Realized P&L
+$57.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.46K
Hit rate
94.5%
Resolved
25
Trades
996
lifetime
Volume
$549.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$552
Open exposure
$182.5K
20 positions
First seen
2026-09-16
last 10-26 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
73% 60% +$44,114
Other
26% 50% +$10,431
Sports
1% 75% +$2,643
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +66,174 $54,263 90¢ $59.9K +$5,625 10-25 16:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +60,000 $41,400 74¢ $44.1K +$2,700 10-18 14:48
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +20,000 $12,800 66¢ $13.3K +$500 10-26 04:20
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +13,805 $12,098 81¢ $11.2K -$854 09-27 22:40
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,000 $10,200 68¢ $10.3K +$75 10-26 07:40
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,000 $9,200 92¢ $9.2K -$50 10-25 20:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,000 $9,200 92¢ $9.2K -$50 10-25 20:34
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,000 $6,900 70¢ $7.0K +$150 10-25 10:27
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,700 72¢ $3.6K -$125 10-25 22:16
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +5,074 $3,450 68¢ $3.5K +$25 10-26 22:59
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,900 57¢ $2.9K -$25 10-26 18:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3,451 $2,260 82¢ $2.8K +$556 09-30 18:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,816 $2,442 66¢ $2.5K +$57 10-26 04:21
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +1,137 $964 96¢ $1.1K +$127 09-22 02:01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +1,107 $853 84¢ $936 +$83 10-25 13:33
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +2,098 $366 20¢ $420 +$53 10-26 18:46
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No +1,838 $1,080 19¢ $341 -$739 09-26 18:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +334 $304 97¢ $324 +$20 10-25 18:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No -4 $567 96¢ $-4 -$571 09-22 20:23
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $100 68¢ $0 -$100 10-17 06:02