Realized P&L
+$149
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
196
Trades
376
lifetime
Volume
$2.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$79
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 09-25 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Crypto
68% 58% -$15
Other
19% 46% +$60
Politics
8% 62% +$81
Sports
3% 47% +$8
Tech
1% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +47 $19 74¢ $35 +$16 09-10 14:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +28 $14 66¢ $19 +$4 09-10 14:19
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +14 $7 68¢ $10 +$3 07-28 21:09
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +11 $5 46¢ $5 +$0 09-25 18:32
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +10 $5 39¢ $4 -$1 08-20 14:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $6 34¢ $4 -$2 08-20 13:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $4 28¢ $3 -$1 07-28 10:43