Scientific-Exile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

422

Trades

6,135

lifetime

Volume

$570.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 02:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Other

97% 54% +$7,576

Politics

3% 41% -$175

Tech

0% 0% -$810

Sports

0% 0% -$68

Crypto

0% 75% +$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	71	$10.8K	7,083	7,591	-508	No	+$239	02-10 12:36
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	45	$7.8K	4,273	4,973	-700	No	+$273	03-23 10:57
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	56	$7.4K	4,652	4,852	-200	No	+$248	03-13 12:19
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 40 64	83	$7.3K	6,472	6,085	+387	No	+$216	04-06 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	38	$7.0K	6,208	5,244	+965	No	-$118	09-25 09:44
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	50	$6.9K	4,284	4,284	+0	No	+$59	03-06 14:20
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	108	$6.9K	6,192	5,792	+400	Yes	-$1,925	03-17 15:41
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	13	$6.8K	4,703	4,753	-50	No	+$964	02-07 10:48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	77	$6.4K	7,851	6,514	+1,338	Yes	-$7	09-11 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	98	$6.3K	6,768	4,396	+2,372	Yes	-$458	10-17 15:10
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	45	$6.1K	4,394	5,616	-1,223	Yes	-$380	02-02 22:53
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	87	$6.0K	5,557	5,830	-274	No	-$218	03-28 10:32
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	10	$5.9K	5,247	2,383	+2,864	No	+$495	02-21 08:40
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	12	$5.8K	4,048	4,048	+0	No	+$1,010	02-04 07:13
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	22	$5.7K	5,645	2,754	+2,891	No	+$240	02-09 12:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	70	$5.3K	3,797	3,797	+0	No	-$114	10-10 04:41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	42	$5.0K	5,594	4,594	+1,000	Yes	-$34	09-09 06:37
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	11	$4.8K	3,330	3,330	+0	No	+$210	02-03 09:42
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	33	$4.7K	2,658	2,658	+0	No	+$438	03-25 05:14
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	56	$4.7K	2,398	3,364	-966	No	-$126	01-30 06:13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	26	$4.7K	3,688	3,688	+0	No	-$936	09-28 14:13
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	75	$4.6K	4,250	4,250	+0	Yes	-$669	02-20 11:54
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	35	$4.6K	3,022	3,522	-500	Yes	+$110	03-18 14:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$4.5K	2,952	2,952	+0	Yes	-$68	03-05 22:24
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	25	$4.5K	3,186	3,186	+0	Yes	+$1,169	03-10 15:58
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	14	$4.3K	3,151	3,151	+0	No	+$1,024	03-09 03:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	40	$4.3K	4,922	3,513	+1,408	No	-$402	09-18 11:38
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	84	$4.2K	4,550	4,550	+0	Yes	+$169	03-14 15:46
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	35	$4.2K	2,693	2,693	+0	No	+$419	03-16 12:11
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	36	$4.2K	3,581	3,239	+342	Yes	-$1,003	01-27 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:09:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	222	71¢	$158	0x61ad97…
10-27 20:19:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	525	90¢	$475	0xcb2e58…
10-27 19:47:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	222	79¢	$175	0x38598d…
10-27 18:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	222	74¢	$164	0x94030b…
10-27 17:28:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	222	81¢	$180	0xbba97c…
10-27 16:02:38	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	88¢	$71	0xfd32b1…
10-27 15:42:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	342	99¢	$339	0x02ca75…
10-27 15:38:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x599542…
10-27 15:22:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	308	99¢	$306	0xa46a7e…
10-27 15:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	230	99¢	$228	0xf334f8…
10-27 15:16:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x56005b…
10-27 15:16:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xca19c6…
10-27 15:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$75	0xb49d2c…
10-27 10:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	90¢	$65	0x774221…
10-27 10:02:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa1ccad…
10-27 10:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xd4a521…
10-27 10:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	232	90¢	$209	0xb6cfbf…
10-27 06:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	89¢	$99	0xa4caeb…
10-27 02:08:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	163	93¢	$151	0x1170ec…
10-26 18:12:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	791	93¢	$735	0x18a3f3…
10-26 18:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	716	66¢	$472	0xd0acd0…
10-26 18:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	185	66¢	$122	0xa27595…
10-26 18:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x817a32…
10-26 18:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	49	66¢	$32	0x7d6d4d…
10-26 18:10:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x5205cc…
10-26 18:07:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	163	94¢	$153	0x3093a1…
10-26 18:05:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	110	67¢	$74	0x6bda16…
10-26 18:05:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x332e15…
10-26 18:05:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	307	67¢	$207	0xed47c7…
10-26 18:05:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	251	68¢	$171	0x1f3882…
10-26 15:41:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0x728602…
10-26 13:16:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0xd2ebd5…
10-26 13:13:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x6f22ff…
10-26 13:13:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x68e35b…
10-26 13:13:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	445	88¢	$391	0x2d4e57…
10-26 13:03:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	56	87¢	$49	0xc49cd5…
10-26 12:58:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	56	87¢	$48	0xb37a08…
10-26 12:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	32	86¢	$28	0x82e677…
10-26 12:52:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	150	87¢	$131	0x5df59a…
10-26 12:51:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	409	88¢	$359	0x337269…
10-26 11:51:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	333	87¢	$290	0xe625a7…
10-25 17:41:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	167	78¢	$130	0xf3dfbc…
10-25 15:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	167	81¢	$135	0x9ec2e8…
10-25 14:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	401	77¢	$308	0x4e5361…
10-25 14:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	111	68¢	$75	0x455711…
10-25 12:04:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	401	85¢	$341	0xcaa37b…
10-25 12:02:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xa4d0ca…
10-25 12:02:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x41369d…
10-25 01:38:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0x91bc31…
10-25 00:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	333	89¢	$295	0xd006ae…
10-24 18:29:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0xb784d6…
10-24 16:14:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	468	90¢	$420	0xed93d2…
10-24 13:49:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	143	13¢	$19	0x054249…
10-24 05:40:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x66166d…
10-24 05:08:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	111	17¢	$19	0x4ed384…
10-24 03:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0x2f9f54…
10-24 03:14:36	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	56¢	$31	0x3c75e8…
10-23 12:42:48	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0xb76407…
10-23 06:14:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	106	79¢	$84	0xcde64e…
10-23 00:37:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	106	82¢	$87	0x48c8bf…
10-23 00:37:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	18¢	$14	0xd23a11…
10-22 23:50:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	138	70¢	$97	0x585e85…
10-22 15:12:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	37¢	$123	0x655e73…
10-21 18:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	23¢	$18	0x3673a3…
10-21 18:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	516	97¢	$503	0x9a299e…
10-21 18:08:27	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x238abd…
10-21 16:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	138	67¢	$92	0xf8bcca…
10-21 15:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0x520889…
10-21 15:52:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	376	38¢	$143	0x096b31…
10-21 15:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xbc2737…
10-21 15:47:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	170	80¢	$135	0x281691…
10-21 15:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0x97e536…
10-21 15:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x578c7f…
10-21 15:42:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	235	77¢	$181	0x7a4f2d…
10-21 14:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	36¢	$22	0x8f41cb…
10-21 14:33:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xa1cfcd…
10-21 14:33:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	59¢	$16	0xabbccc…
10-21 14:30:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xe8989f…
10-21 14:27:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	49¢	$92	0xa78e4e…
10-21 14:27:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x6ec7dd…
10-21 14:27:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x0b3bf4…
10-21 14:27:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xae61a9…
10-21 14:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	322	33¢	$106	0x5d7c0a…
10-21 14:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xfe61a1…
10-21 14:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x91e8c3…
10-21 14:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xbfb035…
10-21 14:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	53¢	$57	0xbf5092…
10-21 14:16:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	42¢	$48	0x487937…
10-21 14:16:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x618a4e…
10-21 14:10:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x767efd…
10-21 14:10:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xaade88…
10-21 13:56:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	77	23¢	$18	0x19b822…
10-21 13:50:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	129	25¢	$32	0x25fa91…
10-21 13:45:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	214	24¢	$51	0xc7c018…
10-21 13:40:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	105	25¢	$26	0x0d4df6…
10-21 13:33:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	111	65¢	$72	0xf8e490…
10-21 13:26:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	305	30¢	$91	0x493026…
10-21 13:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	301	32¢	$95	0x41a811…
10-21 13:02:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	35¢	$42	0xdd1c01…
10-21 12:52:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	34¢	$18	0xb13f7a…