Shallow-Scarification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,348

lifetime

Volume

$3.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-28 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 75% +$2

Other

37% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chicago on april 4 2026 57forbelow	19	$188	163	164	-1	open	—	04-05 03:53
highest temperature in chicago on april 6 2026 50 51f	8	$138	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	10	$125	84	84	+0	open	—	04-27 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	19	$82	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 05:42
highest temperature in chicago on april 17 2026 80 81f	3	$68	60	58	+2	open	—	04-18 03:41
highest temperature in chicago on april 4 2026 58 59f	16	$60	140	140	+0	open	—	04-04 11:45
highest temperature in chicago on april 18 2026 64 65f	16	$47	168	168	+0	open	—	04-18 04:15
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 38 39f	7	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	04-08 02:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 29?	17	$42	175	173	+3	open	—	04-27 17:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$41	50	49	+1	open	—	04-27 17:10
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	4	$40	50	49	+1	open	—	04-23 16:29
highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 52 53f	20	$40	178	166	+12	open	—	04-10 14:35
highest temperature in chicago on april 17 2026 71forbelow	25	$36	1,030	991	+39	open	—	04-16 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 14:41
highest temperature in chicago on april 5 2026 52 53f	5	$34	100	0	+100	open	—	04-05 13:28
btc updown 5m 1776168300	4	$34	26	25	+1	open	—	04-14 12:10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 15:15
highest temperature in chicago on april 18 2026 60 61f	13	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	04-18 04:25
highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 50 51f	6	$29	100	99	+1	open	—	04-08 14:56
highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 52forhigher	41	$29	4,902	3,525	+1,377	open	—	04-01 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?	6	$27	160	160	+0	open	—	04-27 03:19
btc updown 5m 1776564900	4	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 02:20
btc updown 5m 1776168000	6	$24	24	24	+1	open	—	04-14 12:05
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-21 14:36
btc updown 5m 1781962200	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	06-20 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 17:04
highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 54 55f	11	$22	47	47	+0	open	—	04-10 14:24
btc updown 5m 1776566700	4	$21	18	17	+1	open	—	04-19 02:50
btc updown 5m 1776089100	4	$20	18	17	+0	open	—	04-13 14:10
highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 72 73f	8	$20	44	43	+1	open	—	04-13 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 08:59:37	btc updown 5m 1782636900	Up	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0xffbb04…
06-28 08:58:55	btc updown 5m 1782636900	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xabd16c…
06-20 13:38:44	btc updown 5m 1781962800	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdf1e78…
06-20 13:37:32	btc updown 5m 1781962500	Down	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0x6b7e28…
06-20 13:35:56	btc updown 5m 1781962500	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1b9038…
06-20 13:35:17	btc updown 5m 1781962200	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xde844e…
06-20 13:32:01	btc updown 5m 1781962200	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf5526e…
06-20 13:26:02	btc updown 5m 1781961900	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2e29d6…
05-26 11:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x31eb6a…
05-26 11:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc64e28…
05-26 11:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x62659c…
05-26 11:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7f1a6f…
05-26 11:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x004a76…
05-26 10:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x303bbf…
05-26 10:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x05fb32…
05-26 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x30081f…
05-26 10:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc6f4bc…
05-26 09:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1cac51…
05-26 09:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xaf3015…
05-26 09:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc8dc34…
05-26 09:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x58e812…
05-26 09:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6dbb46…
05-26 09:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x91d0c1…
05-26 09:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5057cc…
05-26 08:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x74f1e9…
05-26 08:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4ab18e…
05-26 08:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x39a235…
05-26 08:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf6c187…
05-26 07:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf03149…
05-26 07:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x845101…
05-26 07:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x50cd43…
05-26 07:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x235515…
05-26 07:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1a6070…
05-26 06:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0b8ba7…
05-26 06:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x63c663…
05-26 05:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2712e4…
05-26 05:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9a0f97…
05-26 05:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9f01cc…
05-26 05:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x502fad…
05-26 04:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x82068f…
05-26 04:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf71a5a…
05-26 04:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xad995d…
05-26 03:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xefc12b…
05-26 03:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x96d23f…
05-26 03:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x552fb7…
05-26 03:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2555d6…
05-26 03:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd159b3…
05-26 03:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xeed96f…
05-26 02:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc61a88…
05-26 02:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaba4ca…
05-26 01:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4338de…
05-26 00:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf1777e…
05-26 00:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4b2636…
05-26 00:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xee5b54…
05-26 00:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x135b0c…
05-26 00:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa84929…
05-26 00:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x67a3ed…
05-25 23:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd5ec29…
05-25 23:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x37501c…
05-25 23:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x82fab2…
05-25 23:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa41fc9…
05-25 22:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdea1b5…
05-25 22:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc144fc…
05-25 22:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc762e7…
05-25 22:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef0975…
05-25 22:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x880010…
05-25 21:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf241d4…
05-25 20:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x392765…
05-25 19:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd842e2…
05-25 19:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa40536…
05-25 19:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb9064b…
05-25 19:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc6e96f…
05-25 18:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x08ef53…
05-25 18:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xb0ee1a…
05-25 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd01a27…
05-25 18:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x47ce28…
05-25 17:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xab6099…
05-25 17:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x33c6bb…
05-25 17:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x62463c…
05-25 17:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd22c49…
05-25 17:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0bbba8…
05-25 16:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x91f9bf…
05-25 16:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5e4d0d…
05-25 16:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcfa7ad…
05-25 16:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x89ab62…
05-25 16:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0ea01d…
05-25 15:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x917bee…
05-25 14:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x26aa9e…
05-25 13:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x41bb41…
05-25 12:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x795aa3…
05-25 12:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3acd08…
05-25 11:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfc4af5…
05-25 11:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x94ab7e…
05-25 10:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x30eb32…
05-25 04:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x46af55…
05-25 03:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb771b6…
05-25 03:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x079392…
05-25 03:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa7db43…
05-25 03:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa207bb…
05-25 03:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x11c505…