa jones 2026 07 18	2	$48	29	29	+0	Francesca Jones	+$8	07-18 18:36
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$46	82	82	+0	No	+$6	04-21 20:51
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 btts	4	$44	32	31	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 20:34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?	2	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	09-05 15:54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	2	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	09-15 20:35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	2	$42	28	28	+0	Yes	+$12	10-13 20:39
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?	2	$41	26	26	+0	Yes	+$11	09-12 15:01
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$41	27	27	+0	Yes	+$13	04-12 16:57
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-20?	2	$40	25	25	+0	Yes	+$10	09-20 18:16
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 4pm et	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	04-15 20:59
Spread: England (-1.5)	2	$40	25	25	+0	England	+$10	10-06 20:37
atp basing kouzmin 2026 07 30	2	$40	21	21	+0	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	+$2	07-30 16:41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	2	$37	22	22	+0	Yes	+$7	10-10 13:30
cs2 tl1 ts7 2026 07 31	2	$37	19	19	+0	Spirit	+$1	07-30 16:03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?	2	$37	25	25	+0	Yes	+$13	09-15 20:53
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?	2	$37	22	22	+0	Yes	+$7	09-17 20:14
atp fule bondiol 2026 07 18	2	$37	22	22	+0	Federico Bondioli	+$3	07-18 18:12
atp pellegr bueno 2026 07 19	2	$37	21	21	+0	Gonzalo Bueno	+$5	07-19 14:00
epl mac new 2026 02 21 mac	3	$37	23	23	+0	Yes	+$9	02-21 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:24:48	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa4585e…
10-26 21:24:00	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4bdf39…
10-26 21:22:47	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6b91af…
10-26 21:22:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2e40c5…
10-26 20:37:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xb5bb0a…
10-26 18:33:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x837ed9…
10-26 17:48:14	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Holger Rune	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x24c9d7…
10-26 17:48:09	Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Lukas Neumayer (+1.5)	Jakub Mensik	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6d6d2d…
10-26 17:05:39	Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Lukas Neumayer (+1.5)	Jakub Mensik	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe1f34b…
10-26 14:29:30	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x307245…
10-26 14:29:06	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Holger Rune	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0e3738…
10-26 05:19:41	Seoul: Lloyd Harris vs Juncheng Shang	Lloyd Harris	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2d850f…
10-25 19:50:32	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xda4879…
10-25 19:41:44	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x34efe4…
10-25 19:39:24	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xaf1d7b…
10-25 19:38:54	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x0056fe…
10-25 14:53:57	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x90c056…
10-25 14:53:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xffc847…
10-25 14:09:29	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7e3a83…
10-25 14:09:03	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x13a80d…
10-25 13:50:56	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x169653…
10-25 13:50:05	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf249a1…
10-25 13:49:44	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb2ea47…
10-25 13:46:26	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x77127a…
10-25 12:08:29	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x73e35d…
10-24 20:39:48	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xce606d…
10-24 19:03:36	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x994d21…
10-24 19:03:02	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x738e5d…
10-24 18:34:30	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9967cf…
10-24 18:33:18	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x60984e…
10-24 18:21:56	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x09e604…
10-24 18:12:53	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa838fa…
10-24 18:06:57	Will Valencia CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf0ee2d…
10-24 18:05:29	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xa75f52…
10-24 16:24:50	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x822ae8…
10-24 14:53:35	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdfc6aa…
10-24 14:53:21	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x73e25c…
10-24 14:03:53	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x6b13ef…
10-24 14:03:36	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xe9e416…
10-24 14:03:24	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x125214…
10-24 14:03:02	Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xf38aca…
10-24 13:24:41	Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2105cf…
10-24 13:24:27	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x494105…
10-24 13:23:48	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9edcc5…
10-24 13:14:41	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x4ff9f9…
10-24 11:48:00	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x33b704…
10-24 06:19:27	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x0b4274…
10-22 20:36:20	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x87f5c7…
10-22 20:36:06	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x970229…
10-22 19:34:05	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x39c1cc…
10-22 19:02:15	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x271461…
10-22 19:01:17	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x17ac54…
10-22 18:09:08	Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xc61d66…
10-22 18:09:02	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x671575…
10-22 18:08:56	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xb50767…
10-22 16:35:44	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xda34b6…
10-22 16:34:51	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7fef6f…
10-22 16:33:53	Getafe CF vs. FC Lugano: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc5c7d2…
10-22 16:33:08	Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. SK Brann end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb5ecfd…
10-22 16:32:50	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xa4ba25…
10-22 16:30:50	Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1b54c5…
10-21 20:42:23	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x3d0028…
10-21 20:34:27	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf6fded…
10-21 20:34:06	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x643a15…
10-21 18:41:57	ucl rma rbl 2026 10 21 ags vinicius junior 90048341	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xb7b267…
10-21 18:41:27	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x723968…
10-21 18:38:17	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x768b70…
10-21 18:38:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x7f47b9…
10-21 18:36:59	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaa2658…
10-21 18:01:14	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2f7856…
10-21 18:00:42	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xdb4c5d…
10-21 16:24:05	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4354cb…
10-21 16:23:48	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1b9187…
10-20 20:57:14	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x4b07d2…
10-20 20:29:56	Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x558c51…
10-20 20:29:38	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7b0b76…
10-20 20:13:09	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xb2411f…
10-20 19:57:35	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbbba3a…
10-20 19:31:45	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x1c96d8…
10-20 19:01:41	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x458327…
10-20 19:01:11	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xcd8ca3…
10-20 19:00:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x719afc…
10-20 18:34:12	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x0c0ecd…
10-20 18:33:45	Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc73757…
10-20 18:22:48	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur	Luca Van Assche	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xcf3302…
10-20 17:57:15	Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Tabur	Luca Van Assche	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x762ad6…
10-20 16:35:53	Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdbf931…
10-20 16:33:42	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x07e510…
10-19 20:50:03	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x59d00e…
10-19 18:29:57	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x79605f…
10-18 18:59:02	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xaf29f8…
10-18 18:58:47	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf61791…
10-17 17:57:00	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x987757…
10-17 17:56:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x38ed08…
10-17 16:43:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb9a858…
10-17 15:50:51	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x88c28b…
10-17 15:29:32	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x079e78…
10-17 13:58:33	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xc42cae…
10-17 13:50:14	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd1bc80…
10-17 13:47:38	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x3bc751…