Realized P&L
+$146
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
1,967
Trades
3,457
lifetime
Volume
$16.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$128
27 positions
First seen
2026-10-01
last 10-30 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
54% 48% +$53
Sports
39% 51% +$101
Politics
4% 38% -$25
Crypto
3% 62% +$18
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 394 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi Lilli Tagger — +15 $11 82¢ $13 +$2 10-30 12:20
Pacers vs. Heat Heat +14 $10 74¢ $10 +$0 10-30 04:23
Lakers vs. Warriors Lakers — +15 $8 56¢ $9 +$0 10-30 11:58
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 10-15 00:34
Spread: Pistons (-7.5) Pistons +15 $8 52¢ $8 +$0 10-30 08:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +10 $8 78¢ $8 +$0 10-14 11:24
Hornets vs. Wizards Hornets +15 $7 48¢ $7 +$0 10-30 11:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +110 $11 6¢ $7 -$4 10-16 04:23
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +80 $8 8¢ $7 -$1 10-16 04:12
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +10 $5 59¢ $6 +$1 10-16 16:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +25 $7 24¢ $6 -$1 10-19 02:02
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 $0 10-13 16:12
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +9 $5 41¢ $4 -$1 10-16 16:44
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $3 29¢ $4 +$0 10-16 03:44
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 10-14 19:08
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10 $4 30¢ $3 -$1 10-19 00:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $4 30¢ $3 -$1 10-18 09:15
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +5 $2 57¢ $3 +$1 10-14 02:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10 $4 29¢ $3 -$1 10-18 14:55
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +10 $3 22¢ $2 -$1 10-19 01:15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +14 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 10-05 04:44
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $2 40¢ $2 $0 10-14 07:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 $0 10-14 13:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 10-13 10:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +50 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-27 01:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 10-05 17:28
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-14 08:00