Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$559

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

201

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$9.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 04-02 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Politics

46% 51% +$100

Other

34% 50% -$14

Crypto

18% 33% -$673

Tech

1% 33% -$22

Pop-Culture

1% 83% +$50

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.0K	1,012	1,012	+0	Yes	-$16	02-03 21:13
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$1.8K	911	911	+0	Yes	+$3	02-03 20:51
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	3	$266	498	330	+168	Yes	-$94	01-25 18:40
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	3	$263	343	157	+185	Yes	-$37	02-02 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:10 UTC	1	$250	474	0	+474	Down	-$250	02-17 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:05 UTC	1	$245	393	0	+393	Down	+$148	02-17 16:04
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	3	$234	1,880	1,600	+280	No	-$62	01-25 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:00 UTC	1	$160	281	0	+281	Up	-$160	02-17 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:05 UTC	1	$130	229	0	+229	Down	-$130	02-17 15:05
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	2	$130	175	0	+175	No	+$45	02-04 11:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:35 UTC	3	$113	174	73	+101	Down	+$32	02-17 14:39
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	1	$100	133	0	+133	No	+$33	02-03 11:59
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	1	$100	139	0	+139	Yes	+$39	02-03 11:59
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	1	$100	118	0	+118	No	+$18	02-04 22:26
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	3	$92	242	200	+42	No	+$56	02-04 12:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:55 UTC	1	$80	154	0	+154	Up	-$80	02-17 15:53
bitcoin 15 daily candle in 2026	3	$74	71	40	+31	Yes	-$6	02-05 22:06
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	2	$65	77	0	+77	No	+$12	02-06 09:46
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	3	$65	73	0	+73	No	+$8	02-19 22:09
will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	2	$64	44	44	+0	No	+$24	02-07 14:35
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	3	$59	78	39	+39	Yes	-$21	01-20 12:18
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	2	$56	37	37	+0	No	+$16	02-02 09:27
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	4	$55	60	57	+3	Yes	-$47	02-09 15:12
will colton moore win the ga 14 special election	2	$55	38	38	+0	No	+$15	02-07 14:35
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	2	$54	67	67	+0	Yes	+$14	02-04 07:33
will bill or hillary clinton be held in contempt of congress by feb 28	2	$54	34	34	+0	No	+$14	02-07 14:35
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 90 114	1	$50	96	0	+96	No	+$46	02-01 18:11
will tsla dip to 383 in february	1	$50	102	0	+102	No	+$52	02-06 21:03
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	1	$50	116	0	+116	Yes	+$66	02-01 18:13
will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	1	$50	99	0	+99	No	+$49	02-06 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-02 12:50:27	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	No	SELL	41	37¢	$15	0x293466…
03-17 21:31:37	will gas hit high 4pt25 by march 31	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xdb3489…
03-14 21:19:07	ethereum above 2100 on march 19	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7085fa…
03-14 21:18:53	ethereum above 2200 on march 20	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x112555…
03-14 21:18:47	ethereum above 2100 on march 20	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xab7876…
03-14 21:17:43	ethereum above 2200 on march 17	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd9b4b3…
03-14 21:17:31	ethereum above 2200 on march 18	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc38c81…
03-14 21:17:17	ethereum above 2100 on march 18	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xba16d4…
03-14 21:16:37	ethereum above 2100 on march 17	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3d9b83…
03-14 21:13:51	will team yandex win pgl wallachia season 7	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x203fc3…
03-14 21:12:03	will powell say ai or artificial intelligence 3 times during march press conference 852 727	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe21b61…
03-14 21:08:09	will ns redforce win masters santiago 2026	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbcd57c…
03-14 21:01:39	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	Yes	SELL	80	15¢	$12	0xc78176…
03-10 22:12:59	will epstein be said at the oscars	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x721e85…
03-10 22:11:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xc7d31c…
03-10 22:05:27	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6fd369…
03-07 20:20:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xdcf478…
03-07 20:17:07	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbefd97…
03-07 20:15:15	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x75ddf2…
03-05 21:53:41	will trump meet with xi jinping in march 2026 241	No	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x25526a…
03-03 21:14:41	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x36a379…
03-03 21:12:27	will trump meet with luiz incio lula da silva in march 2026 363	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xa22899…
03-03 21:11:59	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0c2fd9…
03-03 21:09:17	grpn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 10 2026 0pt16	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x64f75e…
03-03 21:05:47	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x46c0cf…
03-03 12:20:47	will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xca0ad4…
03-03 12:20:41	will trump talk to ursula von der leyen in march 993	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa3ae5a…
03-02 20:17:05	will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be between 2pt5 and 2pt7	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9850fc…
03-02 20:16:45	chatgpt outage by march 15	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xab3ea9…
03-02 20:16:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 3	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xab58f3…
03-02 20:07:51	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x89b654…
03-02 14:46:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x158ba5…
03-02 14:43:39	will bitcoin reach 70k march 2 8	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x98372d…
03-02 14:43:05	bitcoin above 66k on march 8	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1b462e…
03-02 14:42:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xebe3c5…
03-02 14:40:55	bitcoin above 66k on march 7	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x45bc47…
03-02 14:40:05	mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 09 2026 6pt17	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdcd0e3…
03-02 14:37:27	tsla above 400 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xfa7a3c…
03-02 14:35:33	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x49935e…
03-02 14:31:05	Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x95adab…
03-02 14:30:27	italy nordio reform referendum passes	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb4d9fb…
03-02 14:28:45	will sergey brin be 3rd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x6b0171…
03-02 14:26:45	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9b9405…
02-27 21:22:15	will alexander rybak win melodi grand prix 2026	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x902192…
02-26 21:24:52	bitcoin above 66k on march 5	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x2ce5e3…
02-26 21:21:14	will patrik antonius win at hustler casino on february 27	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x97840a…
02-26 21:20:38	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x9084e2…
02-26 21:17:48	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on february 28	No	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x7bfe1a…
02-23 14:14:24	will the 2026 state of the union have less than 35m viewers	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x5170d2…
02-23 14:13:48	will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x35c194…
02-23 14:08:44	will trump say gulf of america during the state of the union address	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x94749d…
02-22 09:26:18	will zendaya attend the oscars	No	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xfbb3fd…
02-21 21:25:24	spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x47afef…
02-21 21:15:12	nvda close above 190 on february 23 2026	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x56c7df…
02-21 21:14:10	us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by feb 28	No	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xdada1c…
02-21 21:13:08	bitcoin above 68k on february 25	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xdd0277…
02-19 22:09:30	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xf55c1d…
02-19 22:06:58	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xe9eb0f…
02-19 22:05:54	will zendaya attend the oscars	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x98d9d1…
02-19 22:04:10	will israel strike lebanon on february 21 2026	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x3d73f5…
02-19 22:02:48	will team falcons win pgl cluj napoca 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x596c99…
02-17 21:58:07	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x1d696d…
02-17 21:49:43	oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt25	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xa70ca1…
02-17 21:49:11	will sp 500 spx close over 6860 on the final trading day of february 2026	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x444189…
02-17 21:44:33	will there be at least 1150 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 917	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc314fe…
02-17 21:43:57	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x3da2d6…
02-17 16:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	393	62¢	$245	0xc35733…
02-17 15:59:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	281	57¢	$160	0x9b081e…
02-17 15:53:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	154	52¢	$80	0x278309…
02-17 15:48:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	73	54¢	$40	0x0b1c43…
02-17 15:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4b5f26…
02-17 15:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1617db…
02-17 15:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8cd30f…
02-17 15:29:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3d6be7…
02-17 15:29:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3f3522…
02-17 15:25:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7b6550…
02-17 15:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92ad11…
02-17 15:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2af134…
02-17 15:17:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0xe08d3e…
02-17 15:10:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	474	53¢	$250	0xa260fd…
02-17 15:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	229	57¢	$130	0x8c21bf…
02-17 15:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x941786…
02-17 14:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2ea4b3…
02-17 14:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0xef9af1…
02-17 14:50:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x11d00b…
02-17 14:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4716a2…
02-17 14:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf99eb4…
02-17 14:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb0f857…
02-17 14:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x919589…
02-17 14:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x5f2099…
02-17 14:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x54f0b4…
02-17 14:25:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe23dc4…
02-17 14:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x724bcf…
02-17 14:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0b1924…
02-14 22:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd99a42…
02-13 21:59:29	nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xa40bb4…
02-13 21:58:23	tsla above 420 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x417a5c…
02-12 22:03:17	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	Yes	SELL	218	1¢	$1	0xc58633…
02-11 15:58:39	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	533	0¢	$2	0xf2dec8…
02-11 15:58:21	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xe3afa6…