Humiliating-Decryption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

353

Trades

1,754

lifetime

Volume

$183.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-01 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

100% 55% -$1,471

Sports

0% 62% +$19

Crypto

0% 36% -$18

Politics

0% 67% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	17	$11.6K	6,648	6,308	+340	No	+$151	02-04 16:48
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	6	$7.9K	3,974	3,974	+0	No	+$0	02-07 17:46
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 140 164	7	$6.9K	4,374	2,574	+1,800	No	+$27	02-09 16:29
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	22	$6.9K	4,687	2,734	+1,953	Yes	-$403	03-30 15:40
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 90 114	2	$6.8K	3,442	3,442	+0	No	+$39	02-02 18:19
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	17	$4.0K	4,388	60	+4,328	No	+$340	02-03 11:50
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	12	$3.9K	3,900	0	+3,900	No	+$21	02-06 16:12
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	12	$3.8K	2,010	2,000	+10	Yes	+$17	02-06 16:17
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 140 164	51	$3.7K	1,750	2,050	-300	No	-$11	02-18 15:38
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	21	$3.7K	2,485	2,485	+0	Yes	+$101	02-02 15:30
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	9	$3.3K	2,070	2,000	+70	Yes	-$636	02-09 16:34
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 115 139	7	$2.8K	1,433	1,433	+0	No	+$50	02-02 18:20
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 90 114	3	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$4	02-14 15:39
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	1	$2.4K	2,440	0	+2,440	No	+$2	03-21 15:20
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	11	$2.4K	2,540	0	+2,540	No	+$150	03-27 14:58
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	4	$2.4K	2,358	0	+2,358	No	+$7	02-11 16:09
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	12	$2.3K	2,483	0	+2,483	Yes	+$134	03-25 15:14
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	6	$2.3K	2,315	0	+2,315	No	+$4	04-03 15:20
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	5	$2.3K	2,310	0	+2,310	No	+$12	04-01 12:28
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	8	$2.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	No	+$28	02-20 12:03
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	23	$2.2K	1,920	400	+1,520	Yes	+$19	02-23 16:50
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	4	$2.2K	1,230	1,230	+0	No	+$193	01-31 15:30
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	5	$2.2K	2,169	0	+2,169	No	+$12	03-31 14:52
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	5	$2.1K	2,150	0	+2,150	No	+$57	02-01 17:34
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	3	$2.1K	2,170	0	+2,170	Yes	+$88	03-11 15:14
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	21	$2.0K	2,720	0	+2,720	No	-$279	02-25 16:51
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 165 189	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$2	02-18 14:13
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	8	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$12	02-18 04:29
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 65 89	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$12	02-21 04:13
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	2	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	Yes	+$6	01-31 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 15:52:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x2bb932…
09-01 15:42:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x03cc2a…
09-01 04:31:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x49dd92…
08-31 05:00:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x65b5bc…
08-31 04:47:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x841526…
08-28 19:37:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9b469d…
08-14 13:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfa3d8b…
08-10 14:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x70c3ef…
08-07 15:40:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x525ba2…
08-07 14:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x444717…
08-07 14:29:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf1a5ee…
07-31 15:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xce420e…
07-31 12:58:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x1a03fc…
07-21 14:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	530	100¢	$529	0x0bac31…
07-21 14:21:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	219	99¢	$217	0x6fe858…
07-21 11:51:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x569906…
07-20 16:01:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd0c738…
07-20 16:00:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xc258f9…
07-20 16:00:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1dc48a…
07-20 16:00:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xccd208…
07-20 15:49:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5a4fd6…
07-20 11:29:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	90¢	$45	0xea4812…
07-20 11:28:58	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	90¢	$63	0xef73f5…
07-20 10:41:58	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x726110…
07-20 10:41:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x327a4c…
07-18 14:33:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x360dfd…
07-18 14:33:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x77dcbb…
07-18 14:33:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x6ca6d9…
07-17 15:08:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x1da604…
07-16 17:02:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9404fa…
07-15 15:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	620	100¢	$619	0x115ad4…
07-15 14:46:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4e471e…
07-15 14:00:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9f4e09…
07-14 15:55:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0xc7e9fd…
07-14 15:53:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5617a1…
07-14 15:52:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0xa9e4ca…
07-14 15:36:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7d5e63…
07-14 14:55:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xd374c5…
07-14 14:52:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x0f9e1c…
07-12 13:07:05	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	150	22¢	$32	0x3e5f4e…
07-10 07:55:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0x49cb4b…
07-10 07:55:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x672c91…
07-10 07:55:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xa98a60…
07-10 07:55:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0x85e827…
07-07 14:45:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	690	100¢	$689	0xa05877…
07-07 12:31:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x7958d9…
07-07 12:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xd5fcec…
07-07 12:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	363	100¢	$362	0x66b7a7…
07-07 12:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1db826…
07-06 14:16:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	680	100¢	$679	0xf28dec…
07-04 13:59:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0x4e27c1…
07-04 13:49:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x336314…
07-04 13:49:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x802f24…
07-03 15:35:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	630	100¢	$629	0x724a77…
07-03 15:25:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x016b74…
07-03 15:22:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xe959e5…
07-03 07:35:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x987260…
07-02 13:17:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	126	97¢	$123	0x00f500…
07-02 13:06:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0x792479…
06-30 14:38:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x90fbd4…
06-30 12:48:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0x1aec95…
06-30 12:37:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x84e881…
06-30 08:06:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x55ac5a…
06-29 15:58:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	531	100¢	$529	0xd40aca…
06-29 15:58:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	100¢	$148	0xc0757d…
06-29 15:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0x6d784c…
06-29 15:51:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xfa7111…
06-29 15:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x37549a…
06-29 14:44:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x75eb3d…
06-29 14:44:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x38592f…
06-29 14:43:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	98¢	$103	0x6e2261…
06-29 14:43:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x15c22b…
06-27 15:17:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	97¢	$301	0xcb3f95…
06-27 15:12:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x9729c5…
06-27 15:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x7c23ea…
06-27 15:10:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc4fb51…
06-27 15:08:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xcd3130…
06-27 12:08:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x49d91b…
06-27 06:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x2ec3dc…
06-26 15:32:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x02483c…
06-26 14:05:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	170	97¢	$164	0x487323…
06-26 14:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	155	96¢	$149	0xc44296…
06-26 14:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xec41ae…
06-26 14:00:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x66a662…
06-26 05:00:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x5b5688…
06-26 05:00:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x449bf8…
06-26 04:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$136	0xdf25a2…
06-26 04:58:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xdb22cb…
06-24 15:29:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	99¢	$237	0xc468e4…
06-24 14:34:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x699ef1…
06-24 11:44:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x320057…
06-23 15:25:50	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xe32864…
06-22 08:47:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x2a4f17…
06-21 21:42:29	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe8a3ec…
06-21 00:13:43	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd6d0f1…
06-20 17:00:19	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa822df…
06-20 15:07:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xfab51a…
06-20 14:39:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x906f1b…
06-19 15:54:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x71076f…
06-19 15:02:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x7af72f…