Bad-Percentage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

2,231

Trades

3,815

lifetime

Volume

$103.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$96

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-30 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% +$1,094

Politics

0% 50% -$5

Other

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	—	+97	$89	98¢	$96	+$7	10-30 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 14:00 UTC	6	$664	707	+707	Up	+$43	06-25 14:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 13:45 UTC	6	$658	711	+711	Down	+$53	06-25 13:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 14:30 UTC	6	$657	705	+705	Up	+$48	06-05 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 22:45 UTC	6	$637	708	+708	Up	+$71	06-17 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 07:30 UTC	6	$618	675	+675	Up	+$56	06-18 07:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 14:30 UTC	6	$612	666	+666	Up	+$54	06-25 14:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC	6	$562	611	+611	Up	+$49	06-18 00:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:15 UTC	6	$558	619	+619	Up	+$62	06-17 23:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 15:00 UTC	6	$550	606	+606	Down	+$56	06-24 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 20:15 UTC	6	$545	600	+600	Down	+$55	06-21 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 22:15 UTC	5	$534	571	+571	Up	+$37	06-17 22:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:00 UTC	6	$530	583	+583	Up	+$53	06-18 01:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 15:45 UTC	5	$439	478	+478	Down	+$39	06-18 15:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 13:30 UTC	5	$406	452	+452	Down	+$46	06-25 13:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 18:30 UTC	5	$387	425	+425	Up	+$38	06-17 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	10	$376	406	+406	Down	+$31	05-22 19:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 00:30 UTC	5	$354	380	+380	Up	+$26	06-29 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 13:15 UTC	5	$352	383	+383	Down	+$31	06-24 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$350	383	+383	Up	+$33	05-29 15:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 17:30 UTC	4	$350	383	+383	Up	+$33	06-11 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$326	360	+360	Down	+$35	06-03 15:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 09:00 UTC	3	$323	357	+357	Down	+$34	06-14 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 19:15 UTC	3	$317	341	+341	Down	+$24	06-17 19:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 14:45 UTC	4	$317	356	+356	Down	-$317	06-25 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	10	$309	340	+340	Down	+$31	05-22 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 19:30 UTC	3	$298	322	+322	Down	+$24	06-17 19:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 08:15 UTC	3	$297	326	+326	Up	+$29	06-13 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 23:45 UTC	3	$295	317	+317	Down	+$22	06-10 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 15:45 UTC	3	$289	314	+314	Down	+$25	06-07 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 01:45 UTC	3	$285	309	+309	Down	+$23	06-18 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0xe7dc75…
10-30 14:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x4a3153…
10-30 07:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0xb53921…
10-30 01:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x81baff…
10-29 20:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x5033bc…
10-29 20:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0xf49256…
10-29 20:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	93¢	$48	0xe235e5…
10-29 20:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x9a8881…
10-29 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$39	0x5d4ae4…
10-29 17:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0x558bab…
10-29 17:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x8b69ed…
10-29 17:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0x561fa4…
10-29 16:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	92¢	$32	0xec2c85…
10-29 16:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$29	0xfb91e9…
10-29 16:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xeb0dcc…
10-29 16:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0xe1f78f…
10-29 16:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	90¢	$34	0x043799…
10-29 16:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x346969…
10-29 16:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x816a99…
10-29 16:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x627fb8…
10-29 16:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x14b910…
10-29 16:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0xccf1ef…
10-29 15:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0xee1c24…
10-29 15:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	91¢	$34	0xf29d23…
10-29 14:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	94¢	$35	0xb5c729…
10-29 14:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	92¢	$34	0x3f0362…
10-29 14:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x60701a…
10-29 14:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xdddb8b…
10-29 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0x07a3f4…
10-29 14:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0xdde8ee…
10-29 13:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xf4a48e…
10-29 13:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0xa75997…
10-29 13:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x606cf4…
10-29 13:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0xd054a2…
10-29 13:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0x11b4d0…
10-29 13:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x7c7b4e…
10-29 01:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	90¢	$44	0x6117b7…
10-29 01:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x9a49ea…
10-29 01:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0xcf5415…
10-29 01:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x63509c…
10-29 01:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x3a82ce…
10-29 01:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0xf5dcf0…
10-28 20:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0xa17c18…
10-28 20:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0xac18b9…
10-28 18:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xdb4f02…
10-28 18:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x82254f…
10-28 18:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0xc27911…
10-28 18:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x6992ec…
10-28 13:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	92¢	$38	0x622b93…
10-28 13:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x1bbf66…
10-28 00:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x9cea82…
10-26 15:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0xf12e1a…
10-26 14:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0x320a14…
10-26 14:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xf1d96f…
10-26 14:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0xe00a4e…
10-26 13:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	94¢	$42	0x81a935…
10-26 13:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x831116…
10-26 13:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0x874158…
10-26 13:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0x7bf0ef…
10-26 13:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x4e47cd…
10-26 13:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x91927b…
10-26 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x36b914…
10-26 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x379a67…
10-26 04:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x9ce653…
10-26 01:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0xc5e38c…
10-26 01:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0xdbcc68…
10-26 01:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x287038…
10-26 01:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xeaa046…
10-26 00:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	91¢	$38	0x026678…
10-26 00:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x427957…
10-26 00:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0xf0dc70…
10-26 00:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x90b5c6…
10-26 00:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	91¢	$38	0x2bc2ef…
10-26 00:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xb10f58…
10-25 23:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0xb34789…
10-25 23:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	88¢	$32	0x7f48df…
10-25 23:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0xf5eb14…
10-25 23:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	90¢	$35	0x6a2e5f…
10-25 23:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	93¢	$44	0xbbc87a…
10-25 23:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	93¢	$41	0xceae40…
10-25 23:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0xbf39af…
10-25 23:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0xbf490e…
10-25 23:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x000526…
10-25 23:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x1307c4…
10-25 22:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xbda2a6…
10-25 22:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x57161d…
10-25 22:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x06dc34…
10-24 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xc20c05…
10-24 16:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x3e80cb…
10-24 16:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x21eb43…
10-24 16:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$31	0x73c649…
10-24 15:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x83909e…
10-24 15:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0xe7bc99…
10-24 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xeab725…
10-24 15:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	93¢	$48	0x51b046…
10-24 15:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x27cdf2…
10-24 15:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	89¢	$46	0x387549…
10-24 05:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x408ad5…
10-24 01:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0x4c5f67…
10-23 22:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x6c1c69…